Mr. CFB Pick Six: Week 11
Your humble scribe went 3-2-1 last week.
I was convinced that Ole Miss could cover three points against Texas A&M in Oxford. The Rebels won 38-35.
The the way Arkansas had been struggling, there was no doubt the Gators were going to win and cover six. Instead the Hogs won straight up 39-36.
Georgia beat No. 12 Missouri at home 30-21 but the Bulldogs did not cover 15.
That leaves us with a crowd-pleasing record of 27-33-1 against the spread. We have four more Saturdays and we're hoping for a strong finish. Here we go.
No. 9 Ole Miss (8-1) (getting 11) at No. 2 Georgia (9-0): Ole Miss coach Lane Kiffin says his team is playing with house money in Athens and he is right. Ole Miss has nothing to lose. By the time this game is played at 7 p.m. ET Alabama may have already locked up the SEC West with a win over Kentucky. With a win Ole Miss would still be in the discussion for a CFP at-large berth. I'm picking Georgia to win but not cover the 11 points.
No. 8 Alabama (9-1) at Kentucky (6-3) (getting 11): Alabama is coming off a rugged 42-28 win over LSU and needs a win in Lexington to clinch the SEC West. Kentucky loves to play physical football and it gets a boost from playing at home. After a stumbling start Alabama has hit its stride under quarterback Jalen Milroe. I was tampted to take Kentucky andd give the 11 points. But Alabama is on a roll. Tide wins and covers.
Tennessee (7-2) at Missoui (7-2) (getting 1): Mizzou played Georgia tough in Athens last week. Tennessee boat-raced UConn. The winner is still in the conversation in the SEC East and for a New Year's Six Bowl. Missouri is more explosive than a year ago with quarterback Brady Cook and big-time receiver Luther Burden. This one will go to the wire. Missoui wins with a long field goal by Harrison Mevis.
Auburn (5-4) (getting 3) at Arkansas (3-6): Arkansas had lost six straight when the Hogs shocked the conference last week with a 39-36 win over Florida in The Swamp. Arkansas still has an outside shot at bowl if it can win its final three games with Auburn, FIU, and Missouri, all at home. I like the Hogs finding a way to win. and cover the three points.
Florida (5-4 at LSU (6-3) (giving 11): It's hard to know which LSU team is goingg to show up at Tiger Stadium. Returning to the SEC championship game is now off the table. But this LSU team can still post a 10-win season and go to a New Year's Six game. Florida, which lost to Arkansas last week, has a brutal finishing stretch with LSU, Missouri and Florida State. The Gators still need a win to qualify for a bowl. They won't get it at Baton Rouge. LSU wins and covers 11.
Mississippi State (4-5) at Texas A&M (5-4) (giving 18.5): The Aggies will be a bit flat after a three-point loss to Ole Miss last week. And it doesn't help that Aggies Coach Jimbo Fisher and his future in College Station are so uncertain. But let's say this: losing at home to an 18.5-point underdog at home is never good for one's job security. I am tempted to take Mississippi State and all those points. because Bulldogs' quarterback Will Rogers may return. But I will take A&M and give the points