Tale of The Tape & Prediction: Louisville vs. Syracuse

(Photo of Mark Dolezaj, Malik Williams: Jamie Rhodes/USA TODAY Sports)
SYRACUSE - Louisville (11-4, 6-3 ACC) is set to face Syracuse (10-5, 4-4 ACC) on Wednesday, Feb. 3rd at 7:00 p.m. EST at the Carrier Dome in Syracuse N.Y. Here's how the Cardinals stack up against the Orange:
- Rankings:
| Syracuse | Louisville | |
|---|---|---|
AP/Coaches | NR/NR | RV/RV |
NET | 51st | 42nd |
RPI | 70th | 22nd |
SOS | 85th | 39th |
KenPom | 47th | 39th |
Sagarin | 47th | 25th |
- Team Leaders:
| Syracuse | Louisville | |
|---|---|---|
Points | Quincy Guerrier (16.3) | Carlik Jones (17.4) |
Rebounds | Quincy Guerrier (9.5) | Jae'Lyn Withers (7.6) |
Assists | Joseph Girard III (3.9) | Carlik Jones (4.9) |
Steals | Kadary Richmond (1.7) | Carlik Jones (1.4) |
Blocks | Alan Griffin (1.6) | JJ Traynor (0.7) |
- Scoring:
| Syracuse | Louisville | |
|---|---|---|
Points Per Game | 77.7 | 69.5 |
Field Goal % | 44.7% | 45.2% |
FGM/FGA Per Game | 27.7/61.9 | 25.0/55.3 |
Three Point % | 31.7% | 31.9% |
3PTM/3PTA Per Game | 7.9/25.0 | 5.5/17.3 |
Free Throw % | 79.8% | 72.3% |
FTM/FTA Per Game | 14.5/18.1 | 13.9/19.3 |
- Rebounding:
| Syracuse | Louisville | |
|---|---|---|
Rebounds Per Game | 37.3 | 38.3 |
Off. Reb. Per Game | 10.3 | 10.3 |
Def. Reb. Per Game | 27.0 | 28.1 |
Rebound Margin | -1.2 | +6.1 |
- Defense:
| Syracuse | Louisville | |
|---|---|---|
Opp. Points Per Game | 70.3 | 64.2 |
Opp. FG% | 40.3% | 40.1% |
Opp. 3PT% | 29.7% | 30.9% |
Steals Per Game | 8.7 | 4.9 |
Turnovers Forced Per Game | 14.7 | 11.7 |
Blocks Per Game | 4.9 | 2.1 |
- Ball Handling:
| Syracuse | Louisville | |
|---|---|---|
Assists Per Game | 16.7 | 11.5 |
Turnovers Per Game | 11.6 | 12.0 |
Turnover Margin | +3.1 | -0.3 |
Assist/Turnover Margin | 1.4 | 1.0 |
- ESPN Prediction: Per ESPN's Basketball Power Index, Louisville has a 33.6% chance to win against Syracuse.
- KenPom Prediction: Per KenPom.com, the Cardinals have a 46% chance to take down the Orange, with a projected final score of 71-70 in favor of Syracuse. Louisville's Adjusted Efficiency Margin currently ranks 39th, with Syracuse's at 47th.
- Personal Prediction: Louisville 72, Syracuse 70.
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McGavic is a 2016 Sport Administration graduate of the University of Louisville, and a native of the Derby City. He has been covering the Cardinals in various capacities since 2017, with a brief stop in Atlanta, Ga. on the Georgia Tech beat. Also an avid video gamer, a bourbon enthusiast, and fierce dog lover. Find him on Twitter at @Matt_McGavic