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Pac-12 Basketball Preview: Arizona the Team to Beat

Conference play begins this week, and the Wildcats and UCLA are the only Pac-12 teams ranked
Pac-12 Basketball Preview: Arizona the Team to Beat
Pac-12 Basketball Preview: Arizona the Team to Beat

Cal and USC kick off Pac-12 play on Wednesdy with the other 10 teams getting underway on Thursday.

The nonconference games didn't tell us much other than Arizona looks like a potential Final Four team despite its significant personnel losses, Washington might be better than we expected, and Cal will have trouble winning a game.

Each team will play 20 conference games, which means it will play nine Pac-12 teams twice and two other teams only once.

Here's a quick look at all 12 teams heading into Pac-12 action, listed in their predicted order of finish:

1. Arizona (6-0)

Best player(s): Azuolas Tubelis (19.3 ppg, 8.0 rpg); Oumar Ballo (19.0 ppg, 10.0 rpg); Kerr Kriisa (15.3 ppg, 7.5 apg, 51.4% on 3-pointers)

Best win: Creighton

Worst loss: None

AP rank: 4th

Preseason media poll projected finish: Second

Pac-12 teams Arizona plays only once: Stanford, Colorado

Comment: Despite losing both of their all-conference players from last year (Bennedict Mathurin, Christian Koloko), the Wildcats lead the nation in scoring (97.5 ppg) and field-goal percentage (60.3%).

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2. UCLA (5-2)

Best player(s): Jaime Jaquez (16.7 ppg, 6.0 rpg); Tyger Campbell (14.0 ppg, 4.9 apg)

Best win: Long Beach State

Worst loss: Illinois

AP rank: 21st

Preseason media poll projected finish: First

Pac-12 teams UCLA plays only once: Cal, Oregon State

Comment: Just two returning starters from last year, but freshmen Amari Bailey (10.3 ppg) and Adem Bona (8.7 ppg) are starters who will help.

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3. Oregon (3-4)

Best player(s): Will Richardson (13.7 ppg, 4.9 apg); N’Faly Dante (13.0 ppg, 6.3 rpg); Kel’el Ware (11.1 ppg, 6.4 rpg)

Best win: Villanova

Worst loss: UC Irvine

AP rank: Not ranked

Preseason media poll projected finish: Third

Pac-12 teams Oregon plays only once: Washington, USC

Comment: 7-foot freshman Kel’el Ware could be something special, but Ducks’ early success will depend on when N’Faly Dante gets out of concussion protocol. 

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4. Arizona State (6-1)

Best player(s): DJ Horne (13.1 ppg, 5.3 rpg); Marcus Bagley (12.5 ppg, 4.0)

Best win: Michigan

Worst loss: Texas Southern

AP rank: Received votes

Preseason media poll projected finish: Seventh

Pac-12 teams Arizona State plays only once: Utah, Cal

Comment: Bagley has played just two games because of a suspension, but the Sun Devils beat Michigan by 25 without him.  The addition of transfers Devan Cambridge and Desmond Cambridge Jr. could make the Sun Devils a title contender.

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5. USC (4-3)

Best player(s): Drew Peterson (15.0 ppg, 8.1 rpg, 6.6 apg); Boogie Ellis (18.0, 45.9% on 3-pointers)

Best win: BYU

Worst loss: Florida Gulf Coast

AP rank: Not ranked

Preseason media poll projected finish: Fourth

Pac-12 teams USC plays only once: Stanford, Oregon

Comment: Drew Peterson can do a lot of things and he’ll have to do them all well for the Trojans to contend.

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6. Washington (6-1)

Best player(s): Keion Brooks Jr. (16.2 ppg, 7.0 rpg); Keyon Menifield (10.4 ppg, 43.5% on 3-pointers)

Best win: Saint Mary’s

Worst loss: California Baptist

AP rank: Not ranked

Preseason media poll projected finish: Ninth

Pac-12 teams Washington plays only once: Utah, Oregon

Comment: Two newcomers – Kentucky transfer Keion Brooks and freshman Keyon Menifield – have the Huskies off to a strong start..

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7. Colorado (4-3)

Best player(s): KJ Simpson (17.1 ppg, 5.3 rpg); Tristan da Silva (12.1 ppg)

Best win: Tennessee

Worst loss: Grambling State

AP rank: Not ranked

Preseason media poll projected finish: Sixth

Pac-12 teams Colorado plays only once: Arizona, Washington State

Comment: Weird nonconference results: Buffs lost to Grambing State then beat Tennessee two days later. They lost to Massachusetts and beat Texas A&M the next day. Nine players have started games already.

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8. Stanford (3-4)

Best player(s): Spencer Jones (10.7 ppg); Harrison Ingram (10.4 ppg); Michael Jones (10.3 ppg)

Best win: Florida State

Worst loss: Mississippi

AP rank: Not ranked

Preseason media poll projected finish: Fifth

Pac-12 teams Stanford plays only once: Washington State, Arizona

Comment: A rare transfer to Stanford (Michael Jones, from Davison) will help, but will it be enough for Jerod Haase to keep his job?

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9. Washington State (3-2)

Best player(s): Mouhamed Gueye (12.2, 7.0 repg)

Best win: Texas State

Worst loss: Prairie View A&M

AP rank: Not ranked

Preseason media poll projected finish: Eighth

Pac-12 teams Washington State plays only once: Oregon State, Stanford

Comment: TJ Bamba is off to a strong start, but the Cougars will relay on two transfers – Jabe Mullins (from Saint Mary’s) and Justin Powell (from Tennessee) – to make them a factor this season.

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10. Utah (5-2)

Best player(s): Branden Carlsen (13.1 ppg, 7.7 rpg)

Best win: Georgia Tech

Worst loss: Sam Houston State

AP rank: Not ranked

Preseason media poll projected finish: 10th

Pac-12 teams Utah plays only once: Washington, Arizona State

Comment: Soft nonconference schedule doesn’t tell us much about Utah, although we know they went 4-16 in the Pac-12 last season with no noticeable improvement this season.

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11. Oregon State (3-4)

Best player(s): Jordan Pope (15.9 ppg)

Best win: Tulsa (although a three-point loss to Duke was the best result)

Worst loss: Portland State (twice)

AP rank: Not ranked

Preseason media poll projected finish: 12th

Pac-12 teams Oregon State plays only once: Washington State, UCLA

Comment: The Beavers already have as many wins as they had all of last season, and it looks like their best player is a freshman (Jordan Pope).

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12. Cal (0-7)

Best player(s): Devin Askew (16.7 ppg)

Best win: None

Worst loss: Southern

AP rank: Not ranked

Preseason media poll projected finish: 11th

Pac-12 teams Cal plays only once: UCLA, Arizona State

Comment: The 0-7 start is the worst in Cal history, and the nonconference schedule was fairly soft.

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Cover photo of Pelle Larsson by David Cruz, USA TODAY Sports

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Jake Curtis
JAKE CURTIS

Jake Curtis worked in the San Francisco Chronicle sports department for 27 years, covering virtually every sport, including numerous Final Fours, several college football national championship games, an NBA Finals, world championship boxing matches and a World Cup. He was a Cal beat writer for many of those years, and won awards for his feature stories.