Tale of The Tape, Predictions: Louisville vs. Cincinnati
LOUISVILLE, Ky. - Louisville (0-5, 0-0 ACC) is set to face Cincinnati (3-3, 0-0 American) on Wednesday, Nov. 23 at 2:30 p.m. EST at the Lahaina Civic Center as part of the Maui Invitational. Here's how the Cardinals stack up against the Bearcats:
- Rankings:
| Cincinnati | Louisville | |
|---|---|---|
AP/USA TODAY | NR/NR | NR/NR |
NET | 96th | 130th |
RPI | 217th | 325th |
SOS | 155th | 227th |
BPI | 81st | 228th |
KenPom | 81st | 154th |
Torvik | 88th | 187th |
Sagarin | 76th | 140th |
- Team Leaders:
| Cincinnati | Louisville | |
|---|---|---|
Points | Landers Nolley II (15.2) | El Ellis (18.0) |
Rebounds | Viktor Lakhin (7.2) | Brandon Huntley-Hatfield (6.2) |
Assists | David DeJulius (3.0) | El Ellis (3.0) |
Steals | Rob Phinisee (1.3) | Jae'Lyn Withers (1.6) |
Blocks | Viktor Lakhin (1.2) | Mike James (0.8) |
- Scoring:
| Cincinnati | Louisville | |
|---|---|---|
Points Per Game | 75.2 | 58.0 |
Field Goal % | 43.7% | 38.8% |
FGM/FGA Per Game | 27.3/62.5 | 19.4/50.0 |
Three Point % | 34.0% | 30.6% |
3PTM/3PTA Per Game | 8.2/24.0 | 6.0/19.6 |
Free Throw % | 65.5% | 72.5% |
- Rebounding:
| Cincinnati | Louisville | |
|---|---|---|
Rebounds Per Game | 37.5 | 32.4 |
Off. Reb. Per Game | 13.0 | 8.0 |
Def. Reb. Per Game | 24.5 | 24.4 |
Rebound Margin | 3.7 | -0.2 |
- Defense:
| Cincinnati | Louisville | |
|---|---|---|
Opp. Points Per Game | 71.3 | 70.2 |
Opp. FG% | 46.4% | 46.5% |
Opp. 3PT% | 38.0% | 33.0% |
Steals Per Game | 7.2 | 5.4 |
Blocks Per Game | 4.5 | 2.8 |
- Ball Handling:
| Cincinnati | Louisville | |
|---|---|---|
Assists Per Game | 13.7 | 7.2 |
Turnovers Per Game | 10.7 | 18.0 |
Turnover Margin | 1.6 | -5.4 |
Assist/Turnover Ratio | 1.3 | 0.4 |
- ESPN Prediction: Per ESPN's Basketball Power Index, Louisville has a 22.7 percent chance to win against Cincinnati. The Cardinals have a BPI ranking of 228th, whereas the Bearcats have a BPI ranking of 81st.
- KenPom Prediction: Per KenPom.com, the Cardinals have a 32 percent chance to take down the Bearcats, with a projected final score of 71-65 in favor of Cincinnati. By current metrics, Cincy is the lowest-ranked team in Maui Invitational field outside of Louisville.
- Personal Prediction: Cincinnati 75, Louisville 62.
(Photo of El Ellis: Brian Spurlock - KemperLesnik)
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