#11 Penn State vs. Michigan State Prediction, Picks & Odds Today on NBC
The Penn State Nittany Lions wrap up their regular season this Friday at Ford Field in Detroit, Michigan, versus the Michigan State Spartans. PSU will finish behind Michigan and Ohio State in the Big Ten East, so while there aren't College Football Playoff implications related to tonight’s game, the Nittany Lions are playing for a competitive Bowl game. After last week’s bounce-back win against Rutgers, I expect the visitors to continue their momentum.
I’ve gone 5-4 this season with my Penn State football picks, and although I lost my Penn State vs. Michigan prediction two weeks ago by five points, I nailed my best bets in the Indiana, UMASS, West Virginia, Illinois and Iowa contests. Keep reading to see the reasoning behind my Penn State vs. Michigan State picks, which you can fade or follow to unlock a $150 new-user bonus from FanDuel Sportsbook.
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PENN STATE VS. MICHIGAN STATE PREDICTION: Penn State -13.5 & U50.5 (-107 at FanDuel)
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Penn State Nittany Lions vs. Michigan State Spartans Prediction for Today, 11/24
The Nittany Lions conclude the regular season third in the Big Ten East Division standings, acknowledging their exclusion from the Big Ten Championship. Quarterback Drew Allar is nursing a shoulder injury sustained against Rutgers last week, but he is expected to take the field, according to head coach James Franklin. However, there's a possibility of a cautious approach, so watch out for redshirt freshman QB Beau Pribula, who might see significant action in this season finale.
The Michigan State Spartans are facing a challenging season with seven losses and no bowl-game prospects, but they haven't surrendered. Their recent victories, including an impressive road triumph against Indiana with a 24-21 score as 3.5-point underdogs, aim to build momentum under the new coaching regime.
While the offense has struggled, posting 24 or fewer points in nine consecutive games with interim coach Harlan Barnett, the defense has shown improvement. Anticipate a Penn State win on the road, even with Allar's potential limitations, but the Spartans defense could keep this one close.
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Penn State vs. Michigan State Best Bets & Expert Picks
Penn State -13.5 and Under 50.5 points (-107 at FanDuel) is my main Penn State vs. Michigan State prediction. First and foremost, Penn State has demonstrated dominance in their victories this season, with eight out of their nine wins coming by a margin of 14 points or more. This consistent pattern suggests a propensity for the Nittany Lions to secure decisive victories.
Examining their road performances adds further support to this bet. In the four road games this season, the total score average is 48.8 points. Additionally, Michigan State's recent offensive struggles against formidable opponents like Michigan and Ohio State, where they managed only three combined points, raises concerns about their ability to reach double digits against Penn State. Although they picked up a good road win last week, this Nittany Lions defense is one of the best in the country, so moving the ball will come at a premium.
In four of Penn State's previous five season finales, the total went under. Penn State tends to ease off the gas pedal in this game, leading to lower-scoring affairs. The Spartans’ seven losses came by an average of 24 points, and five of their seven losses were by 14+. The average point total in those seven losses is 44.3 points, which is why I’m taking a higher number than the posted 42.5.
All in all, this feels like Penn State could win by a wide margin, but I’m slightly concerned the offense will struggle with QB Drew Allar not playing at 100%. I’m hesitant to back PSU -20.5, so I’ve opted for a Same Game Parlay when making my Penn State vs. Michigan State prediction, and my best bet is on Penn State -13.5 & U50.5 (-107 at FanDuel).
How to Secure $150 in Bonus Bets at FanDuel Sportsbook Betting on Penn State
Before making my Penn State vs. Michigan best bets, I reviewed the latest betting markets at FanDuel Sportsbook. I’d focus on the money line betting market because FanDuel is giving new users $150 in bonus bets if they place and win a $5 money line bet.
If you can’t find any Penn State vs. Michigan State odds you absolutely love, bet on the Nittany Lions ML to unlock $150 in bonus bets after following these steps:
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Penn State vs. Michigan State Odds & Betting Lines Courtesy of FanDuel for Today, November 24th, 2023
Here are the latest Penn State vs. Michigan State odds at FanDuel Sportsbook heading into Friday’s game:
- Point Spread: Penn State -20.5 (-118) vs. Michigan State +20.5 (-104)
- Money Line: Penn State (-2300) vs. Michigan State (+1060)
- Game Total (Over/Under): Over 42.5 (-105) vs. Under 42.5 (-115)
A $118 bet on Penn State -20.5 (-118 at FanDuel) profits $100 if they win by 21+, but if you want to back my Penn State vs. Michigan State picks, create an SGP instead. A $107 bet on Penn State -13.5 & U50.5 (-107 at FanDuel) profits $100 if PSU wins by 14+ and there are 50 points or fewer.
Penn State Football: Drew Allar Injury Update
Drew Allar is expected to take the field on Friday night against Michigan State, according to the current trajectory. However, Coach James Franklin remains tight-lipped about the starting quarterback, keeping the decision under wraps.
Following his injury against Rutgers last Saturday, Allar participated in Tuesday's practice but refrained from throwing during the media viewing period. Franklin, in a light-hearted manner, suggested that this intentional omission was to generate speculation on social media platforms.
Addressing reporters post-practice in State College, Franklin stated, "We did that just to mess with you. We're still confident that he'll be ready to go [Friday]." He went on to discuss the strategic considerations, noting, "If we were game-planning for Drew to be the primary quarterback, it would be a little different for Beau to be the primary quarterback. We would emphasize different things. That's why it's good when you guys asked me before; I said our model and plan don't need to change based on the information we have right now."
So, Allar will likely start on Friday, but I anticipate playing time for Pribula, which is why I like the under in my Penn State vs. Michigan State prediction.
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