Brett Davis-USA TODAY Sports
Statistical Comparison & SP+ Prediction: Virginia
Before undertaking a three game stretch at home to finish the regular season, Georgia Tech has one more business trip to take care of. Here's how the Yellow Jackets stack up statistically against the Virginia Cavaliers, as well as their chances to come out of Charlottesville with a win:
Offensive Statistics:
| Georgia Tech | Virginia | |
|---|---|---|
Total Offense | 121st (299.5) | 97th (364.3) |
Passing Yards | 124th (141.0) | 41st (255.7) |
Yards Per Completion | 37th (13.12) | 108th (10.75) |
Rushing Yards | 75th (158.5) | 121st (108.7) |
First Downs Gained | 128th (128) | 56th (189) |
3rd Down Con. % | 120th (32.1%) | 42nd (42.5%) |
4th Down Con. % | 113th (36.4%) | 37th (63.6%) |
Red Zone Con. % | 130th (55.6%) | 62nd (84.4%) |
Turnovers Lost | 91st (14) | 106th (16) |
Interceptions Thrown | 69th (7) | 107th (10) |
Fumbles Lost | 84th (7) | 65th (6) |
Tackles For Loss Allowed | 120th (7.88) | 79th (6.22) |
Sacks Allowed | 110th (2.88) | 118th (3.22) |
Avg. Time of Possession | 126th (26:32) | 13th (33:27) |
Key: National Rank out of 130 FBS Teams (Value)
Defensive Statistics:
| Georgia Tech | Virginia | |
|---|---|---|
Total Defense | 74th (405.5) | 17th (310.1) |
Passing Yards Allowed | 20th (187.9) | 22nd (189.6) |
Rushing Yards Allowed | 121st (217.6) | 28th (120.6) |
3rd Down Defensive % | 102nd (43.9%) | 29th (33.3%) |
4th Down Defensive % | 124th (76.9%) | 49th (45.0%) |
First Downs Allowed | 60th (175) | 27th (149) |
Red Zone Defensive % | 10th (70.3%) | 32nd (78.3%) |
Turnovers Gained | 67th (12) | 96th (10) |
Interceptions Caught | 51st (7) | 76th (6) |
Fumbles Recovered | 66th (5) | 83rd (4) |
Sacks Per Game | 100th (1.63) | 5th (3.78) |
TFL Per Game | 96th (5.3) | 13th (7.9) |
Defensive Touchdowns | 39th (1) | 15th (2) |
Key: National Rank out of 130 FBS Teams (Value)
Special Teams Statistics:
| Georgia Tech | Virginia | |
|---|---|---|
Net Punting | 100th (36.39) | 78th (37.57) |
Avg. Kickoff Return | 58th (21.30) | 1st (31.38) |
Avg. Punt Return | 114th (4.64) | 79th (6.50) |
Blocked Kicks | 49th (3) | 48th (1) |
Blocked Punts | 4th (2) | 16th (1) |
Field Goal Percentage | 3-6 | 13-17 |
PAT Percentage | 12-12 | 31-32 |
Key: National Rank out of 130 FBS Teams (Value)
SP+ Prediction:
Per Bill Connelly's SP+ model, the Yellow Jackets have only a 16.01% chance to come out of Charlottesville with a win against the Hoos. According to SP+ ratings, Virginia is the 3rd toughest team that Tech will have faced so far this season, and 4th toughest overall. Going further, it predicts Georgia Tech to finish the season with a 3-9 record, with an "expected wins" value of 2.93. Heading into the rivalry game against the Georgia Bulldogs (3.03% chance to win), the Yellow Jackets have a 68.4% chance of sporting a 3-8 record, and a 22.54% chance of being 4-7.
Follow us for future coverage by clicking "Follow" on the top righthand corner of the page. Also be sure to like us on Facebook & follow us on Twitter at @GeorgiaTechSI and Matthew McGavic at @GeneralWasp.
