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Pac-12 Football Picks: How Will the Pac-12's Biggest Day in September Unfold?

Lots on the line with Oregon and Washington heading to Big Ten Country. Cal faces stiff challenge at TCU.
Pac-12 Football Picks: How Will the Pac-12's Biggest Day in September Unfold?
Pac-12 Football Picks: How Will the Pac-12's Biggest Day in September Unfold?

Saturday is the Pac-12’s most important day of the early season, headlined by Oregon visiting Ohio State and Washington trekking to Michigan.

Texas A&M tests Colorado in Denver, Cal heads to the Lone Star State to face TCU and rivals Utah and BYU collide in Provo.

The Pac-12 won’t have a better chance all season to boost its image. On the heels of UCLA’s win over LSU last week, strong showings in Big Ten country could pay long-term dividends.

For instance, if the Ducks have any realistic designs on competing for a spot in the College Football Playoff, they likely need a win over the Buckeyes.

If things go badly, the residue could be just as long-lasting.

All picks against the spread

Tuesday night consensus betting line from vegasinsider.com

Last week: Jake 8-4, Jeff 5-7

This season: Jake 9-4, Jeff 6-7

Saturday

OREGON (plus-14.5) at OHIO STATE (9 a.m., FOX)

Jake: This pick depends on whether Oregon defensive end Kayvon Thibodeaux plays. He’s listed as day-to-day with an ankle sprain. I’m guessing he plays and the Ducks cover. Barely. With a late score. Pick: Oregon

Jeff: Part of me wants to pick the Ducks, but Ohio State has won 23 straight home games — 18 of them by 20 points or more. And the Buckeyes are 9-0 all-time vs. Oregon, winning by an average of 16.4 points in their five meetings at Columbus. Pick: Ohio State

TEXAS A&M (minus-17) vs. COLORADO at Denver (12:30 p.m., FOX)

Jake: The Buffaloes’ blowout of Northern Colorado proved nothing. Texas A&M is looking for style points to get to the College Football Playoff. Pick: Texas A&M

Jeff: The Buffaloes have lost 25 straight games to teams ranked in the top-15 nationally, dating back 14 seasons. The Aggies are No. 6. Pick: Texas A&M

CAL (plus-11) at TCU (12:30 p.m., ESPNU)

Jake: This spread keeps growing, suggesting bettors have no faith in the Bears. But Cal’s defense will keep the game close. Pick: Cal

Jeff: I’m 0-for-5 the past 2 seasons on games involving the Bears so this pick can’t be encouraging to Cal fans. Pick: Cal

PORTLAND STATE (no line) at WASHINGTON STATE (3 p.m., Pac-12)

Jake: Quarterback Jayden de Laura will probably make his first start of the year for WSU, which is listed as a two-touchdown favorite on some sites. That sounds about right. Pick: Washington State

Jeff: If the Cougars lose this one after falling too Utah State a week ago, coach Nick Rolovich may have to consider getting vaccinated to secure his job. Pick: Washington State.

WASHINGTON (plus-6.5) at MICHIGAN (5 p.m., ABC)

Jake: Huskies’ egos are bruised after the loss to Montana, and if they get behind early it could be a rout. Pick: Michigan

Jeff: Can a team that lost at home to Montana stay close at Ann Arbor, even against an unranked Wolverines’ team? Pick: Michigan

SAN DIEGO STATE (plus-1) at ARIZONA (7 p.m., Pac-12)

Jake: San Diego State trailed a horrible New Mexico State team at halftime before rallying, and Arizona was surprisingly competitive in the loss to BYU. Pick: Arizona Pick:

Jeff: The Aztecs are 6-1 in their past seven games vs. Pac-12 opponents. And those teams were all better than Arizona. Pick: San Diego State

UTAH (minus-7) at BYU (7:15 p.m., ESPN)

Jake: Playing in Provo is never easy, but I’m a fan of the Utes’ defense and QB Charlie Brewer. Pick: Utah

Jeff: Zach Wilson is gone. Steve Young is not walking through that door. Neither is Jim McMahon, Ty Detmer or Robbie Bosco. The streak continues for the Utes. Pick: Utah

STANFORD (plus-17.5) at USC (7:30 p.m., FOX)

Jake: With Tanner McKee established as its starting quarterback, Stanford will be better than it was in its lousy showing against Kansas State. Pick: Stanford

Jeff: A new quarterback this week for the Cardinal. USC still has a pretty good one in Kedon Slovis. Pick: USC

UNLV (plus-32) at ARIZONA STATE (7:30 p.m., ESPN2)

Jake: The Rebels are big-time bad, but this is a huge spread. It will depend on what happens in garbage time in the fourth quarter. Pick: Arizona State

Jeff: The Rebels lost to Eastern Washington last week, but this point spread is big. Too big. I think. Pick: UNLV

HAWAII (plus-11) at OREGON STATE (8 p.m., FS1)

Jake: The Beavers won’t decide on a starting quarterback (Sam Noyer or Chance Nolan) until late in the week, and that’s not a sign of strength. But Hawaii struggles on the mainland. Pick: Oregon State.

Jeff: The Beavers gave a decent accounting of themselves last week in a loss at Purdue. They’re happy to be home. Pick: Oregon State

Cover photo of Oregon quarterback Anthony Brown by Troy Wayrynen, USA Today

Follow Jeff Faraudo of Cal Sports Report on Twitter: @jefffaraudo

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Jeff Faraudo
JEFF FARAUDO

Jeff Faraudo was a sports writer for Bay Area daily newspapers since he was 17 years old, and was the Oakland Tribune's Cal beat writer for 24 years. He covered eight Final Fours, four NBA Finals and four Summer Olympics.