Tale of The Tape, Prediction: Louisville vs. Pitt

LOUISVILLE, Ky. - Louisville (9-4, 3-0 ACC) is set to face Pitt (5-8, 0-2 ACC) on Wednesday, Jan 5 at 7:00 p.m. EST. Here's how the Cardinals stack up against the Panthers:
- Rankings:
| Pitt | Louisville | |
|---|---|---|
AP/USA TODAY | NR/NR | NR/NR |
NET | 213th | 72nd |
RPI | 190th | 39th |
SOS | 51st | 38th |
KenPom | 179th | 53rd |
Sagarin | 143rd | 52nd |
Torvik | 196th | 61st |
- Team Leaders:
| Pitt | Louisville | |
|---|---|---|
Points | John Hugley (14.8) | Malik Williams (11.7) |
Rebounds | John Hugley (7.9) | Malik Williams (9.4) |
Assists | Femi Odukale (3.3) | Jarrod West (3.8) |
Steals | William Jeffress (1.0) | Jarrod West (2.0) |
Blocks | Mouhamadou Gueye (1.7) | Malik Williams (0.9) |
- Scoring:
| Pitt | Louisville | |
|---|---|---|
Points Per Game | 61.2 | 70.7 |
Field Goal % | 40.9% | 42.1% |
FGM/FGA Per Game | 20.7/50.5 | 25.2/59.8 |
Three Point % | 29.8% | 31.3% |
3PTM/3PTA Per Game | 4.5/15.2 | 8.1/25.8 |
Free Throw % | 66.2% | 70.5% |
- Rebounding:
| Pitt | Louisville | |
|---|---|---|
Rebounds Per Game | 36.2 | 40.4 |
Off. Reb. Per Game | 10.8 | 10.9 |
Def. Reb. Per Game | 25.4 | 29.5 |
Rebound Margin | +4.9 | +5.1 |
- Defense:
| Pitt | Louisville | |
|---|---|---|
Opp. Points Per Game | 64.0 | 66.0 |
Opp. FG% | 41.1% | 38.8% |
Opp. 3PT% | 34.1% | 30.4% |
Steals Per Game | 4.8 | 7.0 |
Blocks Per Game | 3.9 | 2.8 |
- Ball Handling:
| Pitt | Louisville | |
|---|---|---|
Assists Per Game | 11.4 | 13.1 |
Turnovers Per Game | 13.3 | 13.9 |
Turnover Margin | -2.9 | -1.1 |
Assist/Turnover Ratio | 0.9 | 0.9 |
- ESPN Prediction: Per ESPN's Basketball Power Index, Louisville has a 90.0 percent chance to win against Pitt.
- KenPom Prediction: Per KenPom.com, the Cardinals have a 87 percent chance to take down the Panthers, with a projected final score of 69-57 in favor of Louisville. Per current metrics, Pitt is the lowest-ranked opponent on the remainder of Louisville's schedule, and their fourth-lowest ranked opponent overall (Southern, Detroit Mercy, SE Louisiana)
- Personal Prediction: Louisville 72, Pitt 63.
(Photo of Jarrod West: Sam Upshaw Jr. -Courier Journal via Imagn Content Services, LLC)
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McGavic is a 2016 Sport Administration graduate of the University of Louisville, and a native of the Derby City. He has been covering the Cardinals in various capacities since 2017, with a brief stop in Atlanta, Ga. on the Georgia Tech beat. Also an avid video gamer, a bourbon enthusiast, and fierce dog lover. Find him on Twitter at @Matt_McGavic