Tale of The Tape, Predictions: Louisville vs. Lipscomb

LOUISVILLE, Ky. - Louisville (2-9, 0-2 ACC) is set to face Lipscomb (7-5, 0-0 ASUN) on Tuesday, Dec. 20 at 6:00 p.m. EST at the KFC Yum! Center. Here's how the Cardinals stack up against the Bisons:
- Rankings:
| Lipscomb | Louisville | |
|---|---|---|
AP/USA TODAY | NR/NR | NR/NR |
NET | 212th | 344th |
RPI | 235th | 318th |
SOS | 288th | 150th |
BPI | 231st | 312th |
KenPom | 196th | 245th |
Torvik | 197th | 295th |
Sagarin | 227th | 225th |
- Team Leaders:
| Lipscomb | Louisville | |
|---|---|---|
Points | Jacob Ognacevic (15.8) | El Ellis (16.6) |
Rebounds | Ahsan Asadullah (6.3) | Brandon Huntley-Hatfield (6.0) |
Assists | Ahsan Asadullah (3.2) | El Ellis (4.4) |
Steals | Will Pruitt (1.6) | Jae'Lyn Withers (0.9) |
Blocks | Ahsan Asadullah (1.1) | Brandon Huntley-Hatfield (0.9) |
- Scoring:
| Lipscomb | Louisville | |
|---|---|---|
Points Per Game | 78.0 | 60.6% |
Field Goal % | 48.2% | 39.3% |
FGM/FGA Per Game | 29.6/61.3 | 20.5 |
Three Point % | 33.5% | 31.1% |
3PTM/3PTA Per Game | 7.8/23.4 | 5.9/19.0 |
Free Throw % | 70.2% | 74.9% |
- Rebounding:
| Lipscomb | Louisville | |
|---|---|---|
Rebounds Per Game | 37.0 | 33.1 |
Off. Reb. Per Game | 10.4 | 8.4 |
Def. Reb. Per Game | 26.6 | 24.7 |
Rebound Margin | 3.3 | -1.4 |
- Defense:
| Lipscomb | Louisville | |
|---|---|---|
Opp. Points Per Game | 69.3 | 73.1 |
Opp. FG% | 42.9% | 46.5% |
Opp. 3P% | 34.0% | 33.5% |
Steals Per Game | 5.9 | 5.0 |
Blocks Per Game | 3.5 | 2.9 |
- Ball Handling:
| Lipscomb | Louisville | |
|---|---|---|
Assists Per Game | 14.1 | 8.9 |
Turnovers Per Game | 12.1 | 17.1 |
Turnover Margin | 1.4 | -4.6 |
Assist/Turnover Ratio | 1.2 | 0.5 |
- ESPN Prediction: Per ESPN's Basketball Power Index, Louisville has a 45.8 percent chance to win against Lipscomb.
- KenPom Prediction: Per KenPom.com, the Cardinals have a 54 percent chance to take down the Bisons, with a projected final score of 71-70 in favor of Louisville. By current metrics, Lipscomb is the lowest-rated team that Louisville will face until traveling to Boston College on Jan. 25.
- Torvik Prediction: Per BartTorvik.com, the Cardinals have a 42 percent chance to take down the Bisons, with a projected final score of 71-69 in favor of Lipscomb. By current metrics, Lipscomb is the lowest-rated team that Louisville will face until traveling to Boston College on Jan. 25.
- Personal Prediction: Lipscomb 70, Louisville 67.
(Photo of J.J. Traynor: Jamie Rhodes - USA TODAY Sports)
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McGavic is a 2016 Sport Administration graduate of the University of Louisville, and a native of the Derby City. He has been covering the Cardinals in various capacities since 2017, with a brief stop in Atlanta, Ga. on the Georgia Tech beat. He is also a co-host of the 'From The Pink Seats' podcast on the State of Louisville network. Video gamer, bourbon drinker and dog lover. Find him on Twitter at @Matt_McGavic