Tale of The Tape & Prediction: Louisville vs. Virginia

(Photo of Kihei Clark, David Johnson: Amber Searls/USA TODAY Sports)

LOUISVILLE, Ky. - Louisville (13-5, 8-4 ACC) is set to face Virginia (16-6, 12-4 ACC) on Saturday, Mar. 6 at 4:00 p.m. EST at the KFC Yum! Center in Louisville, Ky. Here's how the Cardinals stack up against the Cavaliers:

- Rankings:

Virginia	Louisville
AP/Coaches	21st/20th	RV/RV
NET	21st	50th
RPI	36th	27th
SOS	72nd	50th
KenPom	15th	46th
Sagarin	12th	29th

- Team Leaders:

Virginia	Louisville
Points	Sam Hauser (15.5)	Carlik Jones (17.6)
Rebounds	Jay Huff (7.0)	Jae'Lyn Withers (8.0)
Assists	Kihei Clark (4.6)	Carlik Jones (4.5)
Steals	Reece Beekman (1.2)	Carlik Jones (1.7)
Blocks	Jay Huff (2.5)	JJ Traynor (0.6)

- Scoring:

Virginia	Louisville
Points Per Game	68.5	69.2
Field Goal %	48.0%	44.2%
FGM/FGA Per Game	25.3/52.7	25.2/57.1
Three Point %	39.0%	30.7%
3PTM/3PTA Per Game	8.6/22.0	5.3/17.2
Free Throw %	80.0%	72.0%
FTM/FTA Per Game	9.3/11.6	13.4/18.7

- Rebounding:

Virginia	Louisville
Rebounds Per Game	31.6	38.6
Off. Reb. Per Game	6.4	11.1
Def. Reb. Per Game	25.2	27.6
Rebound Margin	2.5	5.7

- Defense:

Virginia	Louisville
Opp. Points Per Game	60.2	66.2
Opp. FG%	42.0%	41.6%
Opp. 3PT%	34.0%	30.5%
Steals Per Game	5.1	5.0
Turnovers Forced Per Game	9.7	11.4
Blocks Per Game	4.1	2.0

- Ball Handling:

Virginia	Louisville
Assists Per Game	14.0	11.4
Turnovers Per Game	9.5	12.1
Turnover Margin	-0.2	-0.7
Assist/Turnover Ratio	1.5	0.9

- ESPN Prediction: Per ESPN's Basketball Power Index, Louisville has a 34.1% chance to win against Virginia.

- KenPom Prediction: Per KenPom.com, the Cardinals have a 44% chance to take down the Cavaliers, with a projected final score of 62-60 in favor of Virginia. By current metrics, UVA is the third-best team Louisville will have faced all season (Wisconsin, Florida State).

- Personal Prediction: Virginia 61, Louisville 59.

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