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Prediction Markets On SI
Parker Loverich|

Recent Articles

Steph Curry vs. Devin Booker in a one-game playoff tonight. Kalshi's market sits at Phoenix 58%, Golden State 42% with $1M in volume.
Parker Loverich|
New to Kalshi? Learn how the prediction market app works, how to read contract prices and market data, and what to know before placing your first trade.
Parker Loverich|
Knicks vs. Hawks playoff predictions and series breakdown—analyzing New York’s 70% win probability against Atlanta’s late-season surge.
Matt Brandon|
Los Angeles Rams top the Kalshi Super Bowl LXI market at 11%. See why they've overtaken defending champion Seattle and what the prediction market is pricing for the 2026-27 season.
Parker Loverich|
Tonights play-in game between the Orlando Magic and the Philadelphia 76ers has all the makings to be a tight game. Who the Kalshi markets thinks comes out on top at the end.
Parker Loverich|
Chandler Simpson leads the 2026 MLB stolen base race with a rising probability, as Elly De La Cruz and Bobby Witt Jr. chase in a fast-moving prediction market.
Matt Brandon|
Steph Curry and the Golden State Warriors head to the Intuit Dome to take on Kawhi Leonard and the LA Clippers. Winner moves on to play Phoenix, loser goes home. The play-in tournament continues tonight.
Parker Loverich|
Analyze the 2026 MLB home run leader race with Aaron Judge, Kyle Schwarber, and Shohei Ohtani, including probabilities, stats, and prediction market insights shaping the power leaderboard.
Matt Brandon|
Scottie Scheffler enters Harbour Town as the Kalshi market leader at 19%, but Cameron Young, Matt Fitzpatrick, and a deep field are ready to make things interesting at the 2026 RBC Heritage.
Parker Loverich|
Charlotte enters Tuesday's NBA Play-In as Kalshi's 66% favorite over Miami at 34%. The Hornets have home court and the better record. The Heat have Bam Adebayo and a history of winning when it matters most.
Parker Loverich|
Cade Smith leads the 2026 AL Reliever of the Year market at 25%, but Andrés Muñoz and Aroldis Chapman are closing in as early-season volatility reshapes the market.
Matt Brandon|
Los Angeles holds 43% implied probability on Kalshi's 2026 NL Champion market, but Pittsburgh has surged four points and is turning heads. Here is what the contracts say about the National League pennant race.
Parker Loverich|
Predict the 2026 NBA Finals winner with probabilities and analysis on the Oklahoma City Thunder, San Antonio Spurs, and Boston Celtics based on Kalshi prediction markets.
Matt Brandon|
The Yankees hold 19% implied probability on Kalshi's 2026 AL Champion market, but Seattle is right behind them at 18% and Detroit's 11% raises questions. Here is what the current contracts say about the American League pennant race.
Parker Loverich|
Garrett Nussmeier leads Kalshi's third quarterback drafted market at 56%, but Carson Beck sits at 26% despite lower draft board rankings. Here is what the implied probabilities say about the 2026 NFL Draft's most interesting quarterback question.
Parker Loverich|
Break down the 2026 NL Reliever of the Year race as Mason Miller, Edwin Díaz, and Jhoan Durán battle atop the market, with key stats, trends, and value insights.
Matt Brandon|
Spain sits at 17.2% and France at 16.9% on Kalshi's 2026 Men's World Cup winner market. Here is what the implied probabilities say about the contenders with less than ten weeks to go.
Parker Loverich|
Compare Tyreek Hill next team probabilites for 2026 as Kalshi and Polymarket sharply disagree on the Kansas City Chiefs and other landing spots, creating major betting market opportunities.
Ben Bloom|
Kalshi's 2026 Heisman market has Manning and Carr deadlocked at 13%, Mensah at 8% fresh off a 3,973-yard season at Duke, and a four-player cluster at 7%. Here is what the full board looks like in April.
Parker Loverich|
Sandy Alcantara sits at 31% in Kalshi's NL Comeback Player of the Year market. Michael Harris II has jumped nine points to 19%. Zack Wheeler at 23%, Woodruff at 17%. Full breakdown of every name on the board to start the 2026 season.
Parker Loverich|