Tale of the Tape, Prediction: Louisville vs. North Carolina
LOUISVILLE, Ky. - Louisville (12-14, 6-10 ACC) is set to face North Carolina (19-8, 11-5 ACC) on Monday, Feb. 21 at 7:00 p.m. EST. Here's how the Cardinals stack up against the Tar Heels:
- Rankings:
| North Carolina | Louisville | |
|---|---|---|
AP/USA TODAY | NR/RV | NR/NR |
NET | 43rd | 124th |
RPI | 41st | 155th |
SOS | 55th | 76th |
KenPom | 43rd | 128th |
Sagarin | 31st | 101st |
Torvik | 43rd | 125th |
- Team Leaders:
| North Carolina | Louisville | |
|---|---|---|
Points | Armando Bacot (16.1) | Noah Locke (9.7) |
Rebounds | Armando Bacot (12.2) | Malik Williams (8.1) |
Assists | Caleb Love (3.7) | Jarrod West (3.0) |
Steals | Caleb Love (1.2) | Jarrod West (1.3) |
Blocks | Armando Bacot (1.7) | Malik Williams (0.6) |
- Scoring:
| North Carolina | Louisville | |
|---|---|---|
Points Per Game | 77.8 | 68.3 |
Field Goal % | 45.6% | 42.1% |
FGM/FGA Per Game | 27.7/60.8 | 24.9/59.3 |
Three Point % | 38.0% | 31.4% |
3PTM/3PTA Per Game | 8.5/22.3 | 7.9/25.3 |
Free Throw % | 75.6% | 68.5% |
- Rebounding:
| North Carolina | Louisville | |
|---|---|---|
Rebounds Per Game | 39.6 | 37.4 |
Off. Reb. Per Game | 10.6 | 9.8 |
Def. Reb. Per Game | 29.0 | 27.6 |
Rebound Margin | +7.3 | +1.3 |
- Defense:
| North Carolina | Louisville | |
|---|---|---|
Opp. Points Per Game | 72.4 | 69.3 |
Opp. FG% | 43.3% | 42.6% |
Opp. 3PT% | 35.0% | 33.8% |
Steals Per Game | 5.3 | 6.1 |
Blocks Per Game | 4.0 | 2.5 |
- Ball Handling:
| North Carolina | Louisville | |
|---|---|---|
Assists Per Game | 14.7 | 12.2 |
Turnovers Per Game | 12.0 | 12.0 |
Turnover Margin | -1.9 | -0.8 |
Assist/Turnover Ratio | 1.2 | 1.0 |
- ESPN Prediction: Per ESPN's Basketball Power Index, Louisville has a 14.4 percent chance to win against North Carolina.
- KenPom Prediction: Per KenPom.com, the Cardinals have a 16 percent chance to take down the Tar Heels, with a projected final score of 79-68 in favor of North Carolina.
- Torvik Prediction: Per BartTorvik.com, the Cardinals have a 15 percent chance to take down the Tar Heels, with a projected final score of 80-69 in favor of North Carolina.
- Personal Prediction: North Carolina 81, Louisville 70.
(Photo of R.J. Davis, El Ellis: Jamie Rhodes - USA TODAY Sports)
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