Tale of the Tape & Prediction: Louisville vs. Virginia
Louisville (2-5, 1-5 ACC) is set to face Virginia (2-4, 2-4 ACC) on Saturday, Nov. 14 at 3:30 p.m. EST in Charlottesville, Va. Here's how the Cardinals stack up against the Cavaliers:
- Rankings:
| Virginia | Louisville | |
|---|---|---|
Associated Press Top 25 | NR | NR |
USA TODAY Coaches Poll | NR | NR |
SOS | 9th | 41st |
SP+ | 54th | 42nd |
FPI | 64th | 40th |
- Offensive Statistics:
| Virginia | Louisville | |
|---|---|---|
Total Offense | 55th (412.7) | 42nd (435.3) |
Passing Yards | 57th (241.0) | 48th (250.1) |
Yards Per Completion | 103rd (10.40) | 31st (13.57) |
Rushing Yards | 59th (171.7) | 43rd (185.1) |
First Downs Gained | 31st (149) | 33rd (144) |
3rd Down Con. % | 103rd (32.3%) | 55th (42.0) |
4th Down Con. % | 33rd (70.0%) | 57th (58.8%) |
Red Zone Con. % | 87th (77.8%) | 28th (92.3%) |
Turnovers Lost | 113th (14) | 118th (15) |
Interceptions Thrown | 115th (10) | 106th (8) |
Fumbles Lost | 80th (4) | 123rd (7) |
Tackles For Loss Allowed | 20th (4.17) | 118th (8.57) |
Sacks Allowed | 47th (2.00) | 83rd (2.57) |
Avg. Time of Possession | 24th (32:37) | 64th (29:54) |
Key: National Rank out of 123 Active FBS Teams (Value)
- Defensive Statistics:
| Virginia | Louisville | |
|---|---|---|
Total Defense | 80th (439.0) | 56th (395.6) |
Passing Yards Allowed | 115th (312.2) | 25th (194.6) |
Rushing Yards Allowed | 32nd (126.8) | 94th (201.0) |
3rd Down Defensive % | 59th (39.8%) | 80th (42.7%) |
4th Down Defensive % | 27th (42.9%) | 18th (38.5%) |
First Downs Allowed | 75th (121) | 85th (134) |
Red Zone Defensive % | 62nd (84.0%) | 36th (79.3%) |
Turnovers Gained | 37th (10) | 82nd (4) |
Interceptions Caught | 30th (6) | 70th (2) |
Fumbles Recovered | 39th (4) | 74th (2) |
Sacks Per Game | 16th (3.33) | 47th (2.43) |
TFL Per Game | 20th (7.8) | 34th (7.0) |
Defensive Touchdowns | N/A | N/A |
Key: National Rank out of 123 Active FBS Teams (Value)
- Special Teams Statistics:
| Virginia | Louisville | |
|---|---|---|
Net Punting | 75th (37.50) | 99th (35.27) |
Avg. Kickoff Return | 48th (20.85) | 58th (19.85) |
Avg. Punt Return | 49th (8.60) | 86th (3.75) |
Blocked Kicks | 20th (1) | 20th (1) |
Blocked Kicks Allowed | 74th (1) | 74th (1) |
Blocked Punts | N/A | N/A |
Blocked Punts Allowed | 100th (1) | 100 (1) |
Field Goal Percentage | 6-8 | 6-8 |
PAT Percentage | 19-20 | 26-26 |
Key: National Rank out of 123 Active FBS Teams (Value)
- FPI Prediction: Per ESPN's Football Power Index, the Cardinals have a 57.4% chance to win against Virginia. Louisville has an FPI rank of 6.2 (40th overall) and Virginia's FPI of 1.8 is the second-lowest out of the Cardinals' remaining 2020 opponents (Syracuse: -7.9).
- SP+ Prediction:
Per Bill Connelly's SP+ model, the Cardinals have a 53.05% chance to take down the Cavaliers. According to SP+ ratings, Louisville is favored in every one of their four remaining games of the season.
- Personal Prediction: Virginia 28, Louisville 24.
(Photo of Malik Cunningham, Javian Hawkins: Atlantic Coast Conference Pool)
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