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Tale of The Tape, Prediction: Louisville vs. NC State

Take a look at how the Cardinals stack up against the Wolfpack for their Saturday matchup, and who the statistical models favor:

RALEIGH, N.C. - Louisville (5-2, 0-0 ACC) is set to face N.C. State (6-1, 0-0 ACC) on Saturday, Dec. 4 at 2:00 p.m. EST. Here's how the Cardinals stack up against the Wolfpack:

- Rankings:

NC StateLouisville

AP/USA TODAY

NR/NR

RV/NR

NET

N/A

N/A

RPI

101st

45th

SOS

232nd

35th

KenPom

66th

40th

Sagarin

85th

37th

- Team Leaders:

NC StateLouisville

Points

Dereon Seabron (21.7)

Noah Locke (11.1)

Rebounds

Dereon Seabron (11.1)

Malik Williams (9.6)

Assists

Dereon Seabron (3.3)

Jarrod West (3.4)

Steals

Dereon Seabron (2.6)

Jarrod West (1.9)

Blocks

Ebenezer Dowuona (2.7)

Malik Williams (1.0)

- Scoring:

NC StateLouisville

Points Per Game

81.6

70.4

Field Goal %

42.5%

42.3%

FGM/FGA Per Game

27.4/64.6

25.6/60.4

Three Point %

29.6%

29.2%

3PTM/3PTA Per Game

6.9/23.1

7.4/25.4

Free Throw %

73.2%

67.5%

- Rebounding:

NC StateLouisville

Rebounds Per Game

41.7

41.1

Off. Reb. Per Game

13.9

11.6

Def. Reb. Per Game

27.9

29.6

Rebound Margin

+2.7

+5.7

- Defense:

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NC StateLouisville

Opp. Points Per Game

74.4

64.7

Opp. FG%

41.8%

38.5%

Opp. 3PT%

32.3%

32.4%

Steals Per Game

8.6

8.6

Blocks Per Game

5.4

2.9

- Ball Handling:

NC StateLouisville

Assists Per Game

11.9

12.4

Turnovers Per Game

11.0

15.0

Turnover Margin

+3.0

-0.6

Assist/Turnover Ratio

1.1

0.8

- ESPN Prediction: Per ESPN's Basketball Power Index, Louisville has a 48.0 percent chance to win against NC State.

- KenPom Prediction: Per KenPom.com, the Cardinals have a 49 percent chance to take down the Wolfpack, with a projected final score of 70-69 in favor of NC State. Per current metrics, NC State is the highest ranked opponent on Louisville's schedule until they face Kentucky (11th) on Dec. 22.

- Personal Prediction: Louisville 72, NC State 70.

(Photo of Christen Cunningham, D.J. Funderburk: Jamie Rhodes - USA TODAY Sports)

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