Tale of The Tape & Prediction: Louisville vs. Duke
(Photo of Carlik Jones: Scott Utterback/Courier Journal, Louisville Courier Journal via Imagn Content Services, LLC)
LOUISVILLE, Ky. - Louisville (12-5, 7-4 ACC) is set to face Duke (11-8, 9-6 ACC) on Saturday, Feb. 27 at 6:00 p.m. EST at Cameron Indoor Stadium in Durham, N.C. Here's how the Cardinals stack up against the Blue Devils:
- Rankings:
| Duke | Louisville | |
|---|---|---|
AP/Coaches | NR/NR | NR/NR |
NET | 49th | 48th |
RPI | 106th | 29th |
SOS | 73rd | 43th |
KenPom | 30th | 46th |
Sagarin | 24th | 31st |
- Team Leaders:
| Duke | Louisville | |
|---|---|---|
Points | Matthew Hurt (18.3) | Carlik Jones (17.2) |
Rebounds | Matthew Hurt (6.3) | Jae'Lyn Withers (7.9) |
Assists | DJ Steward (2.1) | Carlik Jones (4.5) |
Steals | Jordan Goldwire (2.5) | Carlik Jones (1.5) |
Blocks | Mark Williams (1.3) | JJ Traynor (0.6) |
- Scoring:
| Duke | Louisville | |
|---|---|---|
Points Per Game | 76.1 | 68.5 |
Field Goal% | 47.2% | 44.1% |
FGM/FGA Per Game | 28.9/61.3 | 24.9/56.5 |
Three Point % | 36.4% | 30.6% |
3PTM/3PTA Per Game | 8.6/23.7 | 5.4/17.5 |
Free Throw % | 69.6% | 72.4% |
FTM/FTA Per Game | 9.5/13.7 | 13.3/18.4 |
- Rebounding:
| Duke | Louisville | |
|---|---|---|
Rebounds Per Game | 35.5 | 38.5 |
Off. Reb. Per Game | 11.4 | 10.8 |
Def. Reb. Per Game | 24.1 | 27.6 |
Rebound Margin | +2.8 | +5.6 |
- Defense:
| Duke | Louisville | |
|---|---|---|
Opp. Points Per Game | 71.2 | 65.8 |
Opp. FG% | 46.2% | 41.4% |
Opp. 3PT | 37.5% | 31.1% |
Steals Per Game | 7.9 | 4.9 |
Turnovers Forced Per Game | 13.5 | 11.4 |
Blocks Per Game | 4.8 | 2.1 |
- Ball Handling:
| Duke | Louisville | |
|---|---|---|
Assists Per Game | 16.1 | 11.4 |
Turnovers Per Game | 12.8 | 12.1 |
Turnover Margin | +0.7 | -0.7 |
Assist/Turnover Ratio | 1.3 | 0.9 |
- ESPN Prediction: Per ESPN's Basketball Power Index, Louisville has a 70.4% chance to win against Duke.
- KenPom Prediction: Per KenPom.com, the Cardinals have a 35% chance to take down the Blue Devils, with a projected final score of 73-69 in favor of Duke. By current metrics, Louisville is not favored in any of their remaining three regular season games.
- Personal Prediction: Duke 71, Louisville 64.
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