Predicted scores of 2022-23 Duke basketball games

Duke basketball's win total in Jon Scheyer's first year is tough to figure.

Entering the 2022-23 Duke basketball season, the unpredictability in Durham is off the charts.

The season opener against Jacksonville marks the first in 43 years where someone other than Mike Krzyzewski will be commanding the Blue Devils. That new man in charge is 35-year-old Jon Scheyer, who has no experience as a head coach in the regular season outside of filling in for Coach K a few times in recent years.

Scheyer's first Duke basketball squad includes 11 new faces (seven rookies, four transfers) and only two returning scholarship players in junior Jeremy Roach and sophomore Jaylen Blakes. Roach is the only returning starter.

And although Duke enjoys the nation's two highest-rated newcomers, Dereck Lively II and Dariq Whitehead, they have missed valuable time in the preseason while recovering from injuries. Last week, Scheyer implied that Whitehead is still a few weeks from playing, and Lively's status for the opener is a game-day decision.

Under the circumstances, Duke's November slate looks even more daunting, notably the Champions Classic matchup against defending national champion and AP Top 25 preseason No. 5 Kansas, plus the potential showdown with preseason No. 2 Gonzaga as part of the Phil Knight Legacy bracket in Oregon the Sunday after Thanksgiving.

Then consider the preseason No. 7 Blue Devils' 20-game ACC schedule features two bouts with the preseason No. 1 in rival UNC, not to mention a meeting at preseason No. 18 Virginia and a handful of other conference games that could be against ranked opponents at the time.

Preseason uncertainty is unfriendly to season-long predictions such as these. But let's take a shot at it anyway, forecasting the final score of every game in the regular season and prophesizing the length of Duke basketball runs in the ACC Tournament and NCAA Tournament.

Duke versus Jacksonville

• Monday, Nov. 7, at 7 p.m. ET
• Cameron Indoor Stadium, Durham, N.C.
• Prediction: Duke 74, Jacksonville 61
• Actual final score: Duke 71, Jacksonville 44

Duke versus USC Upstate

• Friday, Nov. 11, at 6:30 p.m. ET
• Cameron Indoor Stadium
• Prediction: Duke 92, USC Upstate 58
• Actual final score: Duke 84, USC Upstate 38

Duke versus Kansas

• Tuesday, Nov. 15, at 9:30 p.m. ET
• Gainbridge Fieldhouse, Indianapolis, Ind.
• Prediction: Duke 75, Kansas 72
• Actual final score: Kansas 69, Duke 64

Duke versus Delaware

• Friday, Nov. 18, at 7 p.m. ET
• Cameron Indoor Stadium
• Prediction: Duke 82, Delaware 63
• Actual final score: Duke 92, Delaware 58

Duke versus Bellarmine

• Monday, Nov. 21, at 8 p.m. ET
• Cameron Indoor Stadium
• Prediction: Duke 87, Bellarmine 67
• Actual final score: Duke 74, Bellarmine 57

Duke versus Oregon State (Phil Knight Legacy)

• Thursday, Nov. 24, at 3 p.m. ET
• Veterans Memorial Coliseum, Portland, Ore.
• Prediction: Duke 84, Oregon State 61
• Actual final score: Duke 54, Oregon State 51

Duke versus Florida (predicted Phil Knight Legacy opponent)

• Friday, Nov. 25 (time to be announced)
• Portland
• Prediction: Duke 70, Florida 62
• Actual final score: Duke 71, Xavier 64

Duke versus Gonzaga (predicted Phil Knight Legacy opponent)

• Sunday, Nov. 27 (time to be announced)
• Portland
• Prediction: Gonzaga 81, Duke 72
• Actual final score: Purdue 75, Duke 56

Duke versus Ohio State

• Wednesday, Nov. 30, at 7: 15 p.m. ET
• Cameron Indoor Stadium
• Prediction: Duke 80, Ohio State 76
• Actual final score: Duke 81, Ohio State 72

Duke versus Boston College

• Saturday, Dec. 3, at 4 p.m. ET
• Cameron Indoor Stadium
• Prediction: Duke 73, Boston College 59
• Actual final score: Duke 75, Boston College 59

Duke versus Iowa

• Tuesday, Dec. 6, at 9:30 p.m. ET
• Madison Square Garden, New York, N.Y.
• Prediction: Duke 79, Iowa 78
• Actual final score: Duke 74, Iowa 62

Duke versus Maryland Eastern Shore

• Saturday, Dec. 10, at 5:30 p.m. ET
• Cameron Indoor Stadium
• Prediction: Duke 79, Maryland Eastern Shore 51
• Actual final score: Duke 82, Maryland Eastern Shore 55

Duke at Wake Forest

• Tuesday, Dec. 20, at 6:30 p.m. ET
• LJVM Coliseum, Winston-Salem, N.C.
• Prediction: Wake Forest 69, Duke 67
• Actual final score: Wake Forest 81, Duke 70

Duke versus Florida State

• Saturday, Dec. 31, at 1 p.m. ET
• Cameron Indoor Stadium
• Prediction: Duke 81, Florida State 79
• Actual final score: Duke 86, Florida State 67

Duke at NC State

• Wednesday, Jan. 4, at 7 p.m. ET
• PNC Arena, Raleigh, N.C.
• Prediction: Duke 84, NC State 68
• Actual final score: NC State 84, Duke 60

Duke at Boston College

• Saturday, Jan. 7, at 1 p.m. ET
• Conte Forum, Chestnut Hill, Mass.
• Prediction: Duke 74, Boston College 65
• Actual final score: Duke 65, Boston College 64

Duke versus Pitt

• Saturday, Jan. 11, at 7 p.m. ET
• Cameron Indoor Stadium
• Prediction: Duke 76, Pitt 67
• Actual final score: Duke 77, Pitt 69

Duke at Clemson

• Saturday, Jan. 14, at 5 p.m. ET
• Littlejohn Coliseum, Clemson, S.C.
• Prediction: Duke 72, Clemson 60
• Actual final score: Clemson 72, Duke 64

Duke versus Miami

• Saturday, Jan. 21, at noon ET
• Cameron Indoor Stadium
• Prediction: Miami 83, Duke 76
• Actual final score: Duke 68, Miami 66

Duke at Virginia Tech

• Monday, Jan. 23, at 7 p.m. ET
• Cassell Coliseum, Blacksburg, Va.
• Prediction: Virginia Tech 85, Duke 78
• Actual final score: Virginia Tech 78, Duke 75

Duke at Georgia Tech

• Saturday, Jan. 28, at 3 p.m. ET
• McCamish Pavilion, Atlanta
• Prediction: Duke 88, Georgia Tech 68
• Actual final score: Duke 86, Georgia Tech 43

Duke versus Wake Forest

• Tuesday, Jan. 31, at 7 p.m. ET
• Cameron Indoor Stadium
• Prediction: Duke 74, Wake Forest 70
• Actual final score: Duke 75, Wake Forest 73

Duke versus UNC

• Saturday, Feb. 4, at 6:30 p.m. ET
• Cameron Indoor Stadium
• Prediction: Duke 89, UNC 88
• Actual final score: Duke 63, UNC 57

Duke at Miami

• Monday, Feb. 6, at 7 p.m. ET
• Watsco Center, Coral Gables, Fla.
• Prediction: Miami 75, Duke 73
• Actual final score: Miami 81, Duke 59

Duke at Virginia

• Saturday, Feb. 11, at 4 p.m. ET
• John Paul Jones Arena, Charlottesville, Va.
• Prediction: Duke 67, Virginia 61
• Actual final score: Virginia 69, Duke 62 OT

Duke versus Notre Dame

• Tuesday, Feb. 14, at 7 p.m. ET
• Cameron Indoor Stadium
• Prediction: Notre Dame 78, Duke 73
• Actual final score: Duke 68, Notre Dame 64

Duke at Syracuse

• Saturday, Feb. 18, at 6 p.m. ET
• JMA Wireless Dome, Syracuse, N.Y.
• Prediction: Duke 88, Syracuse 77
• Actual final score: Duke 77, Syracuse 55

Duke versus Louisville

• Monday, Feb. 20, at 7 p.m. ET
• Cameron Indoor Stadium
• Prediction: Duke 84, Louisville 68
• Actual final score: Duke 79, Louisville 62

Duke versus Virginia Tech

• Saturday, Feb. 25, at 8 p.m. ET
• Cameron Indoor Stadium
• Prediction: Duke 69, Virginia Tech 65
• Actual final score: Duke 81, Virginia Tech 65

Duke versus NC State

• Tuesday, Feb. 28, at 7 p.m. ET
• Cameron Indoor Stadium
• Prediction: Duke 77, NC State 70
• Actual final score: Duke 71, NC State 67

Duke at UNC

• Saturday, March 4, at 6 or 6:30 p.m. ET
• Smith Center, Chapel Hill, N.C.
• Prediction: UNC 92, Duke 79
• Actual final score: Duke 62, UNC 57

ACC Tournament

• Tuesday, March 7, to Saturday, March 11
• Greensboro Coliseum, Greensboro, N.C.
• Prediction: Duke wins twice before losing in the title game
• Actual result: Duke won the ACC championship

NCAA Tournament

• Tuesday, March 14, to Monday, April 3 (Final Four in Houston)
• Prediction: Duke wins three times before losing in the Elite Eight
• Actual result: Duke won once before losing in the Round of 32

Predicted 2022-23 Duke basketball record: 29-9 (14-6 ACC)

Actual 2022-23 Duke basketball record: 27-9 (14-6 ACC)

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