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New York Knicks Jump 17% in Eastern Conference Champion Prediction Markets

The New York Knicks have surged 17% in Eastern Conference champion prediction markets after dominant wins over the Atlanta Hawks, putting pressure on the Boston Celtics ahead of a pivotal Game 7 vs. the Philadelphia 76ers.
New York Knicks center Karl-Anthony Towns (32) reacts to a call against the Atlanta Hawks in the second quarter during game six of the first round of the 2026 NBA Playoffs at State Farm Arena.
New York Knicks center Karl-Anthony Towns (32) reacts to a call against the Atlanta Hawks in the second quarter during game six of the first round of the 2026 NBA Playoffs at State Farm Arena. | Brett Davis-Imagn Images

Things looked bleak for the New York Knicks less than a week ago.

After dropping back-to-back one-point heartbreakers to the Atlanta Hawks, New York found itself trailing 2-1 in the series with Game 4 set in Atlanta. That’s when the Knicks flipped the script. Karl-Anthony Towns delivered a monster performance with a 20-point, 10-rebound, 10-assist triple-double, powering New York to a convincing road win and evening the series at 2-2.

However, prediction markets still weren’t necessarily buying into the Knicks, considering it seemed all but certain that the Celtics were going to dispatch the Philadelphia 76ers. Even after Joel Embiid returned, Boston blew the Sixers out of the building, taking a 3-1 commanding series lead. 

But suddenly, things have changed. The Celtics have now dropped back-to-back games while struggling to knock down the same wide-open three-point looks that usually fuel their offense, forcing a high-pressure Game 7 at TD Garden against a suddenly dangerous Sixers team that is bursting at the seams with talent.

While Boston has stumbled, New York has gone in the opposite direction.

The Knicks have played their best brand of basketball this year over the last three games. After winning Game 4 by 16 points, they returned to Madison Square Garden and dismantled Atlanta 126-97 in Game 5 behind a huge bounce-back performance from Jalen Brunson, who erupted for 39 points after a relatively quiet start to the series.

Knicks Surge While Celtics Struggle

Then somehow, some way, New York took things up yet another level.

Facing a desperate Hawks team in a win-or-go-home Game 6 on the road, the Knicks put together a masterclass. After the Hawks took a brief lead early, New York surged to a 25-point lead after the first quarter. 

By halftime, it was already historic. They had their biggest playoff lead in franchise history, leading 83-36. 

OG Anunonby dropped 29 points in just 27 minutes, Towns tallied his second triple-double in three games despite attempting just four field goals, and Mikail Bridges finally arrived in the postseason, scoring 24 points on 10-of-12 shooting from the field. 

On the same night Boston failed to close out Philadelphia on the road, the Knicks looked every bit like the contender many expected them to become this season.

That shift is now reflected in the markets.

Eastern Conference Champion Probabilities

Eastern Conference Champion Probabilities
Kalsh

New York has jumped 17% in Kalshi’s Eastern Conference Champion market and now trails Boston by just five percentage points.

If the Celtics win Game 7 against the Sixers, Boston will see their number rise. However, the team’s inability to adapt when they aren’t draining three pointers has to be discouraging for Celtic fans. And if Philadelphia pulls off the miraculous upset, the Knicks would instantly become the favorites to represent the Eastern Conference in the 2026 NBA Finals. While they likely wouldn’t have much of a shot against the Oklahoma City Thunder or San Antonio Spurs, it would still be a massive accomplishment. 

All eyes now turn to TD Garden on Saturday night, where the Celtics and 76ers will decide the shape of the Eastern Conference bracket.

But one thing is already clear: regardless of who advances, the Knicks are heading into Round 2 with all the confidence in the world.

After dismantling Atlanta by 51 points in a closeout game, New York suddenly looks like a team nobody in the East wants to face.


Accuracy note: Market data referenced in this article reflects information as of Friday, May 1, 2026. Prediction market prices are live and shift continuously. Always verify current information directly at Kalshi.com and Polymarket.com before trading.

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Matt Brandon
MATT BRANDON

Matt Brandon has spent more than a decade in the fantasy sports and sports media world, with stops at Scout Media, CBS Sports, Sports Illustrated, DrRoto.com, Fantasy SP, FullTime Fantasy, and several other industry staples. A three-time Top-10 finisher in FantasyPros’ national rankings competition, Brandon has also captured multiple major DFS tournament wins on FanDuel and DraftKings. His true expertise lies in season-long fantasy football and fantasy basketball, along with sports betting analysis. A lifelong New Yorker, he proudly bleeds blue for his Giants, Knicks, Rangers, and Mets. Brandon also covers Major League Baseball, with a particular focus on the Seattle Mariners, San Francisco Giants, and Philadelphia Phillies

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