Texans vs. Patriots Prediction, Picks & Odds For NFL Preseason W1: 8/10
With last Thursday’s Hall of Fame Game between the New York Jets and Cleveland Browns, we got our first taste of NFL action since seeing the Kansas City Chiefs defeat the Philadelphia Eagles in Super Bowl 58. That continues this week with the first true week of preseason action, which includes the New England Patriots hosting the Houston Texans on Thursday night.
Our experts have come up with their best Texans vs. Patriots prediction in the article below, and we’ll also explain how to use our pick to snag a guaranteed $150 DraftKings Sportsbook sign-up bonus.
HOUSTON TEXANS VS. NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS PREDICTION: Under 38.5 (-110 at DraftKings Sportsbook)
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Texans vs. Patriots Prediction for NFL Preseason Week 1 on Thursday, 8/10
The Texans vs. Patriots matchup will be the first preseason game of Week 1, as it takes place at 7 PM ET on Thursday, August 10. Expectations aren’t high for either team, as oddsmakers are anticipating each of them to finish in last place in their respective division.
Houston has the longest odds to win the AFC South at +800 odds, while the Patriots are in the same situation with +800 odds themselves to win the AFC East. Therefore, we’re predicting a close matchup on Thursday night, which is also demonstrated by the Texans being just a slight 1.5-point favorite. Rather than sweating out a winner, our best Texans vs. Patriots prediction is focused on the total, or over/under.
Texans vs. Patriots NFL Picks & Best Bets
Targeting low-scoring games has been a great way to approach the Pats, especially since losing Tom Brady to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers a few seasons ago. With Mac Jones still leading the helm, the priority is on the defense more than ever.
Even when New England had Brady, they were never a team to put elite weapons around him year after year. That concept has been enhanced even further the past few seasons. The Pats have had just one WR eclipse 1,000 in the last five years. In fact, they haven’t even had a 900-yard WR in those seasons either.
Head coach Bill Belichick is also one to prefer a stable of RBs, so they aren’t elite in that category either. The same can be said for the Houston Texans, as they’ve been one of the worst teams in the NFL since the last time QB Deshaun Watson took a snap for them. That’s why they drafted QB CJ Stroud with the #2 overall pick in the 2023 NFL Draft, so expecting him to be ready against a Belichick defense is quite a big ask.
Even when Houston had more experienced signal-callers last season, they finished the year with just 289 points, tied for the second-fewest in the NFL. Finally, the Texans also hired a new head coach this past offseason - DeMeco Ryans. He joined the team he played for after being a defensive coordinator for the San Francisco 49ers, so we already know where his focus lies.
With all that in mind, our best Texans vs. Patriots prediction is on the under 38.5 points (-110 at DraftKings Sportsbook).
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Texans vs. Patriots Odds & Patriots Preseason Schedule for 2023 Available at DraftKings Sportsbook for Thursday, August 10th, 2023
In terms of our best Texans vs. Patriots prediction, the under 38.5 points comes with -110 odds at DraftKings Sportsbook, which means an $11 wager profits $10 as long as the game ends with 38 or fewer points. We have each of the standard markets for you below as well:
Point spread:
- Houston Texans -1.5 (-110) vs. New England Patriots +1.5 (-110)
Money line:
- Houston Texans (-130) vs. New England Patriots (+110)
Total (over/under):
- Over 38.5 (-110) vs. Under 38.5 (-110)
We know Texans and Pats fans are interested in each of their upcoming games, not just their Thursday matchup, so here are their preseason schedules:
HOU Texans:
- Thursday, August 10 at 7 PM ET: at. New England Patriots
- Saturday, August 19 at 4 PM ET: vs. Miami Dolphins
- Sunday, August 27 at 8 PM ET: at New Orleans Saints
NE Patriots:
- Thursday, August 10 at 7 PM ET: vs. Houston Texans
- Saturday, August 19 at 8 PM ET: at Green Bay Packers
- Friday, August 25 at 8:15 PM ET: at Tennessee Titans
Make sure you’re prepared for those upcoming matchups and our Texans vs. Patriots prediction for Thursday by creating a new account at DraftKings for your guaranteed $150 bonus.
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