MSU's Izzo Weighs In On Three Potential Quarterfinals Opponents

Here's what Michigan State's head coach had to say about the three teams his squad might see first in the Big Ten Tournament.
Michigan State's head coach Tom Izzo looks on during the second half in the game against Michigan on Sunday, March 8, 2026, at the Crisler Center in Ann Arbor.
Michigan State's head coach Tom Izzo looks on during the second half in the game against Michigan on Sunday, March 8, 2026, at the Crisler Center in Ann Arbor. | Nick King/Lansing State Journal / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images

One of the interesting things about conference tournaments is that top teams usually don't know who they are playing first.

Michigan State, the 3 seed in this year's Big Ten Tournament, could be facing one of three teams when it starts its postseason journey on Friday night (approximately 9 p.m. ET, BTN). No. 11 seed Minnesota takes on No. 14 seed Rutgers on Wednesday. The winner there faces sixth-seeded UCLA on Thursday, and the winner there then goes on to see MSU in the conference quarterfinals.

Michigan State's Tom Izzo gives instructions to his team during a game against Rutgers
Michigan State's Tom Izzo gives instructions to his team during a game against Rutgers on Thursday, March 5, 2026, at the Breslin Center. | Starr Portice, Michigan State Spartans on SI

Tom Izzo seemed to indicate that playing Minnesota/Rutgers would be a preferred option, since fatigue would start to set in for that team's third game in three days. UCLA wouldn't be feeling it as much and would rather be more of a team that won the day before, rather than a team playing a second game in as many days.

"I think the hardest part about this tournament now is when you get a bye, it's always a worry, because the team who played the night before usually has momentum if it's one game," he said. "If it's two games, by game three, fatigue sets in."

What Izzo Said About Each Possibility

Mick Croni
UCLA's head coach Mick Cronin reacts during the first half against Michigan State on Tuesday, Feb. 17, 2026, at the Breslin Center in East Lansing. | Nick King/Lansing State Journal / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images

No. 6 seed UCLA

The most likely opponent is UCLA, given that the Bruins only have to win one game to reach the Spartans, compared to Minnesota and Rutgers needing two. UCLA ended up going 13-7 during its second season in the Big Ten. That tied it with Purdue for sixth in the conference, with the Bruins getting the tiebreaker by virtue of their home victory over the Boilermakers on Jan. 20.

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Michigan State's head coach Tom Izzo talks to the fans during the senior night ceremony after the Spartans win over Rutgers on Thursday, March 5, 2026, at the Breslin Center in East Lansing. | Nick King/Lansing State Journal / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images

It wasn't long ago that Michigan State was shooting the lights out against Mick Cronin's team in a 82-59 result on Feb. 17. That game then got some further negative attention for UCLA after Cronin threw out his own player, (and former MSU student) Steven Jamerson, with a clip of Cronin snapping at a reporter going viral after the game only fanning the flames.

That could've been a breaking point for the Bruins. It was a pretty brutal end to a two-game trip to Michigan, where they lost two games by a combined 53 points.

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Michigan State's Carson Cooper, right, shoots as Michigan's Aday Mara defends during the first half on Sunday, March 8, 2026, at the Crisler Center in Ann Arbor. | Nick King/Lansing State Journal / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images

They've been able to pull themselves together, though, finishing the regular season 4-1 with wins over current No. 9 Illinois and No. 11 Nebraska. ESPN's Joe Lunardi has UCLA safely in the field as of Monday and currently projects it to be an 8 seed.

"I think [Cronin] has done a hell of a job since the Michigan, Michigan State series," Izzo said Tuesday. "I think Mick's done as good a job as anybody in the league. Changed his rotation a little bit. Got a guy [in Skyy Clark] healthy. He makes a difference on that team."

Niko Medve
Mar 4, 2026; Bloomington, Indiana, USA; Minnesota Golden Gophers head coach Niko Medved claps his hands against the Indiana Hoosiers during the first half at Simon Skjodt Assembly Hall. | Robert Goddin-Imagn Images

No. 11 seed Minnesota

Drawing the Golden Gophers would be another interesting matchup, given that Minnesota took down Michigan State, 76-73, back on Feb. 4, with that game being more lopsided than what the final score indicates.

The main problem for the Gophers is that their depth now is essentially zero. They only played six guys in their regular season finale (a one-point win over Northwestern), and all five starters played at least 36 minutes. Izzo talked about fatigue for a third game in three days -- those guys are especially going to be exhausted if they reach the quarterfinals.

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Michigan State's head coach Tom Izzo calls out to players during the second half in the game against Michigan on Sunday, March 8, 2026, at the Crisler Center in Ann Arbor. | Nick King/Lansing State Journal / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images

"Minnesota, they've been shocking," Izzo said. "What are they? (Izzo then learns here the Gophers finished 8-12 in league play.) They're way better than people predicted, and [Niko Medved] has done a hell of a job coaching them."

"And yet, they don't have any depth at all. For the first game or the second game, not as critical... But then you get to the third or the fourth game, that's when it really affects you."

Steve Pikiel
Rutgers head coach Steve Pikiell watches a play against Michigan State during the second half at Breslin Center in East Lansing on Thursday, March 5, 2026. | Junfu Han / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images

No. 14 seed Rutgers

The outside possibility is that it's Rutgers, which just went 6-14 during Big Ten play this season. RU is one of three teams that MSU played twice during the regular season, and while it hasn't been a great year for the Scarlet Knights, they've given the Spartans everything they could handle both times.

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Michigan State's Jaxon Kohler, left, scores as Michigan's Morez Johnson Jr. defends during the second half on Sunday, March 8, 2026, at the Crisler Center in Ann Arbor. | Nick King/Lansing State Journal / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images

Back on Jan. 27, Rutgers probably should have won that first meeting in Piscataway, but Michigan State managed to escape with an 88-79 overtime win.

Then, this past Thursday, RU nearly pulled off a crazy comeback in the final moments of the game, with MSU still ultimately settling for a 91-87 victory after leading by 15 with less than two minutes remaining. The Spartans still only led by one point at halftime, though, so it was a very competitive game for a while.

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Feb 18, 2026; University Park, Pennsylvania, USA; Rutgers Scarlet Knights head coach Steve Pikiell reacts from the bench during the first half against the Penn State Nittany Lions at Bryce Jordan Center. Mandatory Credit: Matthew O'Haren-Imagn Images | Matthew O'Haren-Imagn Images

"I think Rutgers is playing better than they were at the beginning of the year..." Izzo said about the Scarlet Knights, who have gone 4-3 over their last seven games.

"You can make an argument that Rutgers has been playing pretty well lately," he also said a little later on in Tuesday's press conference.

Michigan State's Tom Izzo speaks during a press conference prior to the Big Ten Tournament.
Michigan State's Tom Izzo speaks during a press conference at the Breslin Center on Tuesday, March 10, 2026, prior to the Big Ten Tournament. | Jacob Cotsonika, Michigan State Spartans on SI

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Jacob Cotsonika
JACOB COTSONIKA

A 2025 graduate from Michigan State University, Cotsonika brings a wealth of experience covering the Spartans from Rivals and On3 to his role as Michigan State Spartans Beat Writer on SI. At Michigan State, he was also a member of the world-renowned Spartan marching band for two seasons.

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