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Tale of The Tape, Prediction: Louisville vs. Mississippi State

Take a look at how the Cardinals stack up against the Bulldogs for their Thursday matchup, and who the statistical models favor:

NASSAU, Bahamas - Louisville (3-1, 0-0 ACC) is set to play their first game away from home this season, facing Mississippi State (4-0, 0-0 SEC) on Thursday, Nov. 25 at 9:30 p.m. EST as part of the Baha Mar Hoops Bahamas Championship in Nassau. Here's how the Cardinals stack up against the Bulldogs:

- Rankings:

Mississippi StateLouisville

AP/USA TODAY

RV/NR

NR/NR

NET

82nd

56th

RPI

175th

212th

SOS

336th

266th

KenPom

43rd

51st

Sagarin

40th

67th

- Team Leaders:

Mississippi StateLouisville

Points

Iverson Molinar (15.8)

Noah Locke (16.0)

Rebounds

Garrison Brooks (7.3)

Malik Williams (9.3)

Assists

Iverson Molinar (5.3)

Mason Faulkner (3.5)

Steals

Shakeel Moore (3.0)

Jarrod West (2.3)

Blocks

Shakeel Moore (0.8)

Malik Williams (1.3)

- Scoring:

Mississippi StateLouisville

Points Per Game

76.0

73.5

Field Goal %

52.0%

44.8%

FGM/FGA Per Game

29.5/56.8

26.8/59.8

Three Point %

45.7%

31.4%

3PTM/3PTA Per Game

8.0/17.5

8.0/25.5

Free Throw %

62.1%

67.6%

- Rebounding:

Mississippi StateLouisville

Rebounds Per Game

40.5

39.8

Off. Reb. Per Game

11.5

9.8

Def. Reb Per Game

29.0

30.0

Rebound Margin

+13.2

+2.8

- Defense:

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Mississippi StateLouisville

Opp. Points Per Game

52.0

66.8

Opp. FG%

34.2%

38.1%

Opp. 3PT%

30.9%

32.7%

Steals Per Game

10.5

9.3

Blocks Per Game

4.0

3.0

- Ball Handling:

Mississippi StateLouisville

Assists Per Game

15.3

14.0

Turnovers Per Game

12.5

14.3

Turnover Margin

+1.8

+0.3

Assist/Turnover Ratio

1.2

1.0

- ESPN Prediction: Per ESPN's Basketball Power Index, Louisville has a 42.1 percent chance to win against Mississippi State.

- KenPom Prediction: Per KenPom.com, the Cardinals have a 46 percent chance to take down the Bulldogs, with a projected final score of 67-66 in favor of Mississippi State. Per current metrics, Mississippi State is the third-highest ranked opponent (43rd) on Louisville's schedule, behind Michigan State (21st) and Kentucky (14th)

- Personal Prediction: Mississippi State 69, Louisville 64.

(Photo of Malik Williams: Michael Clevenger - Courier Journal via Imagn Content Services, LLC)

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