Tale of The Tape & Prediction: Louisville vs. Evansville

(Photo of David Johnson: Jeremy Brevard/USA TODAY Sports)
LOUISVILLE, Ky. - Louisville (0-0, 0-0 ACC) is set to tipoff the 2020-21 men's college basketball season and face Evansville (0-0, 0-0 MVC) on Wednesday, Nov. 25 at 4:00 p.m. EST at the KFC Yum! Center Here's how the Cardinals stack up against the Purple Aces:
- Rankings:
| Evansville | Louisville | |
|---|---|---|
AP/USA TODAY | NR/NR | RV/RV |
NET | N/A | N/A |
RPI | N/A | N/A |
SOS | N/A | N/A |
KenPom | 316th | 28th |
Sagarin | 225th | 19th |
- Team Leaders (Returning From 2019-20):
| Evansville | Louisville | |
|---|---|---|
Points | Noah Frederking & Evan Kuhlman (5.8) | Malik Williams (8.5) |
Rebounds | Evan Kuhlman (3.0) | Malik Williams (6.1) |
Assists | Shamar Givance (2.3) | David Johnson (1.8) |
Steals | Shamar Givance (0.9) | David Johnson (0.7) |
Blocks | Evan Kuhlman (0.7) | Malik Williams (0.6) |
- Scoring (2019-20):
| Evansville | Louisville | |
|---|---|---|
Points Per Game | 67.2 | 74.1 |
Field Goal % | 42.2% | 45.3% |
FGM/FGA Per Game | 23.3/55.3 | 26.1/57.6 |
Three Point % | 32.1% | 37.6% |
3PTM/3PTA Per Game | 7.5/23.4 | 8.2/21.9 |
Free Throw % | 72.9% | 73.1% |
- Rebounding (2019-20):
| Evansville | Louisville | |
|---|---|---|
Rebounds Per Game | 31.4 | 38.6 |
Off. Reb. Per Game | 7.0 | 10.8 |
Def. Reb. Per Game | 24.4 | 27.8 |
Rebound Margin | -4.6 | +6.3 |
- Defense (2019-20):
| Evansville | Louisville | |
|---|---|---|
Opp. Points Per Game | 74.0 | 63.7 |
Opp. FG% | 47.1% | 38.9% |
Opp. 3PT% | 35.5% | 30.1% |
Steals Per Game | 4.8 | 5.1 |
Blocks Per Game | 2.3 | 2.7 |
- Ball Handling (2019-20):
| Evansville | Louisville | |
|---|---|---|
Assists Per Game | 12.3 | 14.0 |
Turnovers Per Game | 12.7 | 12.2 |
Turnover Margin | -0.9 | -0.4 |
Assist/Turnover Ratio | 1.0 | 1.1 |
- KenPom Prediction:
Per KenPom.com, the Cardinals have a 98% chance to take down the Purple Aces, with a projected final score of 77-54 in favor of Louisville. According to KenPom, Evansville's Adjusted Efficiency Margin ranking of 3 is the second-lowest among Louisville's 2020-21 opponents (Prairie View A&M - 319).
- Personal Prediction: Louisville 72, Evansville 52.
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McGavic is a 2016 Sport Administration graduate of the University of Louisville, and a native of the Derby City. He has been covering the Cardinals in various capacities since 2017, with a brief stop in Atlanta, Ga. on the Georgia Tech beat. He is also a co-host of the 'From The Pink Seats' podcast on the State of Louisville network. Video gamer, bourbon drinker and dog lover. Find him on Twitter at @Matt_McGavic