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Tale of The Tape, Prediction: Louisville vs. Michigan State

Take a look at how the Cardinals stack up against the Spartans for their Saturday matchup, and who the statistical models favor:

EAST LANSING, Mich. - Louisville (5-1, 0-0 ACC) is set to face Michigan State (5-2, 0-0 Big Ten) as part of the ACC/Big Ten Challenge on Wednesday, Dec. 1 at 7:15 p.m. EST. Here's how the Cardinals stack up against the Spartans:

- Rankings:

Michigan StateLouisville

AP/US TODAY

22nd/22nd

RV/NR

NET

N/A

N/A

RPI

11th

37th

SOS

8th

64th

KenPom

26th

39th

Sagarin

18th

39th

- Team Leaders:

Michigan StateLouisville

Points

Gabe Brown (13.4)

Noah Locke (13.0)

Rebounds

Marcus Bingham, Jr. (7.1)

Malik Williams (9.8)

Assists

A.J. Hoggard (4.3)

Jarrod West (3.5)

Steals

Marcus Bingham, Jr. (1.3)

Jarrod West, Malik Williams (1.7)

Blocks

Marcus Bingham, Jr. (3.4)

Malik Williams (1.0)

- Scoring:

Michigan StateLouisville

Points Per Game

72.1

71.5

Field Goal %

45.1%

42.5%

FGM/FGA Per Game

26.3/58.3

25.7/60.3

Three Point %

32.0%

29.8%

3PTM/3PTA Per Game

5.6/17.4

7.5/25.2

Free Throw %

69.5%

67.9%

- Rebounding:

Michigan StateLouisville

Rebounds Per Game

41.7

42.8

Off. Reb. Per Game

12.0

11.8

Def. Reb. Per Game

29.7

31.0

Rebound Margin

+8.3

+7.7

- Defense:

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Michigan StateLouisville

Opp. Points Per Game

62.9

63.3

Opp. FG%

37.6%

37.4%

Opp, 3PT%

28.6%

29.1%

Steals Per Game

6.3

8.5

Blocks Per Game

6.6

2.8

- Ball Handling:

Michigan StateLouisville

Assists Per Game

13.4

12.8

Turnovers Per Game

15.7

14.8

Turnover Margin

-3.0

-1.2

Assist/Turnover Ratio

0.9

0.9

- ESPN Prediction: Per ESPN's Basketball Power Index, Louisville has a 31.6 percent chance to win against Michigan State.

- KenPom Prediction: Per KenPom.com, the Cardinals have a 29 percent chance to take down the Spartans, with a projected final score of 70-64 in favor of Michigan State. Per current metrics, Michigan State is the third-highest ranked opponent (26th) on Louisville's schedule, behind Kentucky (13th) and Duke (6th)

- Personal Prediction: Michigan State 69, Louisville 68.

(Photo of Malik Williams: Jeremy Brevard - USA TODAY Sports

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