Tale of The Tape, Predictions: Louisville vs. Florida State
LOUISVILLE, Ky. - Louisville (0-8, 0-0 ACC) is set to face Florida State (1-9, 0-0 ACC) on Saturday, Dec. 10 at 1:00 p.m. EST at the Donald L. Tucker Civic Center. Here's how the Cardinals stack up against the Seminoles:
- Rankings:
| Florida State | Louisville | |
|---|---|---|
AP/USA TODAY | NR/NR | NR/NR |
NET | 291st | 360th |
RPI | 287th | 297th |
SOS | 80th | 66th |
BPI | 138th | 295th |
KenPom | 147th | 211th |
Torvik | 184th | 266th |
Sagarin | 130th | 221st |
- Team Leaders:
| Florida State | Louisville | |
|---|---|---|
Points | Darin Green Jr. (13.1) | El Ellis (15.6) |
Rebounds | Cam'Ron Fletcher (7.5) | Brandon Huntley-Hatfield (6.3) |
Assists | Jalen Warley (2.4) | El Ellis (3.4) |
Steals | Caleb Mills (1.9) | Two Tied (1.0) |
Blocks | Naheem McLeod (1.5) | Brandon Huntley-Hatfield (0.6) |
- Scoring:
| Florida State | Louisville | |
|---|---|---|
Points Per Game | 65.5 | 57.4 |
Field Goal % | 40.6% | 37.4% |
FGM/FGA Per Game | 23.2/57.2 | 19.4/51.8 |
Three Point % | 31.8% | 27.2% |
3PTM/3PTA Per Game | 5.7/17.9 | 5.0/18.4 |
Free Throw % | 71.3% | 74.1% |
- Rebounding:
| Florida State | Louisville | |
|---|---|---|
Rebounds Per Game | 32.3 | 32.3 |
Off. Reb. Per Game | 9.6 | 8.0 |
Def. Reb. Per Game | 22.7 | 24.3 |
Rebound Margin | -7.0 | -1.5 |
- Defense:
| Florida State | Louisville | |
|---|---|---|
Opp. Points Per Game | 74.4 | 73.9 |
Opp. FG% | 43.4% | 48.4% |
Opp. 3PT% | 32.0% | 33.7% |
Steals Per Game | 6.7 | 5.1 |
Blocks Per Game | 4.7 | 2.4 |
- Ball Handling:
| Florida State | Louisville | |
|---|---|---|
Assists Per Game | 12.7 | 7.3 |
Turnovers Per Game | 13.6 | 17.1 |
Turnover Margin | -0.8 | -4.5 |
Assist/Turnover Ratio | 0.9 | 0.4 |
- ESPN Prediction: Per ESPN's Basketball Power Index, Louisville has a 12.2 percent chance to win against Florida State. The Cardinals have a BPI ranking of 295th, whereas the Seminoles have a BPI ranking of 138th.
- KenPom Prediction: Per KenPom.com, the Cardinals have a 27 percent chance to take down the Seminoles, with a projected final score of 73-66 in favor of Florida State. By current metrics, FSU is the third-lowest ranked team that Louisville will face for the rest of the season (Florida A&M, Lipscomb).
- Personal Prediction: Florida State 75, Louisville 59.
(Photo of El Ellis, Anthony Polite: Melina Myers - USA TODAY Sports)
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