Early Game = Easy Bet
If you're a betting man and you've been following this page, then you made the easiest money of all time betting against the Arkansas Razorbacks today.
As has been pointed out previously, the Hogs don't do mornings. For those who don't dig into low level analytics, Arkansas is now 0-5 in games starting before 1 p.m.
The Razorbacks' two largest losses, a 22-point loss to Oklahoma and Saturday's 18-point loss to Texas A&M both came before 1 p.m.
While the trend is troubling considering the NCAA tournament starts with eight games before 1 p.m. on each day of the first round followed by two more on each day of the second round, what's more troubling is that a coaching staff known for breaking down every detail in preparation of a game can't solve college kids waking up at a decent hour.
To say the Razorbacks were lethargic against the Aggies is an understatement. They had all the classic signs of lack of sleep.
Beyond being physically sluggish, evidence of mental fatigue was everywhere.
Passes frequently went to where players would have been after 1 p.m., but with the early start, players were not only where they should have been, they were often not paying attention at all. Couple that with the glazed, empty looks shown in close-ups when players went to the bench and it becomes clear that early starts have a harsher effect on this particular team than most.
If Arkansas falls into a morning slot, fixing this problem has to become an obsession for not just the staff, but the players.
The obvious go-to is figuring out proper sleep, but everything has to be analyzed from what is eaten and drank before a game later in the day versus pre-1 p.m. starts to the atmospheric energy in the locker room for different times.
However, if five games isn't enough for this team to learn from its previous mistakes in regard to early starts, then the discipline likely isn't there to make it happen for the tournament. Because of this, educated bettors will wager against the Hogs in the event of an early start.
Who can blame them. It's easy money.