Current Soccer Ballon d'Or 2024 Odds, Predictions, Betting Lines & Favorites
Discover the up-to-date soccer Ballon d'Or betting odds & predictions. Our experts examine the favorites & analyze futures bets for the 2024 award.
In Paris, France back on October 30, Lionel Messi took home his eighth career Ballon d’Or trophy. With his ceremonious win in the rearview, it’s time to preview the current Ballon d’Or odds 2024. This article will outline everything there is to know about the 2024 Ballon d’Or, Ballon d’Or betting, all of the Ballon d’Or favorites and our exclusive 2024 Ballon d’Or predictions.
Current Ballon d'Or 2024 Odds
With the 2024 ceremony almost a whole year away now, sports bettors have plenty of opportunity to get their Ballon d’Or futures wagers on. Lionel Messi is the current Ballon d’Or betting favorite with Erling Haaland having the second shortest odds to win Ballon d’Or.
For the second time in the history of the prestigious prize, it will be awarded based on the results of the season rather than the calendar year. The season commenced on August 1, 2022, and concluded on July 31, 2023 and you can check out the current Ballon d’Or betting odds 2024 below.
| Candidate | Odds |
|---|---|
Jude Bellingham | +300 |
Kylian Mbappe | +400 |
Erling Haaland | +450 |
Harry Kane | +600 |
Lionel Messi | +700 |
Rodri | +1200 |
Kevin De Bruyne | +2000 |
Vincius Jr. | +2000 |
Mohamed Salah | +2500 |
Cristiano Ronaldo | +2500 |
💲 Betting on Ballon d'Or Futures
When it comes to betting on Ballon d’Or futures, Bet365 Sportsbook is the place to be. As with all of their soccer coverage you have everything you could hope to see including all of the Ballon d’Or favorites and full coverage of all the Ballon d’Or candidates 2024. Here are a few of the best soccer betting sites around:
| Sportsbook 🏦 | Welcome Bonus 💰 |
|---|---|
Bet365 Sportsbook | Bet $5, Get $150 in Bonus Bets or First-Bet Coverage Worth up to $1,000 |
DraftKings Sportsbook | |
FanDuel Sportsbook | Bet $5, Get $150 in Bonus Bets After Winning a Money Line Bet |
✅ Ballon d'Or Candidates for 2024: Who Are the Favorites?
As you can see from the table above, there are a few different favorites after Lionel Messi was the odds-on-favorite last season. Following his July move to Inter Miami, the Argentine magician didn't look back. A run of 13 games for Inter Miami saw Messi pick up 11 goals and five assists to underline to the world that he remains at the top of his game. His Ballon d’Or odds closed at close to -600 with Bet365.
However, the scene has changed this season, as Messi's move has reduced the likelihood of him winning another Ballon d'Or. Instead, a trio of new talent are leading the pack, as Real Madrid's Jude Bellingham, PSG's Kylian Mbappe and Manchester City's Erling Haaland carry the shortest Ballon d'Or odds in 2024.
Jude Bellingham Ballon d'Or Odds
Jude Bellingham (+300 at Bet365) is the current favorite based on the Ballon d'Or 2024 odds, and the first-year Real Madrid midfielder has been spectacular thus far. He already has 13 goals and three assists through 14 matches in La Liga and UEFA Champions League play, so he's shown his potential to start the season.
However, he recently suffered a shoulder injury and missed Madrid's most recent game, so his Ballon d'Or 2024 odds could change if he cannot stay on the field.
Kylian Mbappe Ballon d'Or Odds
Kylian Mbappe (+400 at DraftKings) is right behind Bellingham in terms of Ballon d'Or 2024 odds, and the French attacker has started the year in fine form. The 24-year-old has 15 goals and one assist through 15 games in Ligue 1 and the UCL, and he'll aim to bring PSG their first-ever Champions League trophy.
If Mbappe can lead the team in Europe and continue his 1.0 goal per game form, he'll remain a favorite to win the 2024 Ballon d'Or right until the end.
Erling Halaand Ballon d'Or Odds
Erling Halaand (+450 at FanDuel) is the final 2024 Ballon d'Or favorite we'll cover in this article, and the Manchester City striker hasn't been his best to start the year. With that said, the Norwegian still has 17 goals and four assists through 16 matches in the English Premier League and UCL, so even though he hasn't been at his best, he's still the favorite to win the Golden Boot in England.
If Halaand heats up in the coming months, he could score 50+ goals in all competitions. so we love his chances of winning the 2024 Ballon d'Or.
2024 Ballon d'Or Predictions: Who Will Win in 2024?
*Editors Note: All odds used in our predictions below were provided by Bet365 Sportsbook on November 13, 2023*
There are multiple ways we could go with our 2024 Ballon d'Or predictions, but we'll be betting on Erling Halaand (+450 at Bet365) to win this year's award. As we said above, the 23-year-old hasn't been at his best this year, he's still leading the EPL with 13 goals, and Liverpool's Mohamed Salah is next in line with 10. Additionally, he's just one goal behind the lead in the UCL and could easily jump to the front with a few goals in their remaining group stage games.
Manchester City are the current favorites to win the EPL and UCL, and if that happens, it'll largely be due to Halaand. Although he won't be able to make an impact on the international stage due to Norway failing to qualify for the Euro, his impact domestically could be too hard to ignore. Therefore, our main 2024 Ballon d'Or prediction is on Halaand to win the award.
🐕 Ballon d'Or 2024: Long-Shot Candidates to Watch
Jude Bellingham, Kylian Mbappe and Erling Haaland look likely to dominate the next few years of the Ballon d’Or betting, but there are a few long-shot candidates to watch in the upcoming months.
There are a few different players you could target that have longer Ballon d'Or 2024 odds, and our favorite is Mohamed Salah (+2500 at DraftKings). As we stated above, the Egyptian has the second-most goals in the EPL, and Liverpool has played extremely well to start the season. If Salah can win the Golden Boot in the EPL and guide Liverpool to a title, his odds will shorten.
It will take a lot for Salah to jump Halaand's Ballon d'Or 2024 odds, but we think it's worth a small wager if you want to back a long-shot candidate.
📋 How the Ballon d'Or is Decided
The Ballon d'Or winner is determined by a panel of 100 journalists representing FIFA's top 100 member nations. Each journalist selects their top five choices from the 30-man shortlist, with each ranking assigned a specific points value:
- First place: Six points
- Second place: Four points
- Third place: Three points
- Fourth place: Two points
- Fifth place: One point
The player who accumulates the highest number of points in the voting process is crowned as the Ballon d'Or winner for that year.
📈 Trends & Statistics for the Ballon d'Or
- 6 of the last 10 Ballon d’Or winners had won the Uefa Champions League the season before
- Champions League winning team are virtually guaranteed to have a player in the top 10
- Never in the history of the Ballon d’Or has someone playing outside of Europe won the prize
Teams With Most Ballon d'Or Winners
- Barcelona - 12
- Real Madrid - 12
- Juventus - 8
- AC Milan - 8
- Bayern Munich - 5
Teams With No Ballon d'Or Winner
- Manchester City
- Arsenal
- Aston Villa
- Sevilla
- Atletico Madrid
Past 10 Winners of Ballon d'Or
| Year | Winner | Team | Position |
|---|---|---|---|
2023 | Lionel Messi | Inter Miami | Striker |
2022 | Karim Benzema | Real Madrid | Striker |
2021 | Lionel Messi | Paris Saint Germain | Striker |
2020 | No Winner | No Winner | No Winner |
2019 | Lionel Messi | Barcelona | Striker |
2018 | Luka Modric | Real Madrid | Striker |
2017 | Cristiano Ronaldo | Real Madrid | Striker |
2016 | Cristiano Ronaldo | Real Madrid | Striker |
2015 | Lionel Messi | Barcelona | Striker |
2014 | Cristiano Ronaldo | Real Madrid | Striker |
Who Has Won the Ballon d'Or Most Often?
As well as the years highlighted on the table above, Lionel Messi also claimed the prize in 2009, 2010, 2011 and 2012 so if he claims victory in Paris on October 30, he will extend his lead as the winning most player of all time with an eighth Ballon d’Or.
Cristiano Ronaldo is his closest pursuer in these standings and he currently has five Ballon d’Or trophies in his enormous trophy cupboard.
FAQs
❓ How are Ballon d'Or Odds Determined?
Ballon d’Or betting odds are determined by traders at the best soccer sportsbooks who analyse the likely outcomes and price the market accordingly.
❓ Can a Player Win the Ballon d'Or Multiple Times?
Yes, Lionel Messi currently has seven Ballon d’Ors and is looking to collect number eight this year.
❓ Do Ballon d'Or Odds Vary Across Different Sportsbooks?
They would normally vary the same as any betting market, but Bet365 are currently the only US sportsbook who have priced this year’s Ballon d’Or.
❓ When is the Ballon d'Or Announced?
The Ballon d’Or winner will be announced following a ceremony in Paris on October 30, 2023.
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