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Boise State, Oregon State top choices to represent Group of Six in College Football Playoff

Broncos last reached CFP in 2024
Boise State running back Dylan Riley.
Boise State running back Dylan Riley. | Photo courtesy of Boise State Athletics

Despite an undefeated James Madison (7-0, 4-0 Sun Belt) running away with its conference, national experts still believe the Group of Six’s College Football Playoff representative will come out of the reborn Pac-12. 

Most projections have No. 21 Boise State (5-1, 2-0) reaching the College Football Playoff for the second time in three seasons. The Broncos had a bye last week ahead of Saturday’s road matchup with Washington State (1-6, 0-3). 

For the first time this season, Brad Crawford of CBS Sports projected Oregon State (5-2, 3-0) to secure the Group of Six’s automatic bid to the CFP. The Beavers, who are on a bye this week, have ripped off five straight wins following competitive losses to Big 12 contenders No. 14 Houston (6-1, 3-1) and No. 8 Texas Tech (6-0, 3-0).

Boise State will host Oregon State on Nov. 14. The winner will likely host the Pac-12 championship game, which is slated for Dec. 4. 

DraftKings Sportsbook has Boise State (+148) and James Madison (+190) as the top Group of Six CFP contenders ahead of New Mexico (+400), UTSA (+850) and Oregon State (+1200). 

Here is a collection of bowl projections from national writers for Pac-12 teams entering Week 8 of the 2026 college football season. 

Kyle Bonagura, ESPN

College Football Playoff: Boise State at Utah

Hawaii Bowl: San Diego State vs. North Dakota State

Holiday Bowl: Louisville vs. Oregon State

Poinsettia Bowl: Fresno State vs. Washington

Mark Schlabach, ESPN

College Football Playoff: Boise State at UCLA

Frisco Football Classic: Tulane vs. San Diego State

Hawaii Bowl: Fresno State vs. North Dakota State

New Mexico Bowl: UNLV vs. Texas State

Poinsettia Bowl: Arizona State vs. Oregon State

Brett McMurphy, On3

College Football Playoff: Boise State at Ole Miss

Hawaii Bowl: UNLV vs. Texas State

Poinsettia Bowl: Fresno State vs. North Texas

Sun Bowl: Clemson vs. Oregon State

Bryan Fischer, Sports Illustrated

College Football Playoff: Boise State at UCLA

Hawaii Bowl: Fresno State vs. UNLV

New Mexico Bowl: Texas State vs. Louisiana Tech

Poinsettia Bowl: Duke vs. Oregon State

Brad Crawford, CBS Sports

College Football Playoff: Oregon State at Indiana

Frisco Football Classic: Texas State vs. USF

Hawaii Bowl: North Dakota State vs. Fresno State

New Mexico Bowl: San Diego State vs. UNLV

Poinsettia Bowl: Arizona State vs. Boise State

Steven Lassan, Athlon Sports

College Football Playoff: Boise State at Indiana

Hawaii Bowl: UNLV vs. Fresno State

Poinsettia Bowl: Oregon State vs. Washington

Erick Smith, USA Today

College Football Playoff: Boise State at Miami

New Mexico Bowl: North Dakota State vs. Oregon State

Poinsettia Bowl: Fresno State vs. Arizona State

• Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

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Bob Lundeberg
BOB LUNDEBERG

Bob Lundeberg is a reporter for Boise State Broncos On SI. An Oregon State graduate, Bob has lived in Idaho since 2019 and is an avid hiker and golfer.

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