Tale of The Tape, Prediction: Louisville vs. Maryland
NASSAU, Bahamas - Louisville (4-1, 0-0 ACC) is set to face Maryland (5-1, 0-0 Big Ten) in the Baha Mar Hoops Bahamas Championship final on Saturday, Nov. 27 at 10:00 a.m. EST. Here's how the Cardinals stack up against the Terrapins:
- Rankings:
| Maryland | Louisville | |
|---|---|---|
AP/USA TODAY | RV/RV | NR/NR |
NET | 35th | T-56th |
RPI | 121st | 122nd |
SOS | 182nd | 162nd |
KenPom | 41st | 44th |
Sagarin | 48th | 49th |
- Team Leaders:
| Maryland | Louisville | |
|---|---|---|
Points | Eric Ayala (16.2) | Noah Locke (13.2) |
Rebounds | Donta Scott (7.8) | Malik Williams (9.4) |
Assists | Fatts Russell (3.8) | Jarrod West, Mason Faulkner (3.0) |
Steals | Hakim Hart (2.2) | Jarrod West (2.0) |
Blocks | Donta Scott (1.5) | Malik Williams (1.0) |
- Scoring:
| Maryland | Louisville | |
|---|---|---|
Points Per Game | 73.8 | 73.2 |
Field Goal % | 43.2% | 44.0% |
FGM/FGA Per Game | 25.8/59.8 | 26.6/60.4 |
Three Point % | 28.5% | 31.5% |
3PTM/3PTA Per Game | 6.5/22.8 | 7.8/24.8 |
Free Throw % | 71.8% | 65.6% |
- Rebounding:
| Maryland | Louisville | |
|---|---|---|
Rebounds Per Game | 41.5 | 41.2 |
Off. Reb Per Game | 12.0 | 10.8 |
Def. Reb. Per Game | 29.5 | 30.4 |
Rebound Margin | +9.2 | +4.0 |
- Defense:
| Maryland | Louisville | |
|---|---|---|
Opp. Points Per Game | 68.0 | 65.0 |
Opp. FG% | 41.8% | 37.2% |
Opp. 3PT% | 36.7% | 29.2% |
Steals Per Game | 6.2 | 8.4 |
Blocks Per Game | 5.0 | 2.4 |
- Ball Handling:
| Maryland | Louisville | |
|---|---|---|
Assists Per Game | 15.0 | 13.2 |
Turnovers Per Game | 12.5 | 14.4 |
Turnover Margin | -1.2 | -0.6 |
Assist/Turnover Ratio | 1.2 | 0.9 |
- ESPN Prediction: Per ESPN's Basketball Power Index, Louisville has a 56.6 percent chance to win against Maryland.
- KenPom Prediction: Per KenPom.com, the Cardinals have a 48 percent chance to take down the Terrapins, with a projected final score of 70-69 in favor of Maryland. Per current metrics, Maryland is the third-highest ranked opponent (40th) on Louisville's schedule, behind Michigan State (17th) and Kentucky (16th)
- Personal Prediction: Louisville 75, Maryland 71.
(Photo of Matt Cross: Sam Upshaw Jr. - Courier Journal via Imagn Content Services, LLC)
You can follow Louisville Report for future coverage by liking us on Facebook, Twitter and Instagram:
Facebook - @LouisvilleOnSI
Twitter - @LouisvilleOnSI
Instagram - @louisville_report
You can also follow Deputy Editor Matthew McGavic at @Matt_McGavic on Twitter
