Tale of The Tape, Prediction: Louisville vs. Mississippi State
NASSAU, Bahamas - Louisville (3-1, 0-0 ACC) is set to play their first game away from home this season, facing Mississippi State (4-0, 0-0 SEC) on Thursday, Nov. 25 at 9:30 p.m. EST as part of the Baha Mar Hoops Bahamas Championship in Nassau. Here's how the Cardinals stack up against the Bulldogs:
- Rankings:
| Mississippi State | Louisville | |
|---|---|---|
AP/USA TODAY | RV/NR | NR/NR |
NET | 82nd | 56th |
RPI | 175th | 212th |
SOS | 336th | 266th |
KenPom | 43rd | 51st |
Sagarin | 40th | 67th |
- Team Leaders:
| Mississippi State | Louisville | |
|---|---|---|
Points | Iverson Molinar (15.8) | Noah Locke (16.0) |
Rebounds | Garrison Brooks (7.3) | Malik Williams (9.3) |
Assists | Iverson Molinar (5.3) | Mason Faulkner (3.5) |
Steals | Shakeel Moore (3.0) | Jarrod West (2.3) |
Blocks | Shakeel Moore (0.8) | Malik Williams (1.3) |
- Scoring:
| Mississippi State | Louisville | |
|---|---|---|
Points Per Game | 76.0 | 73.5 |
Field Goal % | 52.0% | 44.8% |
FGM/FGA Per Game | 29.5/56.8 | 26.8/59.8 |
Three Point % | 45.7% | 31.4% |
3PTM/3PTA Per Game | 8.0/17.5 | 8.0/25.5 |
Free Throw % | 62.1% | 67.6% |
- Rebounding:
| Mississippi State | Louisville | |
|---|---|---|
Rebounds Per Game | 40.5 | 39.8 |
Off. Reb. Per Game | 11.5 | 9.8 |
Def. Reb Per Game | 29.0 | 30.0 |
Rebound Margin | +13.2 | +2.8 |
- Defense:
| Mississippi State | Louisville | |
|---|---|---|
Opp. Points Per Game | 52.0 | 66.8 |
Opp. FG% | 34.2% | 38.1% |
Opp. 3PT% | 30.9% | 32.7% |
Steals Per Game | 10.5 | 9.3 |
Blocks Per Game | 4.0 | 3.0 |
- Ball Handling:
| Mississippi State | Louisville | |
|---|---|---|
Assists Per Game | 15.3 | 14.0 |
Turnovers Per Game | 12.5 | 14.3 |
Turnover Margin | +1.8 | +0.3 |
Assist/Turnover Ratio | 1.2 | 1.0 |
- ESPN Prediction: Per ESPN's Basketball Power Index, Louisville has a 42.1 percent chance to win against Mississippi State.
- KenPom Prediction: Per KenPom.com, the Cardinals have a 46 percent chance to take down the Bulldogs, with a projected final score of 67-66 in favor of Mississippi State. Per current metrics, Mississippi State is the third-highest ranked opponent (43rd) on Louisville's schedule, behind Michigan State (21st) and Kentucky (14th)
- Personal Prediction: Mississippi State 69, Louisville 64.
(Photo of Malik Williams: Michael Clevenger - Courier Journal via Imagn Content Services, LLC)
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