Three Props to Bet in Suns-Mavericks Game 5
The Phoenix Suns and Dallas Mavericks are all square at 2-2, yet Tuesday night's meeting at the Footprint Center will give the winner an opportunity to advance to the Western Conference Finals in Thursday's Game 6.
On SI Sportsbook, the Suns are 6.5-point favorites to win despite dropping their two road games in Dallas over the weekend. Phoenix is -250 on the moneyline.
Major money will be wagered on the two crucial games this week, and if you're a Suns fan, you likely lost some dough in Games 3 and 4.
However, there's no better time to bounce back than the present, and Game 5 offers an array of different options for bettors to potentially win some cash.
Here's three prop bets (courtesy of FanDuel, odds up to date as of Tuesday morning) that caught our eye:
Three Props to Bet in Suns-Mavericks Game 5
Mikal Bridges has had the impossible task of guarding both Luka Doncic and Jalen Brunson in these Western Conference Semifinals. In previous instances where Bridges has had to exert most of his energy and focus on defense, his offense tends to teeter off, and this series has been a prime example of just that.
However, his performances at home have highlighted his other strengths as a player.
Mikal Bridges UNDER 14.5 Points (FanDuel -122):
- Mikal Bridges has scored 13, 11, 12, and 6 points this series
- Bridges has gone UNDER 13 points in 11/12 career playoff games at home where Phoenix is coming off a loss
- In his last 14 games against Dallas, Bridges has gone UNDER 14 points in 11
- In games where Bridges has shot 2 three-point attempts or less, he has gone UNDER 14.5 points 19 of 23 games.
- Dallas has held him to 3, 2, 2 and 2 three-point attempts for the series
- Bridges’ average Usage at home against Dallas has been 9.8%, a 4.9% decrease from the regular season
Mikal Bridges OVER 6.5 Rebounds+Assists (FanDuel -122):
- Amassed 9 and 11 R+A in both home games against the Mavericks
- Totaled 6 and 8 in Games 3 and 4 in Dallas
- Bridges has gone OVER 6.5 R+A in 9 of his last 13 games against Dallas
- Bridges is averaging 9 rebound chances per game at home during the 2022 playoffs
- 8.5 on the road vs Dallas, 6 in three games at New Orleans
- Averaging 8 potential assists between Games 1 and 2 in Phoenix
- Only averaged 3 potential assists in Dallas
The Mavericks’ shooters were unbelievable this past weekend in Dallas to help even the series at 2-2. However, this didn’t include one of the team’s key contributors from their previous matchup with Utah: Spencer Dinwiddie.
Dinwiddie has not shot the ball well this postseason, drawing comments from head coach Jason Kidd ahead of Game 4. While Kidd encouraged Dinwiddie in public, Dinwiddie’s minutes on the court have decreased every game this series. The minutes totals have gone from a high of 30 to a playoff-low of 19 minutes last game.
I don’t expect Dinwiddie’s minutes to further decline, as he played during the crucial moments of Game 4, but we will take advantage of his poor shooting and decreasing minutes.
Spencer Dinwiddie UNDER 13.5 Points + Rebounds (FanDuel -106):
- Frank Ntilikina has picked up 21 minutes played the last two games at home
- Ntilikina played 2 and 5 minutes in Phoenix
- Dinwiddie's minutes are decreasing, he has logged 30, 28, 24, and 19 minutes this series.
- Dinwiddie is UNDER 10.5 points in 3 of 4 games this series
- Scored 11 in Game 2 with the help of 4 free throw attempts
- UNDER 10.5 points in 5/7 games since Luka Doncic returned from injury
- Shooting percentages have been abysmal throughout the playoffs:
- 26.7% on drives vs Suns
- 31.4% total vs Phoenix and 36.1% against Utah
- Dinwiddie grabbed 3 rebounds and 1 rebound in Games 1 and 2
- Appears to have little interest in rebounding
- 2/3 rebounds were off tips from teammates in G1 and the single rebound in G2 was a bouncing ball off Deandre Ayton’s hands
- Averaging 3 rebound chances per game at Phoenix
- 8.5 rebound chances in Games 3 and 4 in Dallas
