Tale of The Tape, Predictions: Louisville vs. Appalachian State
LOUISVILLE, Ky. - Louisville (0-2, 0-0 ACC) is set to face Appalachian State (2-0, 0-0 Sun Belt) on Tuesday, Nov. 15 at 6:00 p.m. EST at the KFC Yum! Center. Here's how the Cardinals stack up against the Mountaineers:
- Rankings:
| App State | Louisville | |
|---|---|---|
AP?USA TODAY | NR/NR | NR/NR |
NET | 167th | 130th |
RPI | 240th | 343rd |
SOS | 292nd | 331st |
BPI | 218th | 193rd |
KenPom | 205th | 113th |
Sagarin | 190th | 87th |
- Team Leaders:
| App State | Louisville | |
|---|---|---|
Points | Tyree Boykin (17.0) | El Ellis (21.5) |
Rebounds | Justin Abson (6.5) | Brandon Huntley-Hatfield (8.0) |
Assists | Donovan Gregory (5.0) | El Ellis (3.5) |
Steals | Donovan Gregory (2.0) | Jae'Lyn Withers (3.5) |
Blocks | Justin Abson (4.0) | Five Tied at 0.5 |
- Scoring:
| App State | Louisville | |
|---|---|---|
Points Per Game | 110.5 | 69.0 |
Field Goal % | 49.0% | 46.8% |
FGM/FGA Per Game | 35.0/71.5 | 26.0/55.5 |
Three Point % | 39.7% | 34.8% |
3PTM/3PTA Per Game | 13.5/34.0 | 8.0/23.0 |
Free Throw % | 81.8% | 81.8% |
- Rebounding:
| App State | Louisville | |
|---|---|---|
Rebounds Per Game | 45.0 | 33.5 |
Off. Reb. Per Game | 9.5 | 7.0 |
Def. Reb. Per Game | 35.5 | 26.5 |
Rebound Margin | 4.5 | 4.5 |
- Defense:
| App State | Louisville | |
|---|---|---|
Opp. Points Per Game | 74.0 | 70.0 |
Opp. FG% | 35.9% | 48.1 |
Opp. 3PT% | 33.8% | 38.7% |
Steals Per Game | 10.5 | 5.5 |
Blocks Per Game | 9.5 | 2.5 |
- Ball Handling:
| App State | Louisville | |
|---|---|---|
Assists Per Game | 22.5 | 10.5 |
Turnovers Per Game | 12.5 | 16.0 |
Turnover Margin | 8.5 | -4.0 |
Assist/Turnover Ratio | 1.8 | 0.7 |
- ESPN Prediction: Per ESPN's Basketball Power Index, Louisville has a 67.5 percent chance to win against Appalachian State. The Cardinals have a BPI ranking of 193rd, whereas the Mountaineers have a BPI ranking of 218th
- KenPom Prediction: Per KenPom.com, the Cardinals have an 80 percent chance to take down the Mountaineers, with a projected final score of 73-63 in favor of Louisville. By current metrics, App State is the third-lowest ranked opponent that Louisville will face all season, ahead of only Bellarmine and Florida A&M.
- Personal Prediction: Louisville 77, Appalachian State 70.
(Photo of Jae'Lyn Withers: Jamie Rhodes - USA TODAY Sports)
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