Tale of the Tape, Prediction: Louisville vs. North Carolina
LOUISVILLE, Ky. - Louisville (11-10, 5-6 ACC) is set to face North Carolina (15-6, 7-3 ACC) on Tuesday, Feb. 1 at 8:00 p.m. EST. Here's how the Cardinals stack up against the Tar Heels:
- Rankings:
| North Carolina | Louisville | |
|---|---|---|
AP/USA TODAY | NR/NR | NR/NR |
NET | 37th | 121st |
RPI | 34th | 126th |
SOS | 38th | 75th |
KenPom | 34th | 119th |
Sagarin | 28th | 95th |
Torvik | 34th | 117th |
- Team Leaders:
| North Carolina | Louisville | |
|---|---|---|
Points | Armando Bacot (16.3) | Noah Locke (10.0) |
Rebounds | Armando Bacot (12.1) | Malik Williams (8.7) |
Assists | Caleb Love (3.4) | Jarrod West (3.0) |
Steals | Caleb Love (1.2) | Jarrod West (1.4) |
Blocks | Armando Bacot (1.7) | Malik Williams (0.7) |
- Scoring:
| North Carolina | Louisville | |
|---|---|---|
Points Per Game | 78.0 | 68.3 |
Field Goal % | 45.4% | 42.2% |
FGM/FGA Per Game | 27.7/60.9 | 24.5/58.0 |
Three Point % | 38.1% | 32.2% |
3PTM/3PTA Per Game | 8.2/21.6 | 7.9/24.5 |
Free Throw % | 75.8% | 68.0% |
- Rebounding:
| North Carolina | Louisville | |
|---|---|---|
Rebounds Per Game | 40.9 | 37.6 |
Off. Reb. Per Game | 11.0 | 9.7 |
Def. Reb. Per Game | 29.9 | 27.9 |
Rebound Margin | +8.9 | +1.8 |
- Defense:
| North Carolina | Louisville | |
|---|---|---|
Opp. Points Per Game | 71.5 | 68.0 |
Opp. FG% | 43.1% | 41.5% |
Opp. 3PT% | 33.2% | 32.6% |
Steals Per Game | 5.0 | 6.1 |
Blocks Per Game | 3.8 | 2.4 |
- Ball Handling:
| North Carolina | Louisville | |
|---|---|---|
Assist Per Game | 14.3 | 12.4 |
Turnovers Per Game | 11.9 | 12.4 |
Turnover Margin | -2.5 | -1.0 |
Assist/Turnover Ratio | 1.2 | 1.0 |
- ESPN Prediction: Per ESPN's Basketball Power Index, Louisville has a 40.9 percent chance to win against North Carolina.
- KenPom Prediction: Per KenPom.com, the Cardinals have a 33 percent chance to take down the Tar Heels, with a projected final score of 75-70 in favor of North Carolina. Per current metrics, UNC is second-highest ranked opponent that Louisville will face all season (Duke).
- Personal Prediction: North Carolina 71, Louisville 70.
(Photo of Jae'Lyn Withers: Bob Donnan - USA TODAY Sports)
You can follow Louisville Report for future coverage by liking us on Facebook, Twitter and Instagram:
Facebook - @LouisvilleOnSI
Twitter - @LouisvilleOnSI
Instagram - @louisville_report
You can also follow Deputy Editor Matthew McGavic at @Matt_McGavic on Twitter
