Tale of The Tape, Prediction: Louisville vs. NC State
LOUISVILLE, Ky. - Louisville (10-5, 4-1 ACC) is set to face NC State (8-8, 1-4 ACC) on Wednesday, Jan 12 at 9:00 p.m. EST. Here's how the Cardinals stack up against the Wolfpack:
- Rankings:
| NC State | Louisville | |
|---|---|---|
AP/USA TODAY | NR/NR | NR/NR |
NET | 135th | 85th |
RPI | 194th | 47th |
SOS | 123rd | 34th |
KenPom | 115th | 59th |
Sagarin | 108th | 56th |
Torvik | 118th | 73rd |
- Team Leaders:
| NC State | Louisville | |
|---|---|---|
Points | Dereon Seabron (19.7) | Noah Locke (10.8) |
Rebounds | Dereon Seabron (10.1) | Malik Williams (8.9) |
Assists | Dereon Seabron (3.5) | Jarrod West (3.6) |
Steals | Dereon Seabron (1.6) | Jarrod West (1.7) |
Blocks | Ebenezer Dowuona (2.5) | Malik Williams (0.8) |
- Scoring:
| NC State | Louisville | |
|---|---|---|
Points Per Game | 76.8 | 70.9 |
Field Goal % | 42.2% | 42.3% |
FGM/FGA Per Game | 26.8/63.5 | 25.0/59.1 |
Three Point % | 31.8% | 31.3% |
3PTM/3PTA Per Game | 7.6/23.9 | 8.0/25.6 |
Free Throw % | 71.1% | 70.0% |
- Rebounding:
| NC State | Louisville | |
|---|---|---|
Rebounds Per Game | 37.9 | 39.8 |
Off. Reb. Per Game | 12.8 | 10.7 |
Def. Reb Per Game | 25.1 | 29.1 |
Rebound Margin | 0.0 | +4.4 |
- Defense:
| NC State | Louisville | |
|---|---|---|
Opp. Points Per Game | 75.2 | 67.3 |
Opp. FG% | 44.8% | 39.6% |
Opp. 3PT% | 34.1% | 30.8% |
Steals Per Game | 7.4 | 6.6 |
Blocks Per Game | 4.3 | 2.5 |
- Ball Handling:
| NC State | Louisville | |
|---|---|---|
Assists Per Game | 11.9 | 13.0 |
Turnovers Per Game | 10.1 | 13.5 |
Turnover Margin | +2.9 | -1.3 |
Assist/Turnover Ratio | 1.2 | 1.0 |
- ESPN Prediction: Per ESPN's Basketball Power Index, Louisville has a 80.2 percent chance to win against NC State.
- KenPom Prediction: Per KenPom.com, the Cardinals have a 74 percent chance to take down the Wolfpack, with a projected final score of 76-69 in favor of Louisville. Per current metrics, the matchup with NC State kicks off a three-game stretch where Louisville plays teams all outside the KenPom top 100.
- Personal Prediction: Louisville 79, NC State 72.
(Photo of Dre Davis: University of Louisville Athletics)
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