Justin Jefferson, Caleb Williams and 3 More Underdog Fantasy MNF Picks: Vikings Vs. Bears

Top plays on Underdog Fantasy for Monday night's matchup between the Chicago Bears and the Minnesota Vikings.

Dec 16, 2024; Minneapolis, Minnesota, USA; Chicago Bears quarterback Caleb Williams (18) talks to Minnesota Vikings head coach Kevin O'Connell after the game quarter at U.S. Bank Stadium. | Brad Rempel-Imagn Images

Rounding out the first week of games is a late-night Monday night bout between the Caleb Williams-led Chicago Bears and the JJ McCarthy led Minnesota Vikings. Here are some of the best picks for the matchup on Underdog Fantasy.

Justin Jeffereson Over 79.5 Receiving Yards

Jul 28, 2025; Eagan, MN, USA; Minnesota Vikings wide receiver Justin Jefferson (18) looks on during the teams training camp at the Minnesota Vikings Training Facility. | Matt Krohn-Imagn Images

As JJ McCarthy plays in his first NFL contest, he will see a level of talent he has never seen before. That being said, he will need to rely on some veterans to help him through, and luckily for him, sixth-year receiver Justin Jefferson might be the best security blanket a rookie QB could have. Jefferson has hit the 1,000-yard mark in every season he has played, including the 2023 season, where he just appeared in 10 games. He is currently coming off a 1,533 receiving yard season. In that 2024 season, he hit the over 79.5 yard total 12 out of 17 times. Two of those times were against Chicago, where he recorded 135 yards and 104 yards.

DJ Moore Over 5.5 Receptions

Chicago Bears wide receiver DJ Moore (2) scores a touchdown on a reception against the Green Bay Packers in the fourth quarter during their football game Sunday, January 5, 2025, at Lambeau Field in Green Bay, Wisconsin. | Dan Powers/USA TODAY NETWORK-Wisconsin / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images

The connection between wide receiver DJ Moore and QB Caleb Williams became more solid as the 2024 season went on. In the last seven games of the season, Moore was targeted an average of 9.3 times a game. Through those final eight contests, he hit the over on the 5.5 reception mark every time. With Williams coming in with more experience this season, he and his WR1 should have no problem connecting six times against the Vikings.

Aaron Jones Over 16.5 Receiving Yards

Jan 13, 2025; Glendale, AZ, USA; Minnesota Vikings running back Aaron Jones (33) reacts after the NFC wild card game against the Los Angeles Rams at State Farm Stadium. | Joe Camporeale-Imagn Images

With a rookie quarterback making his debut, Veteran running back Aaron Jones will also be leaned on against Chicago on Monday night. Jones offers a lot of receiving upside at the RB position, and could see his fair share of checkdowns with McCarthy at QB. Last season, he hit the over on 16.5 receiving yards 12 out of 17 times. Two of these times were against the Bears, where he recorded 20 and 23 receiving yards.

Caleb Williams Over 218.5 Passing Yards

Aug 22, 2025; Kansas City, Missouri, USA; Chicago Bears quarterback Caleb Williams (18) warms up against the Kansas City Chiefs prior to a game at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium. | Denny Medley-Imagn Images

QB Caleb Williams has all the talent in the world to surpass this 218.5 passing yard total. Last season, Williams’ play had its great moments and bad moments. But now with a year of experience, he should be able to play at a more consistent level, especially in the passing game. Last season, he hit the over on this 218.5 total seven out of 17 times. One of those times he hit it was against the Vikings, where he threw for a total of 340 yards. He missed the total in the second game against Minnesota, throwing for 191 yards. With all that being said, despite being under 50% on covering it, in year two, Williams should be much improved and cover this total.

Will Reichard Over 1.5 Made Field Goals

Aug 22, 2025; Nashville, Tennessee, USA; Minnesota Vikings place kicker Will Reichard (16) against the Tennessee Titan during the first half at Nissan Stadium. | Steve Roberts-Imagn Images

One area rookie QBs can struggle in to start in the NFL is the redzone. If McCarthy fails to execute in these ares, then there will be plenty of opportunities for Minnesota kicker Will Reichard to kick some field goals. Last season, he attempted two or more field goals, 10 out of 13 regular season games, he appeared in.