Tale of The Tape & Prediction: Louisville vs. Virginia

See how the Cardinals stack up against the Cavaliers, and who the statistical models favor.
Author:
Publish date:

(Photo of Kihei Clark, David Johnson: Amber Searls/USA TODAY Sports)

LOUISVILLE, Ky. - Louisville (13-5, 8-4 ACC) is set to face Virginia (16-6, 12-4 ACC) on Saturday, Mar. 6 at 4:00 p.m. EST at the KFC Yum! Center in Louisville, Ky. Here's how the Cardinals stack up against the Cavaliers:

- Rankings:

VirginiaLouisville

AP/Coaches

21st/20th

RV/RV

NET

21st

50th

RPI

36th

27th

SOS

72nd

50th

KenPom

15th

46th

Sagarin

12th

29th

- Team Leaders:

VirginiaLouisville

Points

Sam Hauser (15.5)

Carlik Jones (17.6)

Rebounds

Jay Huff (7.0)

Jae'Lyn Withers (8.0)

Assists

Kihei Clark (4.6)

Carlik Jones (4.5)

Steals

Reece Beekman (1.2)

Carlik Jones (1.7)

Blocks

Jay Huff (2.5)

JJ Traynor (0.6)

- Scoring:

VirginiaLouisville

Points Per Game

68.5

69.2

Field Goal %

48.0%

44.2%

FGM/FGA Per Game

25.3/52.7

25.2/57.1

Three Point %

39.0%

30.7%

3PTM/3PTA Per Game

8.6/22.0

5.3/17.2

Free Throw %

80.0%

72.0%

FTM/FTA Per Game

9.3/11.6

13.4/18.7

- Rebounding:

VirginiaLouisville

Rebounds Per Game

31.6

38.6

Off. Reb. Per Game

6.4

11.1

Def. Reb. Per Game

25.2

27.6

Rebound Margin

2.5

5.7

- Defense:

VirginiaLouisville

Opp. Points Per Game

60.2

66.2

Opp. FG%

42.0%

41.6%

Opp. 3PT%

34.0%

30.5%

Steals Per Game

5.1

5.0

Turnovers Forced Per Game

9.7

11.4

Blocks Per Game

4.1

2.0

- Ball Handling:

VirginiaLouisville

Assists Per Game

14.0

11.4

Turnovers Per Game

9.5

12.1

Turnover Margin

-0.2

-0.7

Assist/Turnover Ratio

1.5

0.9

- ESPN Prediction: Per ESPN's Basketball Power Index, Louisville has a 34.1% chance to win against Virginia.

- KenPom Prediction: Per KenPom.com, the Cardinals have a 44% chance to take down the Cavaliers, with a projected final score of 62-60 in favor of Virginia. By current metrics, UVA is the third-best team Louisville will have faced all season (Wisconsin, Florida State).

- Personal Prediction: Virginia 61, Louisville 59.

You can follow Louisville Report for future coverage by liking us on Facebook & following us on Twitter:

Facebook - @LouisvilleOnSI

Twitter - @LouisvilleOnSI and Deputy Editor Matthew McGavic at @GeneralWasp