Tale of The Tape, Prediction: Louisville vs. Virginia
LOUISVILLE, Ky. - Louisville (11-8, 5-4 ACC) is set to face Virginia (11-8, 5-4 ACC) on Monday, Jan 24 at 7:00 p.m. EST. Here's how the Cardinals stack up against the Cavaliers:
- Rankings:
| Virginia | Louisville | |
|---|---|---|
AP/USA TODAY | NR/NR | NR/NR |
NET | 100th | 113th |
RPI | 121st | 99th |
SOS | 111st | 76th |
KenPom | 93rd | 108th |
Sagarin | 74th | 90th |
Torvik | 96th | 104th |
- Team Leaders:
| Virginia | Louisville | |
|---|---|---|
Points | Jayden Gardner (14.0) | Noah Locke (10.5) |
Rebounds | Jayden Gardner (6.8) | Malik Williams (8.6) |
Assists | Reece Beekman (4.6) | Jarrod West (3.2) |
Steals | Reece Beekman (2.3) | Jarrod West (1.5) |
Blocks | Kadin Shedrick (2.7) | Malik Williams (0.7) |
- Scoring:
| Virginia | Louisville | |
|---|---|---|
Points Per Game | 62.5 | 69.3 |
Field Goal % | 44.9% | 42.5% |
FGM/FGA Per Game | 23.2/51.7 | 24.7/58.1 |
Three Point % | 33.3% | 32.0% |
3PTM/3PTA | 5.7/17.1 | 7.8/24.5 |
Free Throw % | 71.9% | 68.9% |
- Rebounding:
| Virginia | Louisville | |
|---|---|---|
Rebounds Per Game | 30.8 | 38.4 |
Off. Reb. Per Game | 8.8 | 9.7 |
Def. Reb. Per Game | 22.0 | 28.7 |
Rebound Margin | -1.1 | +3.3 |
- Defense:
| Virginia | Louisville | |
|---|---|---|
Opp. Points Per Game | 59.7 | 67.8 |
Opp. FG% | 42.0% | 41.1% |
Opp. 3PT% | 35.5% | 32.8% |
Steals Per Game | 5.7 | 6.4 |
Blocks Per Game | 5.2 | 2.3 |
- Ball Handling:
| Virginia | Louisville | |
|---|---|---|
Assists Per Game | 13.9 | 12.8 |
Turnovers Per Game | 10.1 | 12.8 |
Turnover Margin | -1.4 | -1.1 |
Assist/Turnover Ratio | 1.4 | 1.0 |
- ESPN Prediction: Per ESPN's Basketball Power Index, Louisville has a 32.1 percent chance to win against Virginia.
- KenPom Prediction: Per KenPom.com, the Cardinals have a 35 percent chance to take down the Cavaliers, with a projected final score of 63-59 in favor of Virginia. Per current metrics, Virginia is lowest-ranked opponent that Louisville will face for the remainder of the season.
- Personal Prediction: Virginia 65, Louisville 59
(Photo of Jae'Lyn Withers: Alton Strupp - Courier Journal/USA TODAY NETWORK)
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