Thunder vs. Lakers Prediction, Player Props, Picks & Odds: Today, 3/4
After taking on the defending champion Denver Nuggets on Saturday night, the Los Angeles Lakers have another matchup with a top Western Conference contender tonight when they host the Oklahoma City Thunder. With such a marquee matchup on a Monday night to begin the week, we’ve provided our experts’ best Thunder vs. Lakers prediction and player props.
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🏀 THUNDER VS. LAKERS PREDICTION: Over 238.5 points (-110 at BetMGM) 🎯
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🔮 Thunder vs. Lakers Prediction for Today, 3/4
There’s no denying that OKC has been arguably the biggest surprise story of the NBA this season, and we all know about the tear Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has been on in terms of scoring 30+ on a nightly basis.
However, it’s not just that the Thunder have been winning more than expected - oddsmakers still haven’t been able to have the best read on them. OKC has the second-best record in the NBA in terms of covering the spread, doing so at a clip greater than 62%. Meanwhile, the Lakers have been one of the worst - doing so at less than a 44% rate.
Interestingly enough, in the three meetings between these teams this season, LA has not only covered the spread in the last two, but they’ve won outright as 12.5 and 9.5-point underdogs. Having gone through all that, this is simply a tough matchup to break down in that regard. Instead, we’re going to focus on a high-scoring game, as that is also what we’ve seen in two of the three games between these squads this year.
We know that SGA and LeBron James can score with the best of them, so our top Thunder vs. Lakers prediction for tonight is Over 238.5 points (-110 at BetMGM). 🎯
⛹️♂️ Thunder vs. Lakers Player Props & Free Picks Featuring Anthony Davis & Jalen Williams
While we just mentioned two absolute superstars, they actually aren’t the focus of our Thunder vs. Lakers player props for tonight. Instead, our first pick targets the guy many LA fans think needs to begin carrying when the postseason comes around - Anthony Davis.
He’s been having his most consistent season to date, and while OKC’s Chet Holmgren has been impressive, we still expect AD to control the glass. Along with him averaging over 25 points per game, we’re taking a combination prop. In his three games against the Thunder this year, AD has averaged an incredible 30.3 points and 13.8 rebounds per game.
Therefore, our first Thunder vs. Lakers player props pick is Anthony Davis Over 39.5 Points+Rebounds (-115 at BetMGM). 🎯 We’ve also targeted SGA several times this year, and he comes through for us more often than not. However, there is another member of the Thunder who has flown under the radar.
That would be Jalen Williams, not to be confused with backup center Jaylin Williams. The power forward is the second-leading scorer for the team behind SGA and hasn’t been far behind in terms of playing LA. The Lakers are one of the few teams in which SGA is not averaging at least 30 points per game, while Williams has averaged more than his season average.
We’re not saying that he’s going to outscore SGA, but there is far more value in his prop market, so we’re also taking Jalen Williams Over 20.5 Points (-130 at BetMGM). 🎯
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🔢 Thunder vs. Lakers Odds & Lines via BetMGM Sportsbook for Today, March 4th, 2024
In terms of our Thunder vs. Lakers prediction on Over 238.5 (-110 at BetMGM), 🎯 a $110 bet profits $100 as long as the game ends with 239 points or more.
- Point Spread: Oklahoma City Thunder +1.5 (-115) vs. Los Angeles Lakers -1.5 (-105)
- Money Line: Oklahoma City Thunder (-105) vs. Los Angeles Lakers (-115)
- Total (over/under): Over 238.5 (-110) vs. Under 238.5 (-110)
- Anthony Davis Points+Rebounds: Over 39.5 (-115) vs. Under 39.5 (-120)
- Jalen Williams Points: Over 20.5 (-130) vs. Under 20.5 (-105)
In terms of our Thunder vs. Lakers player props, a $115 bet on Anthony Davis profits $100 as long as his points and rebounds add up to at least 40, while a $130 bet on Jalen Williams profits $100 as long as he scores at least 21 points.
🤕 Thunder vs. Lakers Injury Report and Projected Starters for Today's Game
Finally, let’s take a quick look at the projected starting lineups for both the Thunder and Lakers for tonight:
OKC Thunder:
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
- Josh Giddey
- Lu Dort
- Jalen Williams
- Chet Holmgren
LA Lakers:
- D’Angelo Russell
- Austin Reaves
- LeBron James (day-to-day)
- Rui Hachimura
- Anthony Davis (day-to-day)
OKC and LA are two of the healthiest teams in the NBA, as they don’t have anyone listed as more serious than day-to-day. With all the stars on the court, a high-scoring game should be in play, and whether you fade or follow our Thunder vs. Lakers prediction, grab your guaranteed $150 worth of bonus bets by joining BetMGM Sportsbook 🌟 with promo code FNLAL ahead of tip-off.
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