Nebraska's Most Likely Final Record After Eight Games

The Huskers are ahead of the pace from 2024. What do the analytics say about how the rest of the season will go?
Nebraska Cornhuskers quarterback Dylan Raiola.
Nebraska Cornhuskers quarterback Dylan Raiola. | Dylan Widger-Imagn Images

For the first time in 2025, Nebraska football is on a different path than the way the season played out in 2024.

Last year, the Huskers started 3-0 before a close setback. After back-to-back wins, NU then had got embarrassed on the road to begin a four-game losing streak.

This season played out the same way through seven games, but after being embarrassed on the road, the Big Red bounced back to get back in the win column and notch bowl eligibility before November for the first time since 2016.

After beating Northwestern, Matt Rhule has Nebraska bowl eligible in back-to-back seasons for the first time since 2015-16.
After beating Northwestern, Matt Rhule has Nebraska bowl eligible in back-to-back seasons for the first time since 2015-16. | Dylan Widger-Imagn Images

Now sitting at 6-2, how will the rest of this year go?

According to Kelly Ford and the KFord Ratings, Nebraska has a solid chance to further eclipse last year's output. Here are the game-by-game percentages of winning for Nebraska's remaining schedule.

Nebraska stays home this week for a night game against No. 23 USC. The Trojans are 5-2 with wins over Missouri State, Georgia Southern, Purdue, Michigan State, and Michigan, and losses at Illinois and Notre Dame. KFord gives Nebraska a 31% chance of winning the game, down 1% from a week ago.

Back on the road, Nebraska travels to UCLA on Nov. 8. The Bruins are 3-5 with losses to Utah, UNLV, New Mexico, Northwestern, and Indiana, and wins over Penn State, Michigan State, and Maryland. KFord gives Nebraska a 79% chance of winning the game, up 1%.

A Nebraska Cornhuskers cheerleader waves a school flag.
A Nebraska Cornhuskers cheerleader waves a school flag. | Dylan Widger-Imagn Images

After a week off, the Huskers head east to face Penn State on Nov. 22. The Nittany Lions are 3-4, with wins over Nevada, FIU, and Villanova, and losses to Oregon, UCLA, Northwestern, and Iowa. KFord gives Nebraska a 31% chance of winning the game, down 1%.

The regular-season finale is at home with Iowa on Black Friday. The Hawkeyes are 6-2, with wins over Albany, UMass, Rutgers, Wisconsin, Penn State, and Minnesota, and losses to Iowa State and Indiana. KFord gives Nebraska a 43% chance of winning the game, down 8%.

If you take every game with a better than 50% chance as a Nebraska win, then the Big Red are in line to go 7-5. KFord gives Nebraska a 23% chance to win at least nine games, which is 2% higher than before the Northwestern win. The ratings also give the Big Red a 3% (same as last week) chance to win at least 10 games.

Have a question or comment for Kaleb? Send an email to kalebhenry.huskermax@gmail.com.


Nebraska Football 2025 Schedule

  • Aug. 28 Nebraska 20, Cincinnati 17
  • Sep. 6 Nebraska 68, Akron 0
  • Sep. 13 Nebraska 59, Houston Christian 7
  • Sep. 20 Michigan 30, Nebraska 27
  • Oct. 4 Nebraska 38, Michigan State 27
  • Oct. 11 Nebraska 34, Maryland 31
  • Oct. 17 Minnesota 24, Nebraska 6
  • Oct. 25 vs. Northwestern 11 a.m. FS1
  • Nov. 1 vs. USC 6:30 p.m. NBC
  • Nov. 8 at UCLA TBA
  • Nov. 22 at Penn State TBA
  • Nov. 28 (Black Friday) vs. Iowa 11 a.m. CBS

Home games are bolded. All times central.


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Kaleb Henry
KALEB HENRY

Kaleb Henry is an award-winning sports reporter, covering collegiate athletics since 2014 via radio, podcasting, and digital journalism. His experience with Big Ten Conference teams goes back more than a decade, including time covering programs such as the Nebraska Cornhuskers, Oregon Ducks, and USC Trojans. He has contributed to Sports Illustrated since 2021. Kaleb has won multiple awards for his sports coverage from the Nebraska Broadcasters Association and Midwest Broadcast Journalists Association. Prior to working in sports journalism, Kaleb was a Division I athlete on the Southern Illinois University-Edwardsville Track and Field team where he discussed NCAA legislation as SIUE's representative to the Ohio Valley Conference Student-Athlete Advisory Committee. 

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