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Michigan vs. #2 Purdue Prediction, Picks & Betting Odds for Today, 1/23

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The Purdue Boilermakers at Mackey Arena is always a lethal setup, as Matt Painter’s #2 squad takes a perfect 9-0 home record into a 9 PM ET tip against the Big Ten’s bottom-dweller to this point, the Michigan Wolverines. This is unfamiliar territory for head coach Juwan Howard and his talented group, but this team is riddled with issues, and it’s not about to get better against Zach Edey and Co.

Our experts have their Michigan vs. Purdue prediction detailed throughout this article, complete with a pick on the Michigan vs. Purdue spread – odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook.

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MICHIGAN VS. PURDUE PREDICTION: Purdue -17.5 (-110 at DraftKings Sportsbook)

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Michigan vs. Purdue Prediction for Today's College Basketball Game on Peacock

Purdue is 17-2 overall and 6-2 in Big Ten play, good for second in the standings. Michigan, on the other hand, is 7-11 overall, 2-5 in conference (T-last), and comes into this one losing six of their last seven games. To top it off, Michigan’s point guard, leading scorer and assist man, Dug McDaniel, is serving the second of his six-game road suspension tonight for academic reasons.

While Michigan has other talented players like the versatile forward Oliver Nkhamoua and the physically imposing Tarris Reed Jr., who help the Wolverines score the ball at a pretty elite clip, the defensive end of the floor has been a mystery to this team. Despite the talent in the frontcourt, Michigan has suffered from poor rebounding and aint defense, leading to plenty of second-chance opportunities, which is not ideal going up against the 7’4” Zach Edey and his storied resume.

Despite the slight concerns in true road game situations, Purdue has been a machine at Mackey Arena, scoring at least 80 points in all nine home appearances, including 95 against Penn State last time out and 83 against an impressive Illinois defense before that. Alarmingly, Michigan’s defense is far worse than those last two opponents, so we would not be surprised if Purdue crept near 100 points tonight, led by another monster performance from Edey.

Without McDaniel, Michigan just can’t keep up with this dynamic Purdue scoring attack. Expect Purdue to hold a sizable lead and wear out this Michigan team, resulting in a blowout by the time the final buzzer sounds.

Michigan vs. Purdue Picks & Best Bets Featuring Purdue -17.5

Purdue ranks 77 spots higher than Michigan on KenPom.com, and that is in large part thanks to the quality of Purdue’s defense and Michigan’s lacking defense. Michigan won’t turn Purdue’s backcourt over, especially without McDaniel, so Purdue should have no problem getting into their productive offensive sets, allowing plenty of post touches for Edey.

We see Purdue covering 17.5 points (-110 at DraftKings) as this Michigan team has lost its spirit in the 2023-24 campaign. Juwan Howard had health issues coming into the season and now he is firmly on the hot seat, with no pick-me-up games in sight.

The one positive for Michigan is that they can score, and with Purdue expected to torch this defense, we believe Michigan can post a respectable team total. In saying that, we like the game total to go over 153.5 points (-110 at DraftKings).

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Michigan vs. Purdue Betting Odds, Lines & Spreads at DraftKings

Here is the outlook for Michigan vs. Purdue odds tied to Michigan vs. Purdue picks at DraftKings:

  • Point Spread: Michigan +17.5 (-110) vs. Purdue -17.5 (-110)
  • Game Total: Over 153.5 (-110) / Under 153.5 (-110)
  • Zach Edey Points:

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Probable Lineups for Michigan vs. Purdue Today, 1/23

Michigan Starting Five:

  1. Jaelin Llewellyn
  2. Nimari Burnett
  3. Terrence Williams II
  4. Olivier Nkamhoua
  5. Tarris Reed Jr.

Purdue Starting Five:

  1. Braden Smith
  2. Fletcher Loyer
  3. Lance Jones
  4. Trey Kaufmann-Renn
  5. Armando Bacot

Trey Kaufman-Renn Injury Update

Sophomore starting forward Trey Kaufman-Renn suffered a scary-looking ankle injury on Saturday at Iowa, when he came down awkwardly while pulling down a rebound late in the game. He was helped off the floor and into the locker room, leaving his status moving forward in question.

Injury news is hard to come by in college basketball, but luckily Purdue assistant coach Paul Lusk dished the news that Kaufman-Renn has already returned to practice and is set to suit up tonight! Kaufman-Renn’s availability and Dug McDaniel’s absence for Michigan provide an added layer of confidence in our Michigan vs. Purdue prediction on the Michigan vs. Purdue spread.

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