Chase Burns Surging Through Minors, Promotion Looms After Hunter Greene Setback

Top Reds prospect Chase Burns is lighting up the minors with elite strikeout numbers and may be on the fast track to the majors following Hunter Greene’s injury.
Cincinnati Reds pitcher Chase Burns (81) during the annual team picture day at the Cincinnati Reds Player Development Complex in Goodyear, Ariz., on Tuesday, Feb. 18, 2025.
Cincinnati Reds pitcher Chase Burns (81) during the annual team picture day at the Cincinnati Reds Player Development Complex in Goodyear, Ariz., on Tuesday, Feb. 18, 2025. | Sam Greene/The Enquirer / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images

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In his final season in college (Wake Forest), Burns went 10-1 with a 2.70 ERA, 0.92 WHIP, and 191 strikeouts over 100.0 innings. His strikeout rate (17.2%) was a significant factor in Cincinnati drafting him second overall in 2024, behind Travis Bazzana. 

Chase Burns Fantasy Baseball Outlook

The Reds promoted Burns to AA in late April, and his right arm has shined over all eight starts. He allowed only one run in each matchup, leading to a 1.29 ERA and 0.71 WHIP over 42.0 innings. After back-to-back shutout performances (six baserunners and 10 strikeouts over 13.0 innings), Cincinnati promoted Burns to AAA.

In his time at AA, he issued only four walks with 55 strikeouts, showcasing his dominating ceiling. Batters are hitting .166 against him in his pro career, with an elite walk-to-strikeout ratio (9:75). Burns features a triple-digit fastball, supported by an electric slider with a developing curveball and changeup.

Hunter Greene Injury Impact

The second hamstring issue to Hunter Greene could lead to the Reds calling him up after some quick success at AAA. They handed that role to Wade Miley this week after poor starts in the minors (19 runs, 32 hits, and four home runs over 19.1 innings with 15 strikeouts).

Burns has pitched 53.2 innings this season, leaving him about 76.0 more innings for the year if Cincinnati wants to push him 30.0 innings higher than his final season in college. Each game pitched in the minors lowers his potential fantasy value if Burns is called up. 

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Shawn Childs
SHAWN CHILDS

With 20+ years of experience in the high-stakes fantasy market, I aim to research and compete at the highest level in baseball and football each season. I've contributed as a writer/analyst for Sports Draft Daily, ScoutPro, Scout Fantasy, Fulltime Fantasy, FFToolbox, and Sports Illustrated Fantasy. I'm honored to be in the National Fantasy Baseball Championship Hall of Fame. My drafting philosophy is risk-averse yet open to betting on potential game-changers. I approach player selection with a neutral perspective, acknowledging that fantasy sports are inherently unpredictable due to injuries, performance dips, and managerial decisions. My work focuses on these main areas: - Season-long fantasy baseball and football - BestBall Baseball and Football Events - Daily Fantasy Sports (DFS): DraftKings, FanDuel, and Underdog - Long Shot Player Prop Parlays for NFL I participate in various leagues and contests, including NFBC, NFFC, RTSports, FFPC, DraftKings, Underdog Fantasy, FanDuel, and FFWC, with the goal of leveraging my extensive experience and research for success in each game format. A fantasy follower can expect in-depth profiles of NFL and MLB players, along with season-long and weekly projections for each fantasy football season. In addition, I have many strategy articles to help develop fantasy players' learning curves.

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