Packers vs. Lions Preview: Projections & Odds for Jordan Love, Jahmyr Gibbs, More 

Get ready for a pivotal NFC North showdown as the Packers and Lions battle in Week 13, with major fantasy and playoff implications riding on stars like Jordan Love, Jahmyr Gibbs, and Amon-Ra St. Brown.
Detroit Lions running back Jahmyr Gibbs (0) looks on during warmup ahead of the Philadelphia Eagles game at Lincoln Financial Field in Philadelphia on Sunday, November 16, 2025.
Detroit Lions running back Jahmyr Gibbs (0) looks on during warmup ahead of the Philadelphia Eagles game at Lincoln Financial Field in Philadelphia on Sunday, November 16, 2025. | Junfu Han / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images

Heading into Week 13, the Detroit Lions (7-4) sit outside the playoffs in eighth position while trailing the Chicago Bears (8-3) and Green Bay Packers (7-3-1) in the NFC North. Green Bay drilled the Lions in Week 1 (27-13), putting Detroit in a must-win situation.

The better side of the Packers' equation this year has been their defense. They’ve allowed fewer than 20 points in seven games, but Green Bay lost three of those contests. 

Week 13 Packers vs. Lions Game Information

TV: FOX

Time: 1:00 PM EST

Vegas Line (DraftKings): Detroit – 2.5 points

Over/Under: 48.5

To help game managers set their rosters in Week 13, here’s a look at the game preview and projections for the Packers and Lions:

Green Bay Packers Week 13 Fantasy Football Projections

Green Bay Packers Week 13 Fantasy Football Projections
Shawn Childs

Jordan Love, Green Bay Packers

Week 13 Fantasy Football Sleeper: Jordan Love, Green Bay Packer
Green Bay Packers quarterback Jordan Love (10) against the Minnesota Vikings on Sunday, November 23, 2025, at Lambeau Field in Green Bay, Wis. The Packers defeated the Vikings 23-6.Wm. Glasheen | Wm. Glasheen/USA TODAY NETWORK-Wisconsin / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images

Over the past seven games, Love delivered one passing touchdown or fewer in five matchups while posting weakness in passing yards in six games on the year (188/2, 183/1, 179/1, 176/0, 174/2, and 139/0). Green Bay has thrown the ball fewer than 30 times in six matchups.

DraftKings set his over/under at 229.5 passing yards (-113o). In Week 1, he passed for 188 yards and two touchdowns vs. the Lions. The prop market expects him to toss fewer than 1.5 touchdowns (-120u). 

2025 Fantasy Football Quarterback Stats Against
Shawn Childs

The Lions’ defense ranks 14th in passing yards allowed (2,520), with 21 passing touchdowns. Quarterbacks average 31.7 passes and 7.2 yards per pass attempt.

  • Jordan Love (188/2)
  • Caleb Williams (207/2)
  • Lamar Jackson (288/3)
  • Joe Flacco (184/0)
  • Jake Browning (251/3)
  • Patrick Mahomes (257/3)
  • Baker Mayfield (228/1)
  • J.J. McCarthy (143/2)
  • Marcus Mariota (213/2)
  • Jalen Hurts (135/0)
  • Jameis Winston (366/2)

Love grades well in his completion rate (67.7%) and yards per attempt (7.7), suggesting a more active passing day in this matchup.

Lions vs. Packers Week 13 DraftKings Rushing Yard Over/Under Totals
DraftKings

Josh Jacobs, Green Bay Packers

Jacobs has rushed for over 60 yards in six of his 11 starts, with each requiring 17 rushing attempts or more. Despite his success in the fantasy market due to scoring ability (11 touchdowns), he’s gaining only 3.8 yards per carry with no runs of 20 yards or more. In Week 1, Jacobs gained 66 rushing yards with one score on 19 carries vs. Detroit.

DraftKings set his over/under at 57.5 rushing yards (-111u). He is -135 to score an anytime touchdown.

2025 Fantasy Football Running Back Points Against
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The Lions’ defense allowed five touchdowns to running backs, with them gaining 4.0 yards per carry. Their success is helped by facing a low number of rushing attempts per game (20.6). Six running backs have rushed for over 60 yards against Detroit.

  • Josh Jacobs (19/66/1)
  • D’Andre Swift (12/63/1)
  • Quinshon Judkins (21/82/1)
  • Aaron Jones (9/78)
  • Saquon Barkley (26/83)
  • Tyrone Tracy (20/62)

Jahmyr Gibbs, Detroit Lions

The Lions have limited Gibbs to 15 or fewer carries in eight of his 11 starts, lowering his ceiling in rushing yards when he doesn’t get into space. His play has been dynamic in three of his last five games.

  • 17/136/2 with three catches for 82 yards
  • 15/142/2 with three catches for 30 yards and one score
  • 15/219/2 with 11 catches for 45 yards and one touchdown

Gibbs has 13 touchdowns, with four multiple-scoring games. Detroit held him to 50 combined yards in Week 1 with 11 catches. He’s gained over 72 yards rushing in all four home matchups and once on the road.

DraftKings set his over/under at 71.5 rushing yards (-111u). They don’t like a rushing attempt prop for him, which may offer some insight if the Lions change his usage in this matchup due to a short week. Gibbs is -185 to score an anytime touchdown.

2025 Fantasy Football Running Back Stats Against
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The Packers hold running backs to 3.9 yards per rush, with them scoring six touchdowns. Just like Detroit, backs average low rushing attempts (22.4) against Green Bay, helping the defensive rankings. Four running backs have rushed for over 72 yards vs. the Packers.

  • Quinshon Judkins (18/94/1)
  • Javonte Williams (20/85/1)
  • Rico Dowdle (25/130/2)
  • Tyrone Tracy (19/88)

Detroit Lions Week 13 Fantasy Football Projections

Detroit Lions Week 13 Fantasy Football Projections
Shawn Childs

Jared Goff, Detroit Lions

On the surface, Goff appears to be having a down season. He’s on pace to pass for over 4,279 yards (four-year low) and 36 touchdowns, despite averaging 32 passes per game (31.7 in 2024). His passing attempts have been higher over his last four starts (37, 33, 37, and 42), coming after a stretch of six games with under 30 passes. As a result, his pass yards have been higher over this span (284/2, 320/3, 255/1, and 279/2).

DraftKings set his over/under at 241.5 passing yards (-113u), a total he’s beaten in 54.5% of his games. He is expected to pass for more than 1.5 touchdowns (-142o).

2025 Fantasy Football Quarterback Stats Against
Shawn Childs

Green has the fifth-best defense in passing yards allowed (2,176), with quarterbacks gaining only 5.9 yards per pass attempt with 13 passing touchdowns. Even with seven offenses attempting more than 35 passes in a game, only two quarterbacks passed for more than 225 yards.

  • Dak Prescott (319/3)
  • Jacoby Brissett (279/2)
Week 13 Packers vs. Lions DraftKings Receiving Yard Over/Under Totals
DraftKings Sportsbook

Amon-Ra St. Brown, Detroit Lions

Fantasy Football Star: Amon-Ra St. Brown, Detroit Lions
Detroit Lions wide receiver Amon-Ra St. Brown (14) warms up ahead of the Washington Commanders game at Northwest Stadium in Landover, Md. on Sunday, November 9, 2025. | Junfu Han / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images

The only trusted receiving option in this matchup is St. Brown. He’s gained over 80 receiving yards in five matchups, four of which have come at home over five games. The Packers held him to four catches for 45 yards on six targets in Week 1. 

DraftKings set his over/under at 80.5 receiving yards (-110u). St. Brown is +100 to score an anytime touchdown.

2025 Fantasy Football Wide Receiver Stats Against
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The Packers rank fifth in receiving yards allowed (1,352), with wideouts catching 57.7% of their targets. They gain 11.4 yards per catch, with eight touchdowns. Only two wide receivers gained over 75 yards.

  • George Pickens (8/134/2)
  • Ja’Marr Chase (10/94/1)

Christian Watson, Green Bay Packers

Over the past two weeks, Watson has started to emerge in the Packers’ offense despite averaging only six targets. He made two challenging touchdown catches in Week 11 (4/46/2) while seeing a season-high seven targets in Week 12 (5/49). Watson is gaining 16.6 yards per catch over five starts, with 29.4% of his 17 catches gaining over 20 yards.

2025 Fantasy Football Wide Receiver Points Against
Shawn Childs

Detroit slid to 21st in passing yards allowed (1,654) after the Giants’ wideouts beat them for 12 catches for 221 yards and two touchdowns in Week 12. The Lions will allow big plays (13.8 yards per catch) and touchdowns (15), which are winning signs for Watson in this matchup.

DraftKings set his over/under at 58.5 receiving yards (-114o), a total Watson has reached only once in five games. He is +170 to score an anytime touchdown.

  • Romeo Doubs (2/68)
  • Rome Odunze (7/128/2)
  • Rashod Bateman (5/63/1)
  • Ja’Marr Chase (6/110/2)
  • Andrei Iosivas (5/82)
  • Wan’Dale Robinson (9/156/1)

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Shawn Childs
SHAWN CHILDS

With 20+ years of experience in the high-stakes fantasy market, I aim to research and compete at the highest level in baseball and football each season. I've contributed as a writer/analyst for Sports Draft Daily, ScoutPro, Scout Fantasy, Fulltime Fantasy, FFToolbox, and Sports Illustrated Fantasy. I'm honored to be in the National Fantasy Baseball Championship Hall of Fame. My drafting philosophy is risk-averse yet open to betting on potential game-changers. I approach player selection with a neutral perspective, acknowledging that fantasy sports are inherently unpredictable due to injuries, performance dips, and managerial decisions. My work focuses on these main areas: - Season-long fantasy baseball and football - BestBall Baseball and Football Events - Daily Fantasy Sports (DFS): DraftKings, FanDuel, and Underdog - Long Shot Player Prop Parlays for NFL I participate in various leagues and contests, including NFBC, NFFC, RTSports, FFPC, DraftKings, Underdog Fantasy, FanDuel, and FFWC, with the goal of leveraging my extensive experience and research for success in each game format. A fantasy follower can expect in-depth profiles of NFL and MLB players, along with season-long and weekly projections for each fantasy football season. In addition, I have many strategy articles to help develop fantasy players' learning curves.

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