Tale of the Tape, Predictions: Louisville vs. Ole Miss
ATLANTA - Louisville (0-0, 0-0 ACC) is set to face Ole Miss (0-0, 0-0 SEC) on Monday, Sept. 6 at 8:00 p.m. EST at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta, Ga. Here's how the Cardinals stack up against the Rebels:
- Rankings:
| Ole Miss | Louisville | |
|---|---|---|
Associated Press Top 25 | NR | NR |
USA TODAY Coaches Poll | 25th | NR |
SOS | N/A | N/A |
SP+ | 25th | 42nd |
FPI | 20th | 52nd |
- Offensive Statistics (2020):
| Ole Miss | Louisville | |
|---|---|---|
Total Offense | 3rd (555.5) | 29th (444.2) |
Passing Yards | 7th (344.9) | 48th (244.2) |
Yards Per Completion | 13th (14.49) | 35th (13.30) |
Rushing Yards | 26th (210.6) | 29th (200.0) |
First Downs Gained | 10th (276) | 33rd (230) |
3rd Down Con. % | 7th (49.6%) | 34th (44.8%) |
4th Down Con. % | 20th (66.7%) | 66th (54.2%) |
Red Zone Con. % | 104th (75.8%) | 31st (88.6%) |
Turnovers Lost | 109th (18) | 124th (24) |
Interceptions Thrown | 121st (14) | 113th (12) |
Fumbles Lost | 27th (4) | 124th (12) |
Tackles For Loss Allowed | 100th (7.20) | 121st (8.45) |
Sacks Allowed | 45th (1.90) | 98th (2.73) |
Avg. Time of Possession | 105th (27:51) | 32nd (31:30) |
Key: National Rank out of 127 FBS Teams (Value)
- Defensive Statistics (2020):
| Ole Miss | Louisville | |
|---|---|---|
Total Defense | 126th (519.0) | 39th (369.1) |
Passing Yards Allowed | 125th (312.1) | 17th (189.2) |
Rushing Yards Allowed | 101st (206.9) | 80th (179.9) |
3rd Down Defensive % | 106th (46.7%) | 57th (39.6%) |
4th Down Defensive % | 116th (72.2%) | 20th (40.0% |
First Downs Allowed | 122nd (274) | 71st (200) |
Red Zone Defensive % | 100th (87.8%) | 57th (82.9%) |
Turnovers Gained | 59th (13) | 70th (12) |
Interceptions Caught | 68th (6) | 80th (5) |
Fumbles Recovered | 34th (7) | 34th (7) |
Sacks Per Game | 98th (1.60) | 73rd (2.00) |
TFL Per Game | 107th (4.7) | 79th (5.7) |
Defensive Touchdowns | N/A | N/A |
Key: National Rank out of 127 FBS Teams (Value)
- Special Teams Statistics (2020):
| Ole Miss | Louisville | |
|---|---|---|
Net Punting | 44th (39.44) | 96th (36.59) |
Avg. Kickoff Return | 23rd (23.95) | 67th (19.97) |
Avg. Punt Return | 62nd (7.00) | 113th (3.14) |
Blocked Kicks | N/A | 34th (1) |
Blocked Kicks Allowed | 53rd (1) | 53rd (1) |
Blocked Punts | N/A | N/A |
Blocked Punts Allowed | 1st (0) | 85th (1) |
Field Goal Attempts | 6-10 | 13-15 |
PAT | 46-49 | 40-40 |
Key: National Rank out of 127 FBS Teams (Value)
- FPI Prediction: Per ESPN's Football Power Index, the Cardinals have a 29.9 percent chance to win against the Rebels. Louisville has an FPI of 3.1 (52nd overall), and Ole Miss' FPI of 10.1 (20th overall) is the second-highest out of the Cardinals 2021 opponents (Clemson - 26.8).
- SP+ Prediction:
Per Bill Connelly's SP+ model, the Cardinals have a 34.24 percent chance to take down the Rebels. Louisville has an SP+ rating of 8.2 (42nd overall), and like with FPI, Ole Miss' SP+ rating of 15.1 (25th overall) is the second-highest out of the Cardinals 2021 opponents (Clemson - 28.8).
- Personal Prediction: Ole Miss 42, Louisville 35
(Photo of Scott Satterfield and Louisville Players: Geoff Burke - USA TODAY Sports)
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