Tale of the Tape, Predictions: Louisville vs. Virginia Tech
LOUISVILLE, Ky. - Louisville (7-1, 4-1 ACC) is set to face Virginia Tech (4-4, 3-1 ACC) on Saturday, Nov. 4 at 3:30 p.m. EST at L&N Stadium in Louisville, Ky. Here's how the Cardinals stack up against the Hokies:
- Rankings:
| Virginia Tech | Louisville | |
|---|---|---|
AP/USA TODAY/CFP | NR/NR/NR | 15th/15th/14th |
SOS | 58th | 81st |
SP+ | 59th | 24th |
FPI | 52nd | 21st |
Sagarin | 57th | 22nd |
- Offensive Statistics:
| Virginia Tech | Louisville | |
|---|---|---|
Total Offense | 72nd (380.9) | 25th (447.0) |
Yards Per Play | 80th (5.49) | 20th (6.59) |
Scoring Offense | 75th (26.1) | 36th (32.8) |
Passing Yards | 81st (218.4) | 43rd (264.6) |
Yards Per Completion | 43rd (12.85) | 21st (13.93) |
Rushing Yards | 59th (162.5) | 32nd (182.4) |
Yards Per Rush Attempt | 82nd (4.10) | 34th (4.77) |
First Downs Gained | 70th (164) | 54th (175) |
3rd Down Con. % | 111th (33.6%) | 85th (37.5%) |
4th Down Con. % | 40th (61.1%) | 54th (54.5%) |
Red Zone Con. % | 45th (87.9%) | 73rd (83.3%) |
Turnovers Lost | 24th (8) | 62nd (11) |
Interceptions Thrown | 6th (3) | 85th (8) |
Fumbles Lost | 75th (5) | 26th (3) |
Tackles for Loss Allowed | 73rd (5.88) | 25th (4.50) |
Sacks Allowed | 72nd (2.12) | 72nd (2.12) |
Avg. Time of Possession | 13th (32:31) | 28th (31:47) |
Key: National Rank out of 133 FBS Teams (Value)
- Defensive Statistics:
| Virginia Tech | Louisville | |
|---|---|---|
Total Defense | 21st (316.0) | 15th (303.4) |
Yards Allowed Per Play | 39th (5.17) | 25th (4.98) |
Scoring Defense | 48th (22.9) | 19th (18.0) |
Passing Yards Allowed | 7th (165.4) | 44th (212.0) |
Rushing Yards Allowed | 80th (150.6) | 9th (91.4) |
First Downs Allowed | 15th (132) | 8th (121) |
3rd Down Defensive % | 36th (35.0%) | 9th (29.2%) |
4th Down Defensive % | 6th (25.0%) | 26th (37.5%) |
Red Zone Defensive % | 130th (100.0%) | 3rd (64.3%) |
Turnover Gained | 91st (9) | 18th (15) |
Interceptions Caught | 109th (4) | 24th (9) |
Fumbles Recovered | 39th (5) | 26th (6) |
TFL Per Game | 11th (7.6) | 70th (5.6) |
Sacks Per Game | 4th (3.75) | 45th (2.38) |
Key: National Rank out of 133 FBS Teams (Value)
- Special Teams Statistics:
| Virginia Tech | Louisville | |
|---|---|---|
Net Punting | 44th (40.28) | 90th (37.41) |
Avg. Kickoff Return | 12th (24.80) | 111th (16.80) |
Avg. Kickoff Return Def. | 128th (27.50) | 68th (20.00) |
Avg. Punt Return | 13th (16.33) | 103rd (4.60) |
Avg. Punt Return Def. | 87th (9.50) | 49th (5.83) |
Field Goal Attempts | 15-17 | 13-17 |
PAT | 22-22 | 31-31 |
Key: National Rank out of 133 FBS Teams (Value)
- FPI Prediction: Per ESPN's Football Power Index, the Cardinals have an 78.1 percent chance to win against the Hokies. Louisville has an FPI rating of 11.7 (21st overall), whereas Virginia Tech has an FPI rating of 2.6 (52nd overall).
- SP+ Prediction:
Per Bill Connelly's SP+ model, the Cardinals have a 77.60 percent chance to take down the Hokies. Louisville has an SP+ rating of 12.0 (24th overall), whereas Virginia Tech has an SP+ rating of 1.6 (59th overall).
- Personal Prediction: Louisville 31, Virginia Tech 17.
(Photo of Ramon Puryear: Jamie Rhodes - USA TODAY Sports)
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