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Point Spread: Michigan State Slight Favorite Over Indiana in Regular Season Finale

Indiana is an underdog against Michigan State in the regular season finale Sunday at Simon Skjodt Assembly Hall, but that's no surprise — and not a concern — for the Hoosiers, who have won three straight as underdogs. Here's the latest on the point spread, plus a great history vs. the number for both teams.
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Indiana Hoosiers
Indiana Hoosiers
Michigan State Spartans
Michigan State Spartans

BLOOMINGTON, Ind. — It's the final day of the regular season, and Indiana is in a familiar position. The Hoosiers are taking on Michigan State at Simon Skjodt Assembly Hall, and the oddsmakers aren't on their side.

The Spartans (18-12, 10-9 in the Big Ten) are 3.5-point favorite according the SISportsbook.com gambling website. The over/under opened at 141.5 points, but has dropped three points to 138.5 as of 1 p.m. ET on Sunday. That's not a surprise based on recent trends with Michigan State.

Indiana (17-13, 9-10 in Big Ten) really doesn't care about being underdogs, because they've just won three straight league games as underdogs, beating Wisconsin, Maryland and Minnesota. It's the first time they've done that since 2004.

Michigan State has been a hard team to figure out this season. They were ranked No. 4 in the country in the preseason, but were out of the poll in two weeks and have never returned. They just lost three games in a row, and finally broke the streak on Wednesday in a hard-to-watch 53-49 win over Northwestern.  So it's hard to figure what might happen on Sunday

The game starts at 4:30 p.m. ET.  For all of the information on how to watch and a great preview of the game from HoosiersNow.com writer Jack Ankony, CLICK HERE

Here's what Indiana has done against the spread so far this season.

Indiana by the numbers

  • Indiana overall record: 17-13
  • Indiana overall vs. spread: 14-16
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  • Indiana home record: 11-5
  • Indiana home vs. spread: 8-8
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  • Indiana road record: 4-6
  • Indiana road vs spread: 5-5
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  • Indiana neutral court record: 2-2
  • Indiana neutral court vs. spread: 1-3
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  • Indiana record as favorite: 10-3
  • Indiana vs. spread as favorite: 5-8
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  • Indiana record as underdog: 7-10
  • Indiana vs. spread as underdog: 9-8
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  • Indiana over total: 17
  • Indiana under total: 13

For every game, we'll give you a complete rundown on what both teams have done against the spread. We'll have final scores, what they did versus the spread and what happened with the over/under totals.

Indiana results vs. spread this season

Here's what Indiana has done this season, straight up and against the spread:

  • Nov. 7 — Beat Florida Gulf Coast 69-63 at home as an 11.5-point favorite (did not cover). The score (132) went under the 142.5 over/under total.
  • Nov. 12 — Beat Army 72-64 at home as a 25.5-point favorite (did not cover). The score (138) went over the 134.5 total.
  • Nov. 16 — Beat Wright State 89-80 at home as a 15.5-point favorite (did not cover). The score (169) went far over the 146.5 total.
  • Nov. 19 — Lost to No. 5 Connecticut 77-57 at Madison Square Garden in New York as a 12.5-point underdog (did not cover). The score (134) went under the 146.5 total.
  • Nov. 20 — Beat Louisville 74-66 at Madison Square Garden in New York as an 8.5-point favorite at tipoff (did not cover). The score (140) went under the 146.5 total.
  • Nov. 26 — Beat Harvard 89-76 at Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis as an 7.5-point favorite at tipoff (covered). The score (165) went far over the 140.5 total.
  • Dec. 1 — Beat Maryland 65-53 at home as a 3.5-point favorite at tipoff (covered). The score (116) went far under the 136.5 total.
  • Dec. 5 — Won at Michigan 78-75 as a 6.5-point underdog at tipoff (covered). The score (153) went over the 144.5 total.
  • Dec. 9 — Lost to Auburn 104-76 in Atlanta as a 6.5-point underdog at tipoff (did not cover). The score (180) went far over the 147.5 total.
  • Dec. 16 — Lost to No. 2 Kansas 75-71 at home as a 7.5-point underdog at tipoff (covered). The score (146) went under the 147.5 total.
  • Dec. 19 — Beat Morehead State 69-68 at home as a 12.5-point favorite at tipoff (did not cover). The score (137) went under the 141.5 total.
  • Dec. 21 — Beat North Alabama 83-66 at home as a 13.5-point favorite at tipoff (covered). The score (149) went over the 147.5 total.
  • Dec. 29 — Beat Kennesaw State 100-87 at home as a 12.5-point favorite at tipoff (covered). The score (187) went over the 15.5 total.
  • Jan. 3 — Lost at Nebraska 86-70 as a 3.5-point underdog at tipoff (did not cover). The score (156) went over the 151.5 total.
  • Jan. 6 — Beat Ohio State 71-65 at home as a 1.5-point underdog at tipoff (covered). The score (136) went under the 147.5 total.
  • Jan. 9 — Lost at Rutgers 66-57 as a 2.5-point underdog at tipoff (did not cover). The score (123) went under the 140.5 total.
  • Jan. 12 — Beat Minnesota 74-62 as a 3.5-point favorite at tipoff (covered). The score (136) went under the 147.5 total.
  • Jan. 16 — Lost to No. 2 Purdue 87-66 at home as a 9.5-point underdog at tipoff (did not cover). The score (153) went over the 151.5 total.
  • Jan. 19 — Lost at No. 11 Wisconsin 91-79 as an 11.5-point underdog at tipoff (did not cover). The score (180) went over the 141.5 total.
  • Jan. 27 — Lost at Illinois 70-62 as a 14.5-point underdog at tipoff (coverede). The score (132) went under the 154.5 total.
  • Jan. 30 — Beat Iowa 74-68 as a 1.5-point underdog at tipoff (covered). The score (142) went under the 160.5 total.
  • Feb. 3 — Lost to Penn State 85-71 as a 6.5-point favorite at tipoff (did not cover). The score (156) went over the 150.5 total.
  • Feb. 6 — Won at Ohio State 76-73 as an 6.5-point underdog at tipoff (cover). The score (149) went over the 143.5 total.
  • Feb. 10 — Lost at No. 2 Purdue 79-59 as an 18.5-point underdog at tipoff (did not cover). The score (138) went under the 138.5 total.
  • Feb. 18 — Lost to Northwestern 76-72 at home as a 2.5-point favorite at tipoff (did not cover). The score (148) went over the 139.5 total.
  • Feb. 21 — Lost to Nebraska 85-70 at home as a 2.5-point favorite at tipoff (did not cover). The score (155) went over the 150.5 total.
  • Feb. 24— Lost at Penn State 83-74 at home as a 3.5-point underdog at tipoff (did not cover). The score (157) went over the 151.5 total.
  • Feb. 27 — Beat Wisconsin 74-70 at home as a 4.5-point underdog at tipoff (covered). The score (144) went over the 140.5 total.
  • March 3 — Won at Maryland 83-78 as an 8.5-point underdog at tipoff (covered). The score (161) went over the 136.5 total.
  • March 6 — Won at Minnesota 70-58 as an 5.5-point underdog at tipoff (covered). The score (128) went under the 149.5 total.

Michigan State results vs. spread this season

Hard-to-figure Michigan State is 18-12 overall and 10-9 in the Big Ten.  They've had some nice wins, but a lot of confusing losses, too, especially lately, where they lost three in a row before finally beating Northwestern 53-49 on Wednesday.

The Spartans opened the season ranked No. 13 in the Kenpom.com computer rankings, the second-highest of all 14 Big Ten teams after No. 1 Purdue. Now they're at No. 19 as of Sunday morning, which seems high considering the overall record. Indiana, by the way, is at No. 93.

Michigan State is 17-13 against the number this season. So far, 18 of its 30 games have gone under the total, including four of the last five.

Here's what Michigan State has done this season, straight up and against the spread:

  • Nov. 6 — Lost to James Madison 79-76 in overtime at home as a 16.5-point favorite (did not cover). The score (155) went under the 144.5 over/under total.
  • Nov. 9 — Beat Southern Indiana 74-51 at home as an 32.5-point favorite (did not cover). The score (125) went under the 145.5 over/under total.
  • Nov. 14 — Lost to No. 9 Duke 74-65 at the United Center in Chicago as a 4.5-point underdog (did not cover). The score (139) went under the 142.5 over/under total.
  • Nov. 17 — Beat Butler 74-54 at home in the Gavitt Games as an 9.5-point favorite (covered). The score (128) went under the 137.5 over/under total.
  • Nov. 19 — Beat Alcorn State 81-49 at home as an 24.5-point favorite (covered). The score (130) went under the 141.5 over/under total.
  • Nov. 23 — Lost to No. 3 Arizona 74-68 at the Acrisure Arena in Palm Springs, Calif., as a 5.5-point underdog (did not cover). The score (142) went under the 149.5 over/under total.
  • Nov. 28 — Beat Georgia Southern 86-55 at home as an 27.5-point favorite (covered). The score (141) went under the 143.5 over/under total.
  • Dec. 5 — Lost to No. 23 Wisconsin 70-57  at home as a 5.5-point favorite (did not cover). The score (127) went under the 132.5 over/under total.
  • Dec. 10 — Lost at Nebraska 77-70 as a 3.5-point favorite (did not cover). The score (147) went over the 144.5 over/under total.
  • Dec. 16 — Beat No. 6 Baylor 88-64 at Little Caeser's Arena in Detroit, Mich., as a 3.5-point underdog (covered). The score (152) went over the 144.5 over/under total.
  • Dec. 18 — Beat Oakland 79-62 at home as an 15.5-point favorite (covered). The score (141) went over the 137.5 over/under total.
  • Dec. 21 — Beat Stony Brook 99-55 at home as an 22.5-point favorite (covered). The score (154) went over the 138.5 over/under total.
  • Dec. 30 — Beat Indiana State 87-75 at home as an 8.5-point favorite (covered). The score (162) went over the 155.5 over/under total.
  • Jan. 4 — Beat Penn State 92-61 at home as a 13.5-point favorite (covered). The score (153) went over the 144.5 over/under total.
  • Jan. 7 — Lost at Northwestern 88-74 as a 2.5-point favorite (did not cover). The score (162) went over the 136.5 over/under total.
  • Jan. 11 — Lost at Illinois 71-68 as a 3.5-point underdog (covered). The score (141) went under the 149.5 over/under total.
  • Jan. 14 — Beat Rutgers 73-55 at home as an 10.5-point favorite (covered). The score (128) went under the 136.5 over/under total.
  • Jan. 18 — Beat Minnesota 76-66 at home as an 11.5-point favorite (did not cover). The score (142) went over the 141.5 over/under total.
  • Jan. 21 — Won at Maryland 61-59 as an 1.5-point underdog (covered). The score (120) went under the 134.5 over/under total.
  • Jan. 26 — Lost at No. 13 Wisconsin 81-66 as an 2.5-point underdog (did not cover). The score (147) went over the 138.5 over/under total.
  • Jan. 30— Beat Michigan 81-62 at home as an 11.5-point favorite (covered). The score (143) went under the 144.5 over/under total.
  • Feb. 3— Beat Maryland 63-54 at home as an 5.5-point favorite (covered). The score (117) went under the 129.5 over/under total.
  • Feb. 6 — Lost at Minnesota 61-59 as an 1.5-point underdog (did not cover). The score (120) went under the 134.5 over/under total.
  • Feb. 10 — Beat No. 10 Illinois 88-80 at home as a 4.5-point favorite (covered). The score (168) went over the 146.5 over/under total.
  • Feb. 14 — Won at Penn State 80-72 as a 2.5-point favorite (covered). The score (152) went over the 143.5 over/under total.
  • Feb. 17 — Won at Michigan 73-63 as a 5.5-point favorite (covered). The score (136) went under the 144.5 over/under total.
  • Feb. 20 — Lost to Iowa 78-71 at home as a 9.5-point favorite (did not cover). The score (149) went under the 154.5 over/under total.
  • Feb. 25 — Lost to Ohio State 60-57 at home as a 10.5-point favorite (did not cover). The score (117) went under the 138.5 over/under total.
  • March 2 — Lost at No. 2 Purdue 80-74 as a 10.5-point underdog (covered). The score (154) went over the 146.5 over/under total.
  • March 6 — Beat Northwestern 53-49 at home as a 9.5-point favorite (did not cover). The score (102) went under the 133.5 over/under total.
  • GALLOWAY, LEAL DOING SENIOR DAY: Trey Galloway and Anthony Leal join Xavier Johnson and Anthony Walker as Indiana's four Senior Day participants following the Hoosiers' 4:30 p.m. ET game Sunday against Michigan State. CLICK HERE
  • 3 KEYS FOR INDIANA: Indiana enters Senior Day against Michigan State on a three-game win streak. Here are three keys for the Hoosiers looking to continue that run. CLICK HERE
  • MEET THE OPPONENT, MICHIGAN STATE: Coach Tom Izzo and Michigan State travel to Simon Skjodt Assembly Hall on Sunday for the their season's first matchup against Indiana. The Spartans are 10-9 in conference play and Indiana is 9-10, so Sunday's winner gets an advantage in Big Ten Tournament seeding. CLICK HERE
  • HOW TO WATCH: Indiana concludes the 2023-24 regular season on Sunday against the Michigan State Spartans at Simon Skjodt Assembly Hall. Here's how to watch, game time and TV information, the point spread and over/under, the coaching matchup, series history, predicted score, stats, rankings and more. CLICK HERE
  • THREE STRAIGHT UNDERDOG WINS: Indiana has won three straight games as sizable underdogs in the past two weeks, and that hasn't happened since 2004. The Hoosiers are picking a good time to get hot. Here's a look at how rare this run has been, with some good history on that 2004 streak as well under Mike Davis. CLICK HERE
  • JACK ANKONY COLUMN: Mike Woodson had the Indiana men’s basketball program on an upward trajectory when Liam McNeeley committed in October. But after missing on other 2024 recruits and enduring a disappointing season, the program has lost momentum and McNeeley has better options. CLICK HERE
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