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Phillies vs. Diamondbacks Prediction, Picks & Odds for Today: NLCS Game 4

Oct 11, 2023; Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA; The Philadelphia Phillies celebrate after beating the Atlanta Braves in game three of the NLDS for the 2023 MLB playoffs at Citizens Bank Park. Mandatory Credit: Bill Streicher-USA TODAY Sports

The Arizona Diamondbacks have made things interesting in the NLCS after winning Game 3 against the Philadelphia Phillies on Thursday. Philadelphia took the first two contests at home, but its lead is now 2-1 heading into Game 4 on Friday night.

Will the Phillies regain complete control of the series and put themselves one win away from the World Series, or will the Diamondbacks tie it up? Our experts have broken down the Phillies vs. Diamondbacks odds and are ready to deliver their Phillies vs. Diamondbacks prediction.

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PHILLIES VS. DIAMONDBACKS PREDICTION: Phillies ML (-135 at Bet365 Sportsbook)

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Philadelphia Phillies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction for Today: NLCS Game 4

Our experts’ first Phillies vs. Diamondbacks prediction is on the visitors to get back on track with a win and a 3-1 series lead.

Arizona did well to limit the Phillies to just a single run on Thursday, but it’s hard to hold down their offense for long. Moreover, the Diamondbacks are going with a bullpen day for Game 4 and it will be opened by Joe Mantiply. That doesn’t bode well for the home team based on Mantiply’s Game 2 performance in which he allowed three runs in 0.1 innings of work. Bryce Harper, Trea Turner and Nick Castellanos have been absolutely on fire for the Phillies up to this point in the postseason; you have to think their bats will awake following the Game 3 slumber.

Meanwhile, Philly is countering with Christopher Sanchez on the mound. Although Sanchez has no playoff experience, he compiled a 3.44 ERA during the regular season. All in all, this sets up well for the Phillies.

Phillies vs. Diamondbacks Picks & MLB Best Bets for Today, Including Over 9.5

If you want another Phillies vs. Diamondbacks prediction, you have come to the right place. In addition to backing Philadelphia on the money line, our experts also like Over 9.5 runs scored.

As mentioned above, the Phillies’ offense is red hot in October. They have hit a ridiculous 19 home runs through nine playoff games while scoring a total of 47 runs. Four different players have hit at least three homers and J.T. Realmuto has driven in 10 runs by himself. As for the Diamondbacks, it is true that their offense has been held in check throughout this NLCS but their late surge in Game 3 gives them momentum heading into Friday. With an unspectacular pitching matchup on the card, this projects to be a high-scoring affair.

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Latest Phillies vs. Diamondbacks Odds & Betting Lines for Today Powered by Bet365

Before you make your Phillies vs. Diamondbacks prediction, it is important to be familiar with the Phillies vs. Diamondbacks odds.

Philadelphia is a -135 money line favorite in Game 4, while Arizona is a +114 underdog. That means a $13.50 bet on the Phillies returns $10 in winnings if they prevail; a $10 wager on the Diamondbacks gets you $11.40 of profit if they pull off the upset.

The game total, or over/under, is set at 9.5 and both sides are priced at -110. That means an $11 wager on the over is successful and nets $10 of profit if the two teams combine for at least 10 runs. An $11 bet on the under is successful and returns $10 in winnings if no more than nine runs are scored.

NLCS Stats: Harper, Castellanos & More

Our experts certainly factored in some key statistics to make their Phillies vs. Diamondbacks prediction.

Bryce Harper is 3-for-9 so far in the NLCS with a home run and two RBIs. For the entire playoffs, the designated hitter is batting .357 with four homers, seven RBIs and 11 runs scored. Nick Castellanos has managed to record only one hit against the Diamondbacks through three games, but it left the yard. Castellanos is sporting a .313 postseason average with five home runs, seven RBIs and 10 runs scored. Trea Turner has been hotter than everyone, having hit safely in every single playoff game. Turner’s playoff batting average is .471 and he has belted three homers.

For the Diamondbacks, Ketel Marte is batting .372 in the postseason. He has hit safely in all eight games and is 6-for-13 so far in the NLCS. Marte delivered a walk-off single in the bottom of the ninth to win Game 3 for Arizona.

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