ESPN Predicts Winner of Indiana Fever vs Atlanta Dream Playoff Series

The Atlanta Dream and Indiana Fever are set to face off in the first round of the WNBA playoffs.
May 22, 2025; Atlanta, Georgia, USA; Atlanta Dream guard Rhyne Howard (10) gets in the face of Indiana Fever guard Caitlin Clark (22) in the first half at State Farm Arena. Mandatory Credit: Brett Davis-Imagn Images
May 22, 2025; Atlanta, Georgia, USA; Atlanta Dream guard Rhyne Howard (10) gets in the face of Indiana Fever guard Caitlin Clark (22) in the first half at State Farm Arena. Mandatory Credit: Brett Davis-Imagn Images / Brett Davis-Imagn Images

On Sunday, the Atlanta Dream are facing off against the Indiana Fever for Game 1 of their 2025 playoff run. The Dream ended their 2025 regular season on a six-game winning streak, while the Fever won each of their last three games.

The Dream put together a historic 2025 season, setting a new franchise record with 30 wins, led by stars like Allisha Gray, Rhyne Howard, and Brionna Jones. The Fever, on the other hand, had much higher expectations heading into the year, but Caitlin Clark's injury problems were a big setback.

Clark played just 13 games for Indiana this season and has already been ruled out for the remainder of the year as they head into the postseason. As Atlanta faces a Clark-less Fever team, they should be in a favorable position to move on to the second round.

Dream vs. Fever prediction

The Dream are undoubtedly expected to beat Indiana, but what are the experts saying? ESPN is giving the Dream a 66.9% chance to beat the Fever in the first round of the WNBA playoffs.

"While much attention has been paid to Las Vegas' win streak, the Dream won 15 of their final 18 games, including the last six in a row," ESPN wrote. "...Under first-year coach Karl Smesko, the Dream embraced a different identity this season, averaging 84.4 PPG with a 110.5 offensive rating. Meanwhile, Atlanta continued the defensive prowess it was already known for, finishing with a 100.5 defensive rating, best in the league."

The Dream certainly have some firepower over the Fever, but Indiana is not a team that they can take lightly. Led by one of the best guards in the WNBA, Kelsey Mitchell, the Fever remain a legitimate threat despite missing five players due to season-ending injuries.

"Indiana has two of the league's top players in Boston and Mitchell, the latter of whom might show up on MVP ballots for her heroics in keeping the Fever afloat," ESPN wrote. "Despite so many injuries, Indiana boasts a strong core with that duo plus Howard and Hull."

Indiana Fever guard Kelsey Mitchell (0) guards Atlanta Dream guard Allisha Gray (15)
July 11, 2025; Indianapolis, Indiana, USA; Indiana Fever guard Kelsey Mitchell (0) guards Atlanta Dream guard Allisha Gray (15) at Gainbridge Fieldhouse. Mandatory Credit: Grace Smith/INDIANAPOLIS STAR-Imagn Images / Grace Smith/INDIANAPOLIS STAR-Imagn Images

The Dream have not reached the second round of the playoffs since 2018, while the Fever have not since 2015. One of those teams will finally snap their drought this year, but the tides are certainly in Atlanta's favor to move on against a short-handed Fever team.

Game 1 is set for 3:00 p.m. ET in Atlanta on ABC on Sunday.

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Logan Struck
LOGAN STRUCK

Logan Struck is a writer covering the NBA for Sports Illustrated's On SI since 2023