Tale of The Tape & Prediction: Louisville vs. Duke
(Photo of David Johnson: Rob Kinnen/USA TODAY Sports)
LOUISVILLE, Ky. - Louisville (9-3, 4-2 ACC) is set to face Duke (5-4, 3-2 ACC) on Saturday, Jan. 23rd at 4:00 p.m. EST at the KFC Yum! Center in Louisville, Ky. Here's how the Cardinals stack up against the Blue Devils:
- Rankings:
| Duke | Louisville | |
|---|---|---|
AP/Coaches | RV/RV | RV/RV |
NET | 92nd | 43rd |
RPI | 149th | 22nd |
SOS | 143rd | 43rd |
KenPom | 29th | 38th |
Sagarin | 31st | 28th |
- Team Leaders:
| Duke | Louisville | |
|---|---|---|
Points | Matthew Hurt (18.9) | Carlik Jones (17.9) |
Rebounds | Matthew Hurt (8.2) | Jae'Lyn Withers (7.3) |
Assists | Jordan Goldwire (3.8) | Carlik Jones (4.7) |
Steals | Jordan Goldwire (2.6) | Carlik Jones (1.4) |
Blocks | Jalen Johnson (2.0) | JJ Traynor (0.8) |
- Scoring:
| Duke | Louisville | |
|---|---|---|
Points Per Game | 74.6 | 70.7 |
Field Goal % | 44.6% | 47.0% |
FGM/FGA Per Game | 28.1/63.0 | 25.5/54.3 |
Three Point % | 33.3% | 32.3% |
3PTM/3PTA Per Game | 8.1/24.3 | 5.4/16.8 |
Free Throw % | 66.7% | 73.7% |
FTM/FTA Per Game | 10.2/15.3 | 14.3/19.3 |
- Rebounding:
| Duke | Louisville | |
|---|---|---|
Rebounds Per Game | 37.9 | 36.9 |
Off. Reb. Per Game | 12.7 | 9.4 |
Def. Reb Per Game | 25.2 | 27.5 |
Rebound Margin | +4.6 | +5.2 |
- Defense:
| Duke | Louisville | |
|---|---|---|
Opp. Points Per Game | 72.3 | 65.5 |
Opp. FG% | 46.3% | 40.8% |
Opp. 3PT% | 37.3% | 32.3% |
Steals Per Game | 9.0 | 4.7 |
Blocks Per Game | 4.7 | 2.3 |
- Ball Handling:
| Duke | Louisville | |
|---|---|---|
Assists Per Game | 15.1 | 11.8 |
Turnovers Per Game | 13.6 | 12.3 |
Turnover Margin | +1.0 | -0.6 |
Assist/Turnover Ratio | 1.1 | 1.0 |
- ESPN Prediction: Per ESPN's Basketball Power Index, Louisville has a 56.0% chance to win against Duke.
- KenPom Prediction: Per KenPom.com, the Cardinals have a 55% chance to take down the Blue Devils, with a projected final score of 70-69 in favor of Louisville. Duke's Adjusted Efficiency Margin ranking of 29th is the second-highest out of the remaining opponents Louisville will face this season (7th - Virginia), and the fourth-highest overall.
- Personal Prediction: Louisville 69, Duke 67.
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