Tale of the Tape, Prediction: Louisville vs. Miami

LOUISVILLE, Ky. - Louisville (11-13, 5-9 ACC) is set to face Miami (18-7, 10-4 ACC) on Wednesday, Feb. 16 at 7:00 p.m. EST. Here's how the Cardinals stack up against the Hurricanes:
- Rankings:
| Miami | Louisville | |
|---|---|---|
AP/USA TODAY | RV/RV | NR/NR |
NET | 68th | 126th |
RPI | 43rd | 150th |
SOS | 49th | 79th |
KenPom | 67th | 128th |
Sagarin | 70th | 99th |
Torvik | 64th | 126th |
- Team Leaders:
| Miami | Louisville | |
|---|---|---|
Points | Kameron McGusty (17.8) | Malik Williams (9.5) |
Rebounds | Jordan Miller (5.7) | Malik Williams (8.3) |
Assists | Charlie Moore (3.9) | Jarrod West (3.1) |
Steals | Charlie Moore (2.1) | Jarrod West (1.3) |
Blocks | Sam Waardenburg (1.1) | Malik Williams (0.7) |
- Scoring:
| Miami | Louisville | |
|---|---|---|
Points Per Game | 74.8 | 68.5 |
Field Goal % | 47.1% | 41.9% |
FGM/FGA Per Game | 26.9/57.1 | 24.8/59.2 |
Three Point % | 35.4% | 31.9% |
3PTM/3PTA Per Game | 7.4/21.0 | 8.2/25.6 |
Free Throw % | 74.8% | 68.7% |
- Rebounding:
| Miami | Louisville | |
|---|---|---|
Rebounds Per Game | 30.5 | 37.5 |
Off. Reb. Per Game | 7.4 | 9.9 |
Def. Reb. Per Game | 23.1 | 27.6 |
Rebound Margin | -4.4 | +1.4 |
- Defense:
| Miami | Louisville | |
|---|---|---|
Opp. Points Per Game | 71.2 | 69.7 |
Opp, FG% | 46.3% | 42.4% |
Opp, 3PT% | 35.9% | 33.8% |
Steals Per Game | 8.7 | 6.1 |
Blocks Per Game | 3.1 | 2.5 |
- Ball Handling:
| Miami | Louisville | |
|---|---|---|
Assists Per Game | 13.5 | 12.5 |
Turnovers Per Game | 9.6 | 12.3 |
Turnover Margin | +4.3 | -1.0 |
Assist/Turnover Ratio | 1.4 | 1.0 |
- ESPN Prediction: Per ESPN's Basketball Power Index, Louisville has a 54.5 percent chance to win against Miami.
- KenPom Prediction: Per KenPom.com, the Cardinals have a 41 percent chance to take down the Hurricanes, with a projected final score of 73-71 in favor of Miami.
- Personal Prediction: Miami 75, Louisville 69.
(Photo of Jae'Lyn Withers: Jasen Vinlove - USA TODAY Sports)
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McGavic is a 2016 Sport Administration graduate of the University of Louisville, and a native of the Derby City. He has been covering the Cardinals in various capacities since 2017, with a brief stop in Atlanta, Ga. on the Georgia Tech beat. Also an avid video gamer, a bourbon enthusiast, and fierce dog lover. Find him on Twitter at @Matt_McGavic