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Okay, I know what you're thinking. But hear me out.

I know that this Georgia Tech squad has not had the most impressive season, one that includes home losses to both UNC and The Citadel. But with a record of 2-5 in their 2019 campaign, by definition they have not been eliminated from bowl contention. It certainly helps that this point in the season has seen back-to-back career performances from Jordan Mason, and that head coach Geoff Collins has stuck with James Graham as the permanent QB and gotten him more comfortable in that role.

By using Bill Connelly's SP+ model, we have a good idea as to how likely it is that the Yellow Jackets will go bowling:


As to be expected, the odds are not very likely. The SP+ model gives Tech a 0.9% chance at finishing the season with 6+ wins, with an "expected wins" total of 3.23. Also to be expected, they are not favored in any of their remaining matchups, with their best chances at wins coming at home against Virginia Tech and NC State.


Since Tech has only a 2.91% at winning against Georgia, prior to rivalry week is when they have their best shot at attaining bowl eligibility. Or so you would think. Prior to the final game of the regular season against UGA, Tech has a 0.69% at reaching 6 wins. It's not hard to see why, as they would have to win each of their next 4 games.

However, when you break down each of the Yellow Jackets' remaining opponents to each unit of their team there reveals a slight glimmer of hope.

The parenthesis indicates that unit's rank among all 130 FBS teams.

The parenthesis indicates that unit's rank among all 130 FBS teams.

The SP+ model does like Georgia Tech's defense, ranking it as the 52nd best defense. While Tech does allow 226.1 yards per game on the ground (124th in FBS), their 185.6 yards allowed through the air is ranked #21 in college football. The defense will have their shot to help the team build a strong second half of the season, as 3 of Tech's next 4 opponent's have an offense rated #90 or worse. By the SP+ numbers, Pitt has the second worst offense in the Power 5 (second only to Northwestern), so this weekend will be a good opportunity for that defense to get stronger and more confident.

So while there is a slim-to-none chance at seeing Geoff Collins go bowling in his first year at the helm, as J.P. said in Angels in the Outfield: 'it could happen".