Tale of The Tape, Prediction: Louisville vs. NC State
RALEIGH, N.C. - Louisville (5-2, 0-0 ACC) is set to face N.C. State (6-1, 0-0 ACC) on Saturday, Dec. 4 at 2:00 p.m. EST. Here's how the Cardinals stack up against the Wolfpack:
- Rankings:
| NC State | Louisville | |
|---|---|---|
AP/USA TODAY | NR/NR | RV/NR |
NET | N/A | N/A |
RPI | 101st | 45th |
SOS | 232nd | 35th |
KenPom | 66th | 40th |
Sagarin | 85th | 37th |
- Team Leaders:
| NC State | Louisville | |
|---|---|---|
Points | Dereon Seabron (21.7) | Noah Locke (11.1) |
Rebounds | Dereon Seabron (11.1) | Malik Williams (9.6) |
Assists | Dereon Seabron (3.3) | Jarrod West (3.4) |
Steals | Dereon Seabron (2.6) | Jarrod West (1.9) |
Blocks | Ebenezer Dowuona (2.7) | Malik Williams (1.0) |
- Scoring:
| NC State | Louisville | |
|---|---|---|
Points Per Game | 81.6 | 70.4 |
Field Goal % | 42.5% | 42.3% |
FGM/FGA Per Game | 27.4/64.6 | 25.6/60.4 |
Three Point % | 29.6% | 29.2% |
3PTM/3PTA Per Game | 6.9/23.1 | 7.4/25.4 |
Free Throw % | 73.2% | 67.5% |
- Rebounding:
| NC State | Louisville | |
|---|---|---|
Rebounds Per Game | 41.7 | 41.1 |
Off. Reb. Per Game | 13.9 | 11.6 |
Def. Reb. Per Game | 27.9 | 29.6 |
Rebound Margin | +2.7 | +5.7 |
- Defense:
| NC State | Louisville | |
|---|---|---|
Opp. Points Per Game | 74.4 | 64.7 |
Opp. FG% | 41.8% | 38.5% |
Opp. 3PT% | 32.3% | 32.4% |
Steals Per Game | 8.6 | 8.6 |
Blocks Per Game | 5.4 | 2.9 |
- Ball Handling:
| NC State | Louisville | |
|---|---|---|
Assists Per Game | 11.9 | 12.4 |
Turnovers Per Game | 11.0 | 15.0 |
Turnover Margin | +3.0 | -0.6 |
Assist/Turnover Ratio | 1.1 | 0.8 |
- ESPN Prediction: Per ESPN's Basketball Power Index, Louisville has a 48.0 percent chance to win against NC State.
- KenPom Prediction: Per KenPom.com, the Cardinals have a 49 percent chance to take down the Wolfpack, with a projected final score of 70-69 in favor of NC State. Per current metrics, NC State is the highest ranked opponent on Louisville's schedule until they face Kentucky (11th) on Dec. 22.
- Personal Prediction: Louisville 72, NC State 70.
(Photo of Christen Cunningham, D.J. Funderburk: Jamie Rhodes - USA TODAY Sports)
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