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Colts vs. Falcons Prediction, Player Props, Picks & Odds: Sun, 12/24

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Don’t look now, but the AFC South is completely up for grabs. Three teams are 8-6, which includes the Indianapolis Colts, who have an inter-conference matchup with the Atlanta Falcons this weekend. It’s set to be one of the closest games of the entire slate, but we’re still here with our best Colts vs. Falcons prediction and player props.

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COLTS VS. FALCONS PREDICTION: Indianapolis money line (-104 at DraftKings Sportsbook)

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Colts vs. Falcons Prediction for Christmas Eve Sunday, 12/24

Let’s get started with our Colts vs. Falcons prediction for this Christmas Eve matchup. It’s not one we see often, but perhaps the biggest news heading into the game is the status of RB Jonathan Taylor.

He was a full participant in practice as early as Wednesday after his thumb surgery, so that bodes well for him to be back 100% healthy. We’ll get more into why that is coming up, but the run game is how to attack the Falcons. As for Atlanta, we got some rather significant player news as well.

For the second time this season, they are benching second-year QB Desmond Ridder. Outside of rookie RB Bijan Robinson, their offense has been far from efficient, which is why we’re comfortable backing Indy in this spot. Not only that, but confidence and hopes should both be sky-high after last week’s win and a division title within their grasp.

On the flip side, Atlanta just lost to the Carolina Panthers, who were just 1-12 at the time. That made it back-to-back divisional losses in a very weak NFC South. So, we’re sticking with the basic markets when it comes to our Colts vs. Falcons prediction and going with Indy’s Money Line (-104 at DraftKings Sportsbook).

Colts vs. Falcons Player Props & Free Picks Featuring Jonathan Taylor & Bijan Robinson

We had a bit of foreshadowing for you, as we’re going to be starting our Colts vs. Falcons player props with Taylor. The All-Pro RB has dealt with injuries the past two seasons now, and while that frustrates fantasy football fans, he’s still one of the elite RBs in the league.

If there is one thing that the Falcons do well, it’s defend the pass. In that regard, they’re sandwiched between the Baltimore Ravens and Buffalo Bills in terms of passing yards allowed per game, which is fantastic company. Therefore, that is why we said that Indy should focus on the ground game this Sunday.

Although we haven’t seen JT in a couple of weeks, his most recent performance was him rushing for 91 yards and perhaps more impressively, 6.1 yards per carry. As long as he’s healthy, he performs, so targeting Jonathan Taylor Over Rushing Yards at DraftKings Sportsbook is the first of our Colts vs. Falcons player props.

Also, as mentioned, the bright spot for the Atlanta offense is rookie RB Bijan Robinson. We’re also going to be targeting him, as the ground game is also the best way to attack the Colts defense. They’re allowing the seventh-most rushing yards per game, just one spot better than the New York Jets.

Even if they step up like they did against the Pittsburgh Steelers last weekend, the sheer volume for Robinson should get him over this number. After all, they’re starting Taylor Heinicke at QB, so they’re not going to want to lean on him to win this game. With the emphasis expected to be on the rookie, we’ll also go with Bijan Robinson Over 58.5 Rushing Yards (-120 at DraftKings Sportsbook).

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Colts vs. Falcons Betting Odds & Lines via DraftKings Sportsbook for Christmas Eve 2023

Based on the DraftKings Sportsbook odds below, a $100 bet on our Colts vs. Falcons prediction profits $120 as long as Indy wins the game:

Point Spread:

  • Indianapolis Colts +2.5 (-102) vs. Atlanta Falcons -2.5 (-118)

Money Line:

  • Indianapolis Colts (+120) vs. Atlanta Falcons (-142)

Total (over/under):

  • Over 44.5 (-110) vs. Under 44.5 (-110)

Bijan Robinson Rushing Yards:

  • Over 58.5 (-120) vs. Under 58.5 (-110)

As for our Colts vs. Falcons player props, a $120 bet on Bijan profits $100 as long as he has at least 59 rushing yards.

Colts vs. Falcons Injury Report, Will Zack Moss Player Play?

Let’s wrap things up by sharing guys on both teams to keep an eye on over the weekend in terms of their injury status:

  • Michael Pittman Jr. (IND Colts)
  • Braden Smith (IND Colts)
  • Jack Anderson (IND Colts)
  • Zack Moss (IND Colts)
  • Segun Olubi (IND Colts)
  • Chris Lindstrom (ATL Falcons)
  • Kaleb McGary (ATL Falcons)
  • David Onyemata (ATL Falcons)
  • Bud Dupree (ATL Falcons)

While the focus has been JT’s return, there has also been concern with Indy RB Zack Moss, but he too is expected to play. A full backfield helps support our Colts vs. Falcons prediction on a win for Indy. Remember, you can back that pick, our Colts vs. Falcons player props or anything else to claim over $150 in guaranteed bonuses when you join DraftKings today.

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