Tale of the Tape & Prediction: Louisville vs. Miami
Louisville (1-0, 0-0 ACC) is set to begin conference play by hosting Miami (1-0, 0-0 ACC) at Cardinal Stadium on Saturday, Sept. 19 at 7:30 p.m. EST. Here's how the Cardinals stack up against the visiting Hurricanes
- Rankings:
| Miami (FL) | Louisville | |
|---|---|---|
Associated Press | 17th | 18th |
USA Today Coaches Poll | 18th | 16th |
SOS | 20th | 27th |
SP+ | 12th | 18th |
FPI | 33rd | 14th |
- Offensive Statistics:
| Miami (FL) | Louisville | |
|---|---|---|
Total Offense | 13th (495.0) | 14th (487.0) |
Passing Yards | 31st (158.0) | 8th (343.0) |
Yards Per Completion | 35th (8.78) | 2nd (18.05) |
Rushing Yards | 3rd (337.0) | 27th (144.0) |
First Downs Gained | 18th (25) | 24th (22) |
3rd Down Con. % | 23rd (41.2%) | 9th (56.3%) |
4th Down Con. % | 1st (100%) | 24th (33.3%) |
Red Zone Con. % | 2nd (100%) | 26th (75.0%) |
Turnovers Lost | 12th (1) | 26th (2) |
Interceptions Thrown | 1st (0) | 19th (1) |
Fumbles Lost | 22nd (1) | 22nd (1) |
Tackles For Loss Allowed | 29th (8.00) | 35th (10.00) |
Sacks Allowed | 22nd (2.00) | 12th (1.00) |
Avg. Time of Possession | 22nd (30:56) | 15th (32:33) |
Key: National Rank out of 42 Active FBS Teams (Value).
- Defensive Statistics:
| Miami (FL) | Louisville | |
|---|---|---|
Total Defense | 12th (285.0) | 9th (248.0) |
Passing Yards Allowed | 21st (205.0) | 7th (129.0) |
Rushing Yards Allowed | 11th (80.0) | 16th (119.0) |
3rd Down Defensive % | 5th (20.0%) | 13th (33.3%) |
4th Down Defensive % | 1st (0.0%) | 15th (33.3%) |
First Downs Allowed | 7th (14) | 6th (12) |
Red Zone Defensive % | 27th (100%) | 16th (75.0%) |
Turnovers Gained | N/A | 21st (1) |
Interceptions Caught | N/A | N/A |
Fumbles Recovered | N/A | 22nd (1) |
Sacks Per Game | 27th (1.00) | 9th (3.00) |
TFL Per Game | 10th (8.0) | 6th (10.0) |
Defensive Touchdowns | N/A | N/A |
Key: National Rank out of 42 Active FBS Teams (Value).
- Special Teams Statistics:
| Miami (FL) | Louisville | |
|---|---|---|
Net Punting | 2nd (47.5) | 41st (22.25) |
Avg. Kickoff Return | 16th (20.5) | 37th (8.50) |
Avg. Punt Return | 18th (6.67) | 15th (7.00) |
Blocked Kicks | N/A | N/A |
Blocked Kicks Allowed | 1st (0) | 38th (1) |
Blocked Punts | N/A | N/A |
Blocked Punts Allowed | 1st (0) | 41st (1) |
Field Goal Percentage | 1-1 | 0-0 |
PAT Percentage | 4-4 | 5-5 |
Key: National Rank out of 42 Active FBS Teams (Value)
- FPI Prediction: Per ESPN's Football Power Index, the Cardinals have a 76.7% chance to win against Miami. Louisville's FPI of 12.1 is the fourteenth-highest of any FBS school participating this fall, while Miami's FPI of 4.3 ranks at No. 33 in the country.
- SP+ Prediction:
Per Bill Connelly's SP+ model, the Cardinals have just a 45.55% chance to take down the Hurricanes. According to SP+ ratings, Miami has the second-highest rating of any opponent on Louisville's schedule behind Notre Dame.
- Personel Prediction: Louisville 35, Miami 34 - D'Eriq King & Miami's run game will give Louisville some fits on the defensive end, but the Cardinals' explosive offense can throw more than enough counter punches to lead the way to a win.
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