Tale of The Tape & Prediction: Louisville vs. Virginia
(Photo of Kihei Clark, David Johnson: Amber Searls/USA TODAY Sports)
LOUISVILLE, Ky. - Louisville (13-5, 8-4 ACC) is set to face Virginia (16-6, 12-4 ACC) on Saturday, Mar. 6 at 4:00 p.m. EST at the KFC Yum! Center in Louisville, Ky. Here's how the Cardinals stack up against the Cavaliers:
- Rankings:
| Virginia | Louisville | |
|---|---|---|
AP/Coaches | 21st/20th | RV/RV |
NET | 21st | 50th |
RPI | 36th | 27th |
SOS | 72nd | 50th |
KenPom | 15th | 46th |
Sagarin | 12th | 29th |
- Team Leaders:
| Virginia | Louisville | |
|---|---|---|
Points | Sam Hauser (15.5) | Carlik Jones (17.6) |
Rebounds | Jay Huff (7.0) | Jae'Lyn Withers (8.0) |
Assists | Kihei Clark (4.6) | Carlik Jones (4.5) |
Steals | Reece Beekman (1.2) | Carlik Jones (1.7) |
Blocks | Jay Huff (2.5) | JJ Traynor (0.6) |
- Scoring:
| Virginia | Louisville | |
|---|---|---|
Points Per Game | 68.5 | 69.2 |
Field Goal % | 48.0% | 44.2% |
FGM/FGA Per Game | 25.3/52.7 | 25.2/57.1 |
Three Point % | 39.0% | 30.7% |
3PTM/3PTA Per Game | 8.6/22.0 | 5.3/17.2 |
Free Throw % | 80.0% | 72.0% |
FTM/FTA Per Game | 9.3/11.6 | 13.4/18.7 |
- Rebounding:
| Virginia | Louisville | |
|---|---|---|
Rebounds Per Game | 31.6 | 38.6 |
Off. Reb. Per Game | 6.4 | 11.1 |
Def. Reb. Per Game | 25.2 | 27.6 |
Rebound Margin | 2.5 | 5.7 |
- Defense:
| Virginia | Louisville | |
|---|---|---|
Opp. Points Per Game | 60.2 | 66.2 |
Opp. FG% | 42.0% | 41.6% |
Opp. 3PT% | 34.0% | 30.5% |
Steals Per Game | 5.1 | 5.0 |
Turnovers Forced Per Game | 9.7 | 11.4 |
Blocks Per Game | 4.1 | 2.0 |
- Ball Handling:
| Virginia | Louisville | |
|---|---|---|
Assists Per Game | 14.0 | 11.4 |
Turnovers Per Game | 9.5 | 12.1 |
Turnover Margin | -0.2 | -0.7 |
Assist/Turnover Ratio | 1.5 | 0.9 |
- ESPN Prediction: Per ESPN's Basketball Power Index, Louisville has a 34.1% chance to win against Virginia.
- KenPom Prediction: Per KenPom.com, the Cardinals have a 44% chance to take down the Cavaliers, with a projected final score of 62-60 in favor of Virginia. By current metrics, UVA is the third-best team Louisville will have faced all season (Wisconsin, Florida State).
- Personal Prediction: Virginia 61, Louisville 59.
You can follow Louisville Report for future coverage by liking us on Facebook & following us on Twitter:
Facebook - @LouisvilleOnSI
Twitter - @LouisvilleOnSI and Deputy Editor Matthew McGavic at @GeneralWasp
