NFL MVP Odds: Aaron Rodgers, Jared Goff Among Top 15 Favorites

The 2023 NFL MVP race has already started – on betting sites, that is.

The reigning MVP Patrick Mahomes is the favorite or tied for the favorite role in all six of the betting sites we cited regarding early MVP odds. Joe Burrow and Josh Allen are right behind, as you might expect.

But not too far down the line is Aaron Rodgers, the 39-year-old former Cal quarterback who is now with the New York Jets. His odds suggest he is the seventh-highest favorite, although some sites put him higher or lower than that.

It would seem like being the seventh favorite (at odds as high as 18-to-1) would make Rodgers a genuine long shot. But prior to the 2020 season, Rodgers was tied for being the eight-highest MVP favorite at 25-to-1 odds, according to William Hill Sports Book. And Rodgers ended up winning the MVP award that year in a landslide.

The question for Rodgers is whether, at age 39, he can rebound from a poor 2022 season with a new team to win a fifth MVP, tying Peyton Manning for the most MVPs.

Another former Cal player who has jumped into the MVP competition is Jared Goff. His average odds among the six sites place him as the 13th-highest favorite to win the MVP. That’s because he was outstanding over his final nine starts of 2022, throwing 15 touchdown passes with no interceptions while the Lions went 7-2 in those games.

Goff was not even listed among the top 40 or 50 MVP favorites prior to last season. After the 2021 season, when he had mediocre statistics and the Lions went 3-10-1 his starts, Goff was seen as a place-holder for the Lions’ quarterback job until an adequate replacement could be found.

He’s the man in Detroit now, and we’ll see if he can rise in the MVP competition through the 2023 season. He starts with shorter odds than Derek Carr, Russell Wilson and Matthew Stafford (the player for whom he was traded), to name just a few.

Here are the early MVP odds from six betting sites for the top 17 favorites (with the fractional odds in parentheses in some cases). You will note the odds are pretty consistent for those at the top, but vary considerably as you go down the list. (Odds for Fan Duel, BetMGM, Caesars Sportsbook, PointsBet and Draft Kings are provided by Vegas Insider. The other site used is SI Sports Book.)

Patrick Mahomes

SI Sportsbook: +650 (or 6.5-to-1)

Fan Duel: +700

BetMGM: +650

Caesars Sportsbook: +650

PointsBet: +650

Draft Kings: +700

Joe Burrow

SI Sportsbook: +700 (or 7-to-1)

Fan Duel: +700

BetMGM: +650

Caesars Sportsbook: +700

PointsBet: +750

Draft Kings: +700

Josh Allen

SI Sportsbook: +750 (or 7.5-to-1)

Fan Duel: +700

BetMGM: +750

Caesars Sportsbook: +750

PointsBet: +700

Draft Kings: +800

Justin Herbert

SI Sportsbook: +1000

Fan Duel: +900

BetMGM: +900

Caesars Sportsbook: +1500 (or 15-to-1)

PointsBet: +1100

Draft Kings: +1400

Jalen Hurts

SI Sportsbook: +1200

Fan Duel: +1200

BetMGM: +1000

Caesars Sportsbook: +1200

PointsBet: +800 (8-to-1)

Draft Kings: +800

Trevor Lawrence

SI Sportsbook: +1600

Fan Duel: +1600

BetMGM: +1400

Caesars Sportsbook: +1500

PointsBet: +1300

Draft Kings: +1400

Aaron Rodgers

SI Sportsbook: +1400 (14-to-1)

Fan Duel: +1600

BetMGM: +1400

Caesars Sportsbook: +1800 (18-to-1)

PointsBet: +1400

Draft Kings: +1400

Lamar Jackson

SI Sportsbook: +1600

Fan Duel: +1500

BetMGM: +1600

Caesars Sportsbook: +1800

PointsBet: +1700

Draft Kings: +1200

Dak Prescott

SI Sportsbook: +1600 (16-to-1)

Fan Duel: +1600

BetMGM: +1600

Caesars Sportsbook: +2500 (25-to-1)

PointsBet: +1700

Draft Kings: +2000

Tua Tagovailoa

SI Sportsbook: +1600

Fan Duel: +1600

BetMGM: +1400

Caesars Sportsbook: +2200

PointsBet: +1600

Draft Kings: +2000

Justin Fields

SI Sportsbook: +2500

Fan Duel: +2000

BetMGM: +1800

Caesars Sportsbook: +2500

PointsBet: +1800

Draft Kings: +1400

Deshaun Watson

SI Sportsbook: +2500

Fan Duel: +2500

BetMGM: +3000

Caesars Sportsbook: +4000

PointsBet: +3000

Draft Kings: +3000

Jared Goff

SI Sportsbook: +3300

Fan Duel: +2500 (25-to-1)

BetMGM: +3000

Caesars Sportsbook: +4000 (40-to-1)

PointsBet: +3300

Draft Kings: +3500

Geno Smith

SI Sportsbook: +3300

Fan Duel: +3000

BetMGM: +3000

Caesars Sportsbook: +4500 (45-to-1)

PointsBet: +4000

Draft Kings: +3500

Trey Lance

SI Sportsbook: +3300

Fan Duel: +5000 (50-to-1)

BetMGM: +2500 (25-to-1)

Caesars Sportsbook: +4000

PointsBet: +4000

Draft Kings: +3500

Russell Wilson

SI Sportsbook: +4000

Fan Duel: +4000

BetMGM: +4000

Caesars Sportsbook: +4500

PointsBet: +3500

Draft Kings: +3500

Derek Carr

SI Sportsbook: +4000

Fan Duel: +3500

BetMGM: +4000

Caesars Sportsbook: +4000

PointsBet: +4000

Draft Kings: +4500

A few other players who generally are not among the top 17 MVP favorites but have some interesting odds.

Brock Purdy odds range from +3000 to +7500 (30-to-1 to 75-to-1)

Kyler Murray odds range from +5000 to +10000

Jimmy Garoppolo odds range from +6600 to +10000

Kirk Cousins odds mostly in the +5000 range

Matthew Stafford odds as high as +6000

Jordan Love and Kenny Pickett odds in the +5000 range

Cover photo of Aaron Rodgers by Chris Pedota, NorthJersey.com, USA TODAY NETWORK

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