When it comes to winning a national title in college football, nothing is more important than talent. While it takes the right coaching to mold those players, it still all starts with talent.
Since the inception of the College Football Playoff, one surefire way to differentiate the contenders from the pretenders has been to look at what is called the "Blue Chip Ratio" of each team.
In other words, how many four and five-star prospects a team signs over their last four classes, compared to the two and three-star prospects signed.
Recently, 247 Sports put out a list of teams capable of winning it all that based on this blue-chip ratio. This year's list has fifteen contenders.
4-Star 2023 QB 'Loved' Clemson Visit, Looking for School That Feels Like Home
One of the top quarterbacks in the 2023 recruiting class, Nico Iamaleava, was on campus last weekend taking in what Clemson is all about and working out for the Tigers coaching staff.
Saban Ranked Over Swinney in Top Five Coaches Poll
Clemson head coach Dabo Swinney was ranked just below Alabama head coach Nick Saban in a USA Today list of the top five coaches in college football.
Could Deshaun Watson end up in AFC West with Patrick Mahomes?
NFL.com Columnist Jeffri Chadiha listed the Denver Broncos as a potential trade partner for Deshaun Watson, creating Watson vs. Patrick Mahomes twice a year in the AFC West.
Teams with less than a 50-percent blue-chip ratio are ruled out from the start. The 2016 Clemson team, with a ratio of 52 percent, was the team with the lowest percentage to win a title in the CFP era.
Last year, LSU won it with a blue-chip ratio of 64 percent, while the 2018 Clemson team won it with a 61 percent ratio.
The SEC is well represented here, accounting for six of the 15 teams, while only one team from the ACC makes the cut after having three teams on the list last season.
Miami and Florida State were both over 50 percent last season, but both just barely missed out this year, while Texas A&M is the lone newcomer to the list.
While there is no absolute when it comes to deciding who will or will not bring home a national championship, looking at these ratios have been very reliable when it comes to knowing which teams won't win one.